Page 1
CHAPTER
04
Monetary policy and liquidity operations since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic
have geared towards mitigating its adverse impact on economy. Accommodative monetary
policy along with other regulatory dispensations, asset classification standstill, temporary
moratorium and provision of adequate liquidity were put in place in order to provide a
safety net to the system. In 2021-22, some of the measures undertaken by RBI like CRR
reduction reached pre-set sunset dates, liquidity has been wound down partly but remains
in surplus mode and regulatory measures have been realigned.
After several rate cuts in 2019-20 and 2020-21, the repo rate was maintained at 4 per cent
in 2021-22. The liquidity in the system remained in surplus throughout. RBI undertook
various measures, including secondary market G-sec acquisition programme, special
Long-Term Repo operations, on tap targeted Long-Term Repo Operations, etc. to provide
further liquidity in the system. Thereafter, RBI used Variable Rate Reverse Repo, reverse
repo auctions to rebalance liquidity conditions.
Reserve money and broad money supply growth in 2021-22 so far was lower than in the
previous year. The reserve money growth did not fully translate into commensurate broad
money supply growth due to the smaller (adjusted) money multiplier reflecting large deposits
by banks with RBI under reverse repo window. Bank credit growth accelerated gradually
in 2021-22 up from 5.3 per cent in the beginning of April 2021. The very latest data shows
that the bank credit growth stands at 9.2 per cent as on 31
st
December 2021. At the sectoral
level, credit to agriculture sector continued to register robust growth and showed signs of
improvement in the industry sector . Services sector credit growth, however , is yet to recover .
Gross Non-Performing advances ratio of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) continued
to decline from 11.2 per cent at end of 2017-18 to 6.9 per cent at end-September 2021.
Similarly, Net Non-Performing advances ratio declined from 6 per cent to 2.2 per cent
during the same period. Capital to risk-weighted asset ratio of SCBs continued to increase
from 13 per cent in 2013-14 to 16.54 per cent at end-September 2021. The Return on
Assets and Return on Equity for Public Sector Banks became positive in June 2020 and
continued to be positive for the period ending September 2021, after recording negative
profitability ratios from March 2016 to March 2020. The economic shock of the pandemic
has been weathered well by the commercial banking system so far, even if some lagged
impact is still in pipeline.
Monetary Management and
Financial Intermediation
Page 2
CHAPTER
04
Monetary policy and liquidity operations since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic
have geared towards mitigating its adverse impact on economy. Accommodative monetary
policy along with other regulatory dispensations, asset classification standstill, temporary
moratorium and provision of adequate liquidity were put in place in order to provide a
safety net to the system. In 2021-22, some of the measures undertaken by RBI like CRR
reduction reached pre-set sunset dates, liquidity has been wound down partly but remains
in surplus mode and regulatory measures have been realigned.
After several rate cuts in 2019-20 and 2020-21, the repo rate was maintained at 4 per cent
in 2021-22. The liquidity in the system remained in surplus throughout. RBI undertook
various measures, including secondary market G-sec acquisition programme, special
Long-Term Repo operations, on tap targeted Long-Term Repo Operations, etc. to provide
further liquidity in the system. Thereafter, RBI used Variable Rate Reverse Repo, reverse
repo auctions to rebalance liquidity conditions.
Reserve money and broad money supply growth in 2021-22 so far was lower than in the
previous year. The reserve money growth did not fully translate into commensurate broad
money supply growth due to the smaller (adjusted) money multiplier reflecting large deposits
by banks with RBI under reverse repo window. Bank credit growth accelerated gradually
in 2021-22 up from 5.3 per cent in the beginning of April 2021. The very latest data shows
that the bank credit growth stands at 9.2 per cent as on 31
st
December 2021. At the sectoral
level, credit to agriculture sector continued to register robust growth and showed signs of
improvement in the industry sector . Services sector credit growth, however , is yet to recover .
Gross Non-Performing advances ratio of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) continued
to decline from 11.2 per cent at end of 2017-18 to 6.9 per cent at end-September 2021.
