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PASSAGE - 1
There are n urns, each of these contain n + 1 balls. The ith urn contains i white balls and (n + 1 – i) red balls. Let ui be the event of selecting ith urn, i = 1, 2, 3 .........., n and w the event of getting a white ball.
Q. If P(ui) ∝ i, where i = 1, 2, 3,......., n, then P(w) =(2006 - 5M, –2)
P(ui) ∝ i ⇒ P(ui)= ki, But ∑ P(ui)=1
By total prob. theorem
PASSAGE - 1
There are n urns, each of these contain n + 1 balls. The ith urn contains i white balls and (n + 1 – i) red balls. Let ui be the event of selecting ith urn, i = 1, 2, 3 .........., n and w the event of getting a white ball.
Q. If P(ui) = c, (a constant) then P(un/w) = (2006 - 5M, –2)
P(ui) = c
Using Baye’s theorem,
PASSAGE - 1
There are n urns, each of these contain n + 1 balls. The ith urn contains i white balls and (n + 1 – i) red balls. Let ui be the event of selecting ith urn, i = 1, 2, 3 .........., n and w the event of getting a white ball.
Q. Let P(ui) = , if n is even and E denotes the event of choosing even numbered urn, then the value of P(w / E) is (2006 - 5M, –2)
(n being even)
PASSAGE - 2
A fair die is tossed repeatedly until a six is obtained. Let X denote the number of tosses required. (2009)
Q. The probability that X = 3 equals
P ( X = 3) = (probability of not a six in first chance) × (probability of not a six in second chance) × (probability of a six in third chance)
PASSAGE - 2
A fair die is tossed repeatedly until a six is obtained. Let X denote the number of tosses required. (2009)
Q. 5. The probability that X ≥ 3 equals
P( X ≥ 3) = 1- (X< 3) = 1 -[P( X = 1) + P(X= 2)]
PASSAGE - 2
A fair die is tossed repeatedly until a six is obtained. Let X denote the number of tosses required. (2009)
Q.The conditional probability that X ≥ 6 given X > 3 equals
Let us define the events A≡X≥ 6 and B ≡X>3 so that A∩B ≡ X ≥ 6≡A
Now
and P(B)
∴ P(A/B) =
PASSAGE - 3
Let U1 and U2 be two urns such that U1 contains 3 white and 2 red balls, and U2 contains only 1 white ball. A fair coin is tossed. If head appears then 1 ball is drawn at random from U1 and put into U2.
However, if tail appears then 2 balls are drawn at random from U1 and put into U2 . Now 1 ball is drawn at random from U2. (2011)
Q. The probability of the drawn ball from U2 being white is
P (white) = P (H ∩ white) + P ( T ∩ white) = P (H) P (white/H) + P (T) P (white/T)
PASSAGE - 3
Let U1 and U2 be two urns such that U1 contains 3 white and 2 red balls, and U2 contains only 1 white ball. A fair coin is tossed. If head appears then 1 ball is drawn at random from U1 and put into U2.
However, if tail appears then 2 balls are drawn at random from U1 and put into U2 . Now 1 ball is drawn at random from U2. (2011)
Q. Given that the drawn ball from U2 is white, the probability that head appeared on the coin is
P(H/white) =
PASSAGE - 4
A box B1 contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. Another box B2 contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black balls. A third box B3 contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5 black balls.
Q. If 1 ball is drawn from each of the boxes B1, B2 and B3, the probability that all 3 drawn balls are of the same colour is (JEE Adv. 2013)
Probability that all balls are of same colour = P (all red) + P (all white) + P (all black)
PASSAGE - 4
A box B1 contains 1 white ball, 3 red balls and 2 black balls. Another box B2 contains 2 white balls, 3 red balls and 4 black balls. A third box B3 contains 3 white balls, 4 red balls and 5 black balls.