Similarly, Net Non-Performing advances ratio declined from 6 per cent to 2.2 per cent
during the same period. Capital to risk-weighted asset ratio of SCBs continued to increase
from 13 per cent in 2013-14 to 16.54 per cent at end-September 2021. The Return on
Assets and Return on Equity for Public Sector Banks became positive in June 2020 and
continued to be positive for the period ending September 2021, after recording negative
profitability ratios from March 2016 to March 2020. The economic shock of the pandemic
has been weathered well by the commercial banking system so far, even if some lagged
impact is still in pipeline.
Monetary Management and
Financial Intermediation
118 Economic Survey 2021-22
MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS
4.1 The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) maint ained status quo on the policy repo rate
during April to December 2021 after a substantial cut of 1 15 basis points (bps) during February-
May 2020 and a cumulativ e 250 basis points cut since February 2019 (Figure 1 and T able 1).
The repo rate which currently stands at 4 per cent is lowest in the last decade (Figure 1). Since
May 2020, the policy rates have been on hold along with an accommodative monetary policy
stance with forward guidance that this stance will continue as long as necessary to revive growth
on durable basis while ensuring that inflation remains within the tar get (Consumer Price Index
inflation of 4 per cent within a band of +/- 2 per cent).
Figure 1: Repo and reverse repo rate (per cent)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Apr, 2011
Aug, 2011
Dec, 2011
Apr, 2012
Aug, 2012
Dec, 2012
Apr, 2013
Aug, 2013
Dec, 2013
Apr, 2014
Aug, 2014
Dec, 2014
Apr, 2015
Aug, 2015
Dec, 2015
Apr, 2016
Aug, 2016
Dec, 2016
Apr, 2017
Aug, 2017
Dec, 2017
Apr, 2018
Aug, 2018
Dec, 2018
Apr, 2019
Aug, 2019
Dec, 2019
Apr, 2020
Aug, 2020
Dec, 2020
Apr, 2021
Aug, 2021
Dec, 2021
per cent
Policy Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate
Source: RBI
The year 2021-22 so far has been an exceptional year for the capital markets. There was
a boom in fundraising through IPOs by many new age companies/tech start-ups/unicorns.
In April-November 2021, ` 89,066 crore were raised via 75 IPO issues, much higher than
in any year in last decade.
The Sensex and Nifty scaled up to touch its peak at 61,766 and 18,477 on October 18,
2021. Among major emerging market economies, Indian markets outperformed the
peers in April-December 2021. The process of insolvency which was suspended in view
of pandemic, started again in end-March 2021. A pre-packaged insolvency resolution
process was provided under IBC as an alternative insolvency resolution process for
corporate Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises in April 2021.
Page 3
CHAPTER
04
Monetary policy and liquidity operations since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic
have geared towards mitigating its adverse impact on economy. Accommodative monetary
policy along with other regulatory dispensations, asset classification standstill, temporary
moratorium and provision of adequate liquidity were put in place in order to provide a
safety net to the system. In 2021-22, some of the measures undertaken by RBI like CRR
reduction reached pre-set sunset dates, liquidity has been wound down partly but remains
in surplus mode and regulatory measures have been realigned.
After several rate cuts in 2019-20 and 2020-21, the repo rate was maintained at 4 per cent
in 2021-22. The liquidity in the system remained in surplus throughout. RBI undertook
various measures, including secondary market G-sec acquisition programme, special
Long-Term Repo operations, on tap targeted Long-Term Repo Operations, etc. to provide
further liquidity in the system. Thereafter, RBI used Variable Rate Reverse Repo, reverse
repo auctions to rebalance liquidity conditions.
Reserve money and broad money supply growth in 2021-22 so far was lower than in the
previous year. The reserve money growth did not fully translate into commensurate broad
money supply growth due to the smaller (adjusted) money multiplier reflecting large deposits
by banks with RBI under reverse repo window. Bank credit growth accelerated gradually
in 2021-22 up from 5.3 per cent in the beginning of April 2021. The very latest data shows
that the bank credit growth stands at 9.2 per cent as on 31
st
December 2021. At the sectoral
level, credit to agriculture sector continued to register robust growth and showed signs of
improvement in the industry sector . Services sector credit growth, however , is yet to recover .
Gross Non-Performing advances ratio of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) continued
to decline from 11.2 per cent at end of 2017-18 to 6.9 per cent at end-September 2021.
Similarly, Net Non-Performing advances ratio declined from 6 per cent to 2.2 per cent
during the same period. Capital to risk-weighted asset ratio of SCBs continued to increase
from 13 per cent in 2013-14 to 16.54 per cent at end-September 2021. The Return on
Assets and Return on Equity for Public Sector Banks became positive in June 2020 and
continued to be positive for the period ending September 2021, after recording negative
profitability ratios from March 2016 to March 2020. The economic shock of the pandemic
has been weathered well by the commercial banking system so far, even if some lagged
impact is still in pipeline.
Monetary Management and
Financial Intermediation
118 Economic Survey 2021-22
MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS
4.1 The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) maint ained status quo on the policy repo rate
during April to December 2021 after a substantial cut of 1 15 basis points (bps) during February-
May 2020 and a cumulativ e 250 basis points cut since February 2019 (Figure 1 and T able 1).
The repo rate which currently stands at 4 per cent is lowest in the last decade (Figure 1). Since
May 2020, the policy rates have been on hold along with an accommodative monetary policy
stance with forward guidance that this stance will continue as long as necessary to revive growth
on durable basis while ensuring that inflation remains within the tar get (Consumer Price Index
inflation of 4 per cent within a band of +/- 2 per cent).
Figure 1: Repo and reverse repo rate (per cent)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Apr, 2011
Aug, 2011
Dec, 2011
Apr, 2012
Aug, 2012
Dec, 2012
Apr, 2013
Aug, 2013
Dec, 2013
Apr, 2014
Aug, 2014
Dec, 2014
Apr, 2015
Aug, 2015
Dec, 2015
Apr, 2016
Aug, 2016
Dec, 2016
Apr, 2017
Aug, 2017
Dec, 2017
Apr, 2018
Aug, 2018
Dec, 2018
Apr, 2019
Aug, 2019
Dec, 2019
Apr, 2020
Aug, 2020
Dec, 2020
Apr, 2021
Aug, 2021
Dec, 2021
per cent
Policy Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate
Source: RBI
The year 2021-22 so far has been an exceptional year for the capital markets. There was
a boom in fundraising through IPOs by many new age companies/tech start-ups/unicorns.
In April-November 2021, ` 89,066 crore were raised via 75 IPO issues, much higher than
in any year in last decade.
The Sensex and Nifty scaled up to touch its peak at 61,766 and 18,477 on October 18,
2021. Among major emerging market economies, Indian markets outperformed the
peers in April-December 2021. The process of insolvency which was suspended in view
of pandemic, started again in end-March 2021. A pre-packaged insolvency resolution
process was provided under IBC as an alternative insolvency resolution process for
corporate Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises in April 2021.
119 Monetary Management and Financial Intermediation
Table 1: Revision in Key Rates set by RBI
Effective Date
Repo Rate
(per cent)
Reverse
Repo Rate
(per cent)
Cash Reserve
Ratio
(per cent of
NDTL)
Statutory
Liquidity Ratio
(per cent of
NDTL)
MSF Rate/
Bank Rate
(per cent)
06-02-2020 5.15 4.90 4.0 18.25 5.40
27-03-2020 4.40 4.00 4.0 18.25 4.65
28-03-2020 4.40 4.00 3.0 18.25 4.65
17-04-2020 4.40 3.75 3.0 18.00 4.65
22-05-2020 4.00 3.35 3.0 18.00 4.25
27-03-2021 4.00 3.35 3.5 18.00 4.25
22-05-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
06-08-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
08-10-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
08-12-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
Source: RBI
Note: NDTL: Net Demand and T ime Liabilities
4.2 In the initial meeting s of 2021-22, MPC noted that while the inflation has hovered above
the upper tole rance band for some months, it was lar gely driven by adverse supply shocks which
were expected to be transito ry . The outlook for aggregate demand was progressively improving
but capacity utilisation rate s were low . The contact intensive services were lagging behind and
the recovery was uneven and required policy support. In the latest MPC meeting in December
2021, the committee pointed out that the outlook was uncertain owing to global spillovers,
potential resur gence in COVID-19 infections and diver gences in policy actions and stances
across the world with inflationary pressures increasing across economies. Accordingly , the MPC
decided to continue monito ring the inflationary pressures, keep the policy repo rate unchanged
at 4 per cent and persist with the accommodative stance.