Q. If 2 balls are drawn (without replacement) from a randomly selected box and one of the balls is white and the other ball is red, the probability that these 2 balls are drawn from box B2 is
Let E1, E2, E3 be the events that bag B1, B2 and B3 is selected respectively.
Let E be the event that one white and one red ball is selected.
Then by baye’s theorem,
PASSAGE - 5
Box 1 contains three cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3; box 2 contains five cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5; and box 3 contains seven cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A card is drawn from each of the boxes. Let xi be number on the card drawn from the ith box, i = 1, 2, 3. (JEE Adv. 2014)
Q. The probability that x1 + x2 + x3 is odd, is
x1 + x2 + x3 will be odd If two are even and one is odd or all three are odd.
∴ Required probability = P (EEO) + P(EOE) + P(OEE) + P(OQO)
PASSAGE - 5
Box 1 contains three cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3; box 2 contains five cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5; and box 3 contains seven cards bearing numbers 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7. A card is drawn from each of the boxes. Let xi be number on the card drawn from the ith box, i = 1, 2, 3. (JEE Adv. 2014)
Q. 12. The probability that x1, x2, x3 are in an arithmetic progression, is
If x1, x2, x3 are in AP then 2x2 = x1 + x3
∵ LHS is even, x1 & x3 can be both even or both odd. x1 and x3 both can be even in 1 × 3 = 3 ways x1 and x3 both can be odd in 2 × 4 = 8 ways
∴ Total favourable ways = 3 + 8 = 11
Also one number from each box can be drawn in 3 × 5 × 7 ways
∴ Total ways = 105 Hence required probability =
PASSAGE - 6
Let n1 and n2 be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box I. Let n3 and n4 be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box II. (JEE Adv. 2015)
Q. One of the two boxes, box I and box II, was selected at random and a ball was drawn randomly out of this box. The ball was found to be red. If the probability that this red ball was drawn from box II is , then the correct option(s) with the possible values of n1, n2, n3 and n4 is(are)
Let E1 ≡ box I is selected
E2 ≡ box II is selected
E ≡ ball drawn is red
P(E2/E) =
or
On checking the options we find (a) and (b) are the correct options.
PASSAGE - 6
Let n1 and n2 be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box I. Let n3 and n4 be the number of red and black balls, respectively, in box II. (JEE Adv. 2015)
Q. A ball is drawn at random from box I and transferred to box II. If the probability of drawing a red ball from box I, after this transfer, is , then the correct option(s) with the possible values of n1 and n2 is(are)
E1 ≡ Red ball is selected from box I
E2 ≡ Black ball is selected from box I
E ≡ Second ball drawn from box I is red
∴ P(E) = P(E1) P(E/E1) + P(E2) P(E/E2)
On checking the options, we find (c) and (d) have the correct values.
PASSAGE - 7
Football teams T1 and T2 have to play two games against each other. It is assumed that the outcomes of the two games are independent. The probabilities of T1 winning, drawing and losing a game against T2 are and
respectively. Each team gets 3 points for a win, 1 point for a draw and 0 point for a loss in a game.
Let X and Y denote the total points scored by teams T1 and T2 respectively after two games.
Q.P (X > Y) is (JEE Adv. 2016)
(X, Y) = {(6, 0), (4, 1), (3, 3), (2, 2), (4, 4), (0, 6)}
P(X > Y) = P(T1 wins 2 games or T1 win one game other is a draw)
PASSAGE - 7
Football teams T1 and T2 have to play two games against each other. It is assumed that the outcomes of the two games are independent. The probabilities of T1 winning, drawing and losing a game against T2 are and
respectively. Each team gets 3 points for a win, 1 point for a draw and 0 point for a loss in a game.
Let X and Y denote the total points scored by teams T1 and T2 respectively after two games.
Q. P (X = Y) is (JEE Adv. 2016)
(X, Y) = {(6, 0), (4, 1), (3, 3), (2, 2), (4, 4), (0, 6)}
P(X = Y) = P(T1 wins 1 game loses other game or both the games draw)
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