4.3 In 2021-22 so far , the overall monetary and credit conditions remained accommodative.
However , the growth rates of monetary aggregates- including Reserve money , Broad money
were lower as compared to the last year . Reserve money (M0) recorded a year -on-year (Y oY)
growth of 13 per cent as on 7
th
January 2022, as compa red to 14.3 per cent a year ago. However ,
M0 adjusted for the first-round impact of changes in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) recorded a
lower growth (Y oY) of 7.7 per cent, as compared with 18.3 per cent a year ago (Figure 2).
4.4 Expansion in M0 during 2021-22 so far was driven by bankers’ deposits with the RBI
from the component side, with CRR restoration in phases, effective 27
th
March 2021 and 22
nd
May 2021. Currency in Circulation (CIC) grew by 7.8 per cent as on 7
th
January 2022, lower as
compared to the previous year as precautionary demand for cash subsided (T able 2).
Page 4
CHAPTER
04
Monetary policy and liquidity operations since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic
have geared towards mitigating its adverse impact on economy. Accommodative monetary
policy along with other regulatory dispensations, asset classification standstill, temporary
moratorium and provision of adequate liquidity were put in place in order to provide a
safety net to the system. In 2021-22, some of the measures undertaken by RBI like CRR
reduction reached pre-set sunset dates, liquidity has been wound down partly but remains
in surplus mode and regulatory measures have been realigned.
After several rate cuts in 2019-20 and 2020-21, the repo rate was maintained at 4 per cent
in 2021-22. The liquidity in the system remained in surplus throughout. RBI undertook
various measures, including secondary market G-sec acquisition programme, special
Long-Term Repo operations, on tap targeted Long-Term Repo Operations, etc. to provide
further liquidity in the system. Thereafter, RBI used Variable Rate Reverse Repo, reverse
repo auctions to rebalance liquidity conditions.
Reserve money and broad money supply growth in 2021-22 so far was lower than in the
previous year. The reserve money growth did not fully translate into commensurate broad
money supply growth due to the smaller (adjusted) money multiplier reflecting large deposits
by banks with RBI under reverse repo window. Bank credit growth accelerated gradually
in 2021-22 up from 5.3 per cent in the beginning of April 2021. The very latest data shows
that the bank credit growth stands at 9.2 per cent as on 31
st
December 2021. At the sectoral
level, credit to agriculture sector continued to register robust growth and showed signs of
improvement in the industry sector . Services sector credit growth, however , is yet to recover .
Gross Non-Performing advances ratio of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) continued
to decline from 11.2 per cent at end of 2017-18 to 6.9 per cent at end-September 2021.
Similarly, Net Non-Performing advances ratio declined from 6 per cent to 2.2 per cent
during the same period. Capital to risk-weighted asset ratio of SCBs continued to increase
from 13 per cent in 2013-14 to 16.54 per cent at end-September 2021. The Return on
Assets and Return on Equity for Public Sector Banks became positive in June 2020 and
continued to be positive for the period ending September 2021, after recording negative
profitability ratios from March 2016 to March 2020. The economic shock of the pandemic
has been weathered well by the commercial banking system so far, even if some lagged
impact is still in pipeline.
Monetary Management and
Financial Intermediation
118 Economic Survey 2021-22
MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS
4.1 The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) maint ained status quo on the policy repo rate
during April to December 2021 after a substantial cut of 1 15 basis points (bps) during February-
May 2020 and a cumulativ e 250 basis points cut since February 2019 (Figure 1 and T able 1).
The repo rate which currently stands at 4 per cent is lowest in the last decade (Figure 1). Since
May 2020, the policy rates have been on hold along with an accommodative monetary policy
stance with forward guidance that this stance will continue as long as necessary to revive growth
on durable basis while ensuring that inflation remains within the tar get (Consumer Price Index
inflation of 4 per cent within a band of +/- 2 per cent).
Figure 1: Repo and reverse repo rate (per cent)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Apr, 2011
Aug, 2011
Dec, 2011
Apr, 2012
Aug, 2012
Dec, 2012
Apr, 2013
Aug, 2013
Dec, 2013
Apr, 2014
Aug, 2014
Dec, 2014
Apr, 2015
Aug, 2015
Dec, 2015
Apr, 2016
Aug, 2016
Dec, 2016
Apr, 2017
Aug, 2017
Dec, 2017
Apr, 2018
Aug, 2018
Dec, 2018
Apr, 2019
Aug, 2019
Dec, 2019
Apr, 2020
Aug, 2020
Dec, 2020
Apr, 2021
Aug, 2021
Dec, 2021
per cent
Policy Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate
Source: RBI
The year 2021-22 so far has been an exceptional year for the capital markets. There was
a boom in fundraising through IPOs by many new age companies/tech start-ups/unicorns.
In April-November 2021, ` 89,066 crore were raised via 75 IPO issues, much higher than
in any year in last decade.
The Sensex and Nifty scaled up to touch its peak at 61,766 and 18,477 on October 18,
2021. Among major emerging market economies, Indian markets outperformed the
peers in April-December 2021. The process of insolvency which was suspended in view
of pandemic, started again in end-March 2021. A pre-packaged insolvency resolution
process was provided under IBC as an alternative insolvency resolution process for
corporate Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises in April 2021.
119 Monetary Management and Financial Intermediation
Table 1: Revision in Key Rates set by RBI
Effective Date
Repo Rate
(per cent)
Reverse
Repo Rate
(per cent)
Cash Reserve
Ratio
(per cent of
NDTL)
Statutory
Liquidity Ratio
(per cent of
NDTL)
MSF Rate/
Bank Rate
(per cent)
06-02-2020 5.15 4.90 4.0 18.25 5.40
27-03-2020 4.40 4.00 4.0 18.25 4.65
28-03-2020 4.40 4.00 3.0 18.25 4.65
17-04-2020 4.40 3.75 3.0 18.00 4.65
22-05-2020 4.00 3.35 3.0 18.00 4.25
27-03-2021 4.00 3.35 3.5 18.00 4.25
22-05-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
06-08-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
08-10-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
08-12-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
Source: RBI
Note: NDTL: Net Demand and T ime Liabilities
4.2 In the initial meeting s of 2021-22, MPC noted that while the inflation has hovered above
the upper tole rance band for some months, it was lar gely driven by adverse supply shocks which
were expected to be transito ry . The outlook for aggregate demand was progressively improving
but capacity utilisation rate s were low . The contact intensive services were lagging behind and
the recovery was uneven and required policy support. In the latest MPC meeting in December
2021, the committee pointed out that the outlook was uncertain owing to global spillovers,
potential resur gence in COVID-19 infections and diver gences in policy actions and stances
across the world with inflationary pressures increasing across economies. Accordingly , the MPC
decided to continue monito ring the inflationary pressures, keep the policy repo rate unchanged
at 4 per cent and persist with the accommodative stance.
4.3 In 2021-22 so far , the overall monetary and credit conditions remained accommodative.
However , the growth rates of monetary aggregates- including Reserve money , Broad money
were lower as compared to the last year . Reserve money (M0) recorded a year -on-year (Y oY)
growth of 13 per cent as on 7
th
January 2022, as compa red to 14.3 per cent a year ago. However ,
M0 adjusted for the first-round impact of changes in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) recorded a
lower growth (Y oY) of 7.7 per cent, as compared with 18.3 per cent a year ago (Figure 2).
4.4 Expansion in M0 during 2021-22 so far was driven by bankers’ deposits with the RBI
from the component side, with CRR restoration in phases, effective 27
th
March 2021 and 22
nd
May 2021. Currency in Circulation (CIC) grew by 7.8 per cent as on 7
th
January 2022, lower as
compared to the previous year as precautionary demand for cash subsided (T able 2).
120 Economic Survey 2021-22
Table 2: Growth (YoY) in Monetary Aggregates (end-March) (per cent)
Item 2015-16 2016-17
^
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
*
Currency in Circulation (CIC) 14.9 -19.7 37.0 16.8 14.5 16.6 7.8
#
Cash with Banks 6.6 4.2 -2.1 21.4 15.4 4.5 10.7
Currency with the Public 15.2 -20.8 39.2 16.6 14.5 17.1 7.7
Bankers’ Deposits with the RBI 7.8 8.4 3.9 6.4 -9.6 28.5 42.0
#
Demand Deposits 1 1.0 18.4 6.2 9.6 6.8 14.8 26.2
T ime Deposits 9.2 10.2 5.8 9.6 8.1 10.9 8.2
Reserve Money (M0) 13.1 -12.9 27.3 14.5 9.4 18.8 13.0
#
Broad Money (M3) 10.1 6.9 9.2 10.5 8.9 12.2 9.9
Source: RBI
Note: ^: March 31, 2017 over April 1, 2016 barring Reserve Money (M0), Currency in Circulation (CIC) and
Bankers’ Deposits with the RBI (BD), *: As on December 31, 2021, #: As on January 7, 2022.
Figure 2: M0, CRR Adjusted M0 and CiC Growth (YoY)
Source: RBI
Note: CIC: Currency in Circulation, CRR: Cash Reserve Ratio
4.5 In 2021-22 so far , the Y oY growth of broad money (M3) stood at 9.9 per cent as on
31
st December , as compared to 12.5 per cent a year ago (Figure 3). From the component side,
aggregate deposits which is the lar gest component - has contributed most to the expansion of M3
during the year so far (Figure 4). Amongst sources, bank credit to the government was a major
contributor to the increase in broad money . Banks’ higher investments in liquid and risk-free
assets such as SLR securiti es and G-secs, resulted in higher net bank credit to the government.
Bank credit to the commer cial sector also supplemented M3 expansion from the sources side.
The Y oY credit growth for Scheduled Commercial Banks was 9.2 per cent as on 31
st December
2021 as compared to 6.6 per cent a year ago, reflecting pick-up in credit.
Page 5
CHAPTER
04
Monetary policy and liquidity operations since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic
have geared towards mitigating its adverse impact on economy. Accommodative monetary
policy along with other regulatory dispensations, asset classification standstill, temporary
moratorium and provision of adequate liquidity were put in place in order to provide a
safety net to the system. In 2021-22, some of the measures undertaken by RBI like CRR
reduction reached pre-set sunset dates, liquidity has been wound down partly but remains
in surplus mode and regulatory measures have been realigned.
After several rate cuts in 2019-20 and 2020-21, the repo rate was maintained at 4 per cent
in 2021-22. The liquidity in the system remained in surplus throughout. RBI undertook
various measures, including secondary market G-sec acquisition programme, special
Long-Term Repo operations, on tap targeted Long-Term Repo Operations, etc. to provide
further liquidity in the system. Thereafter, RBI used Variable Rate Reverse Repo, reverse
repo auctions to rebalance liquidity conditions.
Reserve money and broad money supply growth in 2021-22 so far was lower than in the
previous year. The reserve money growth did not fully translate into commensurate broad
money supply growth due to the smaller (adjusted) money multiplier reflecting large deposits
by banks with RBI under reverse repo window. Bank credit growth accelerated gradually
in 2021-22 up from 5.3 per cent in the beginning of April 2021. The very latest data shows
that the bank credit growth stands at 9.2 per cent as on 31
st
December 2021. At the sectoral
level, credit to agriculture sector continued to register robust growth and showed signs of
improvement in the industry sector . Services sector credit growth, however , is yet to recover .
Gross Non-Performing advances ratio of Scheduled Commercial Banks (SCBs) continued
to decline from 11.2 per cent at end of 2017-18 to 6.9 per cent at end-September 2021.
Similarly, Net Non-Performing advances ratio declined from 6 per cent to 2.2 per cent
during the same period. Capital to risk-weighted asset ratio of SCBs continued to increase
from 13 per cent in 2013-14 to 16.54 per cent at end-September 2021. The Return on
Assets and Return on Equity for Public Sector Banks became positive in June 2020 and
continued to be positive for the period ending September 2021, after recording negative
profitability ratios from March 2016 to March 2020. The economic shock of the pandemic
has been weathered well by the commercial banking system so far, even if some lagged
impact is still in pipeline.
Monetary Management and
Financial Intermediation
118 Economic Survey 2021-22
MONETARY DEVELOPMENTS
4.1 The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) maint ained status quo on the policy repo rate
during April to December 2021 after a substantial cut of 1 15 basis points (bps) during February-
May 2020 and a cumulativ e 250 basis points cut since February 2019 (Figure 1 and T able 1).
The repo rate which currently stands at 4 per cent is lowest in the last decade (Figure 1). Since
May 2020, the policy rates have been on hold along with an accommodative monetary policy
stance with forward guidance that this stance will continue as long as necessary to revive growth
on durable basis while ensuring that inflation remains within the tar get (Consumer Price Index
inflation of 4 per cent within a band of +/- 2 per cent).
Figure 1: Repo and reverse repo rate (per cent)
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Apr, 2011
Aug, 2011
Dec, 2011
Apr, 2012
Aug, 2012
Dec, 2012
Apr, 2013
Aug, 2013
Dec, 2013
Apr, 2014
Aug, 2014
Dec, 2014
Apr, 2015
Aug, 2015
Dec, 2015
Apr, 2016
Aug, 2016
Dec, 2016
Apr, 2017
Aug, 2017
Dec, 2017
Apr, 2018
Aug, 2018
Dec, 2018
Apr, 2019
Aug, 2019
Dec, 2019
Apr, 2020
Aug, 2020
Dec, 2020
Apr, 2021
Aug, 2021
Dec, 2021
per cent
Policy Repo Rate Reverse Repo Rate
Source: RBI
The year 2021-22 so far has been an exceptional year for the capital markets. There was
a boom in fundraising through IPOs by many new age companies/tech start-ups/unicorns.
In April-November 2021, ` 89,066 crore were raised via 75 IPO issues, much higher than
in any year in last decade.
The Sensex and Nifty scaled up to touch its peak at 61,766 and 18,477 on October 18,
2021. Among major emerging market economies, Indian markets outperformed the
peers in April-December 2021. The process of insolvency which was suspended in view
of pandemic, started again in end-March 2021. A pre-packaged insolvency resolution
process was provided under IBC as an alternative insolvency resolution process for
corporate Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises in April 2021.
119 Monetary Management and Financial Intermediation
Table 1: Revision in Key Rates set by RBI
Effective Date
Repo Rate
(per cent)
Reverse
Repo Rate
(per cent)
Cash Reserve
Ratio
(per cent of
NDTL)
Statutory
Liquidity Ratio
(per cent of
NDTL)
MSF Rate/
Bank Rate
(per cent)
06-02-2020 5.15 4.90 4.0 18.25 5.40
27-03-2020 4.40 4.00 4.0 18.25 4.65
28-03-2020 4.40 4.00 3.0 18.25 4.65
17-04-2020 4.40 3.75 3.0 18.00 4.65
22-05-2020 4.00 3.35 3.0 18.00 4.25
27-03-2021 4.00 3.35 3.5 18.00 4.25
22-05-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
06-08-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
08-10-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
08-12-2021 4.00 3.35 4.0 18.00 4.25
Source: RBI
Note: NDTL: Net Demand and T ime Liabilities
4.2 In the initial meeting s of 2021-22, MPC noted that while the inflation has hovered above
the upper tole rance band for some months, it was lar gely driven by adverse supply shocks which
were expected to be transito ry . The outlook for aggregate demand was progressively improving
but capacity utilisation rate s were low . The contact intensive services were lagging behind and
the recovery was uneven and required policy support. In the latest MPC meeting in December
2021, the committee pointed out that the outlook was uncertain owing to global spillovers,
potential resur gence in COVID-19 infections and diver gences in policy actions and stances
across the world with inflationary pressures increasing across economies. Accordingly , the MPC
decided to continue monito ring the inflationary pressures, keep the policy repo rate unchanged
at 4 per cent and persist with the accommodative stance.
4.3 In 2021-22 so far , the overall monetary and credit conditions remained accommodative.
However , the growth rates of monetary aggregates- including Reserve money , Broad money
were lower as compared to the last year . Reserve money (M0) recorded a year -on-year (Y oY)
growth of 13 per cent as on 7
th
January 2022, as compa red to 14.3 per cent a year ago. However ,
M0 adjusted for the first-round impact of changes in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) recorded a
lower growth (Y oY) of 7.7 per cent, as compared with 18.3 per cent a year ago (Figure 2).
4.4 Expansion in M0 during 2021-22 so far was driven by bankers’ deposits with the RBI
from the component side, with CRR restoration in phases, effective 27
th
March 2021 and 22
nd
May 2021. Currency in Circulation (CIC) grew by 7.8 per cent as on 7
th
January 2022, lower as
compared to the previous year as precautionary demand for cash subsided (T able 2).
120 Economic Survey 2021-22
Table 2: Growth (YoY) in Monetary Aggregates (end-March) (per cent)
Item 2015-16 2016-17
^
2017-18 2018-19 2019-20 2020-21 2021-22
*
Currency in Circulation (CIC) 14.9 -19.7 37.0 16.8 14.5 16.6 7.8
#
Cash with Banks 6.6 4.2 -2.1 21.4 15.4 4.5 10.7
Currency with the Public 15.2 -20.8 39.2 16.6 14.5 17.1 7.7
Bankers’ Deposits with the RBI 7.8 8.4 3.9 6.4 -9.6 28.5 42.0
#
Demand Deposits 1 1.0 18.4 6.2 9.6 6.8 14.8 26.2
T ime Deposits 9.2 10.2 5.8 9.6 8.1 10.9 8.2
Reserve Money (M0) 13.1 -12.9 27.3 14.5 9.4 18.8 13.0
#
Broad Money (M3) 10.1 6.9 9.2 10.5 8.9 12.2 9.9
Source: RBI
Note: ^: March 31, 2017 over April 1, 2016 barring Reserve Money (M0), Currency in Circulation (CIC) and
Bankers’ Deposits with the RBI (BD), *: As on December 31, 2021, #: As on January 7, 2022.
Figure 2: M0, CRR Adjusted M0 and CiC Growth (YoY)
Source: RBI
Note: CIC: Currency in Circulation, CRR: Cash Reserve Ratio
4.5 In 2021-22 so far , the Y oY growth of broad money (M3) stood at 9.9 per cent as on
31
st December , as compared to 12.5 per cent a year ago (Figure 3). From the component side,
aggregate deposits which is the lar gest component - has contributed most to the expansion of M3
during the year so far (Figure 4). Amongst sources, bank credit to the government was a major
contributor to the increase in broad money . Banks’ higher investments in liquid and risk-free
assets such as SLR securiti es and G-secs, resulted in higher net bank credit to the government.
Bank credit to the commer cial sector also supplemented M3 expansion from the sources side.
The Y oY credit growth for Scheduled Commercial Banks was 9.2 per cent as on 31
st December
2021 as compared to 6.6 per cent a year ago, reflecting pick-up in credit.
121 Monetary Management and Financial Intermediation
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
Apr 10,20
Jun 10,20
Aug 10,20
Oct 10,20
Dec 10,20
Feb 10,21
Apr 10,21
Jun 10,21
Aug 10,21
Oct 10,21
Dec 10,21
per cent
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
Apr 10,20
Jun 10,20
Aug 10,20
Oct 10,20
Dec 10,20
Feb 10,21
Apr 10,21
Jun 10,21
Aug 10,21
Oct 10,21
Dec 10,21
per cent
Figure 3: Broad Money Growth (YoY) Figure 4: Aggregate Deposits Growth (YoY)
Source: RBI
4.6 Money multiplier - measured as a ratio of M3 to M0 has been on the decline since 2017-18
(Figure 5(a)). As on 31
st March 2021, money multi plier (MM) stood at 5.2 from 5.6 a year ago.
However , money multiplie r adjusted for reverse repo - analytically akin to banks’ deposits with
the central bank - turned out to be lower at 4.6 by end-March 2021. The gap between MM and
adjusted MM reflects parking of funds by banks under the reverse repo window of the RBI and
to some extent a weak credit creation process. Money multiplier , however , improved slightly to
5.3 as on 31
st December 2021, while adjusted MM sta nds at 4.4 (Figure 5 (b)).
Figure 5: Money Multiplier
-
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
1951-52
1956-57
1961-62
1966-67
1971-72
1976-77
1981-82
1986-87
1991-92
1996-97
2001-02
2006-07
2011-12
2016-17
2021-22*
ratio
(5a) (5b)
Source: RBI
Note: Money multiplier adjusted for reverse repo is based on reserve money adjusted for commercial banks’ reverse
repo deposits with RBI, *Number for 2021-22 is as of 31
st December 2021 in Figure 5(a)
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