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Page 1 Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Lesson: Inflation and Unemployment Lesson Developer: Abhishek Kumar College/Department: St. Stephan’s College, University of Delhi Page 2 Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Lesson: Inflation and Unemployment Lesson Developer: Abhishek Kumar College/Department: St. Stephan’s College, University of Delhi Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Structure 1. Learning Outcomes 2. Introduction 3. Inflation 3.1 Causes of Inflation 3.2 Demand Pull Inflation 3.3 Supply Shock or Cost Push Inflation 3.4 Wage Push Inflation 3.5 Profit push inflation 3.6 Supply shock inflation 4 Unemployment 4.1Various types of unemployment 5 Phillip Curve 5.1 Aggregate Supply Curve 5.2 Phillip curve 5.3 Explanation for Phillip curve relation. 6. Long run Phillip curve Summary References Glossory Page 3 Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Lesson: Inflation and Unemployment Lesson Developer: Abhishek Kumar College/Department: St. Stephan’s College, University of Delhi Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Structure 1. Learning Outcomes 2. Introduction 3. Inflation 3.1 Causes of Inflation 3.2 Demand Pull Inflation 3.3 Supply Shock or Cost Push Inflation 3.4 Wage Push Inflation 3.5 Profit push inflation 3.6 Supply shock inflation 4 Unemployment 4.1Various types of unemployment 5 Phillip Curve 5.1 Aggregate Supply Curve 5.2 Phillip curve 5.3 Explanation for Phillip curve relation. 6. Long run Phillip curve Summary References Glossory Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi 1.Learning Outcomes • The idea of inflation would be clear • Different reasons for inflation will be clear • Unemployment definition and its type is discussed • Relation between inflation and unemployment is elaborated • The relation between price and supply will be clear( aggregate supply curve) • Long run relation between inflation and unemployment is discussed. 2. Introduction The word inflation rings bell in everybody’s mind, be it an economist or sociologist or related to ant other profession. The simple reason for it is that inflation is something which increases the overall prices in an economy and therefore affects every household in a society. Whenever there is news of increase in prices in an economy it generally covered by almost all the newspaper in an economy. An increase in prices for some period may bring political changes in an economy. The growth of an economy is adversely affected if inflation is high in an economy. Given the importance of inflation in an economy it becomes imperative to have an understanding of the same. By the end of the chapter one will be in the position to understand the different concepts of inflation and unemployment. Although they appear to be simple as one comes across them in day to day activities however there are certain details which one needs to understand to appreciate the two. The chapter will start with giving the definition of inflation and unemployment. Thereafter it will explain different types of inflation and unemployment. Cause of inflation will make the reader understand difference between cost push and demand pull inflation. Once familiar with the idea one can easily apply it to the day to day activity to see what is the nature of inflation and what the tools to counter it are. Once the concept of inflation and unemployment is developed the chapter moves on to explain the relation of inflation with unemployment. The chapter is expected to develop certain understanding that helps the reader to appreciate the different policies pursued by the planners to counter the rising inflation in an economy. Whether there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment or not will be elaborated at the end of the chapter. Once the concept of tradeoff is clear it will be easy for one to understand the various efforts the government undertakes and its results. 3. Inflation Inflation is defined as the overall or average increase in price of a basket of commodities from a reference period. It should be clear that inflation is not an increase in price of one good. It is instead the increase in price of a basket of commodity. Thus inflation implies that an increase in general price level in the economy rather than an increase in price of one commodity. Similarly deflation refers to a general decline in overall prices in an economy. A controlled increase in prices is good for an economy. Page 4 Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Lesson: Inflation and Unemployment Lesson Developer: Abhishek Kumar College/Department: St. Stephan’s College, University of Delhi Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Structure 1. Learning Outcomes 2. Introduction 3. Inflation 3.1 Causes of Inflation 3.2 Demand Pull Inflation 3.3 Supply Shock or Cost Push Inflation 3.4 Wage Push Inflation 3.5 Profit push inflation 3.6 Supply shock inflation 4 Unemployment 4.1Various types of unemployment 5 Phillip Curve 5.1 Aggregate Supply Curve 5.2 Phillip curve 5.3 Explanation for Phillip curve relation. 6. Long run Phillip curve Summary References Glossory Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi 1.Learning Outcomes • The idea of inflation would be clear • Different reasons for inflation will be clear • Unemployment definition and its type is discussed • Relation between inflation and unemployment is elaborated • The relation between price and supply will be clear( aggregate supply curve) • Long run relation between inflation and unemployment is discussed. 2. Introduction The word inflation rings bell in everybody’s mind, be it an economist or sociologist or related to ant other profession. The simple reason for it is that inflation is something which increases the overall prices in an economy and therefore affects every household in a society. Whenever there is news of increase in prices in an economy it generally covered by almost all the newspaper in an economy. An increase in prices for some period may bring political changes in an economy. The growth of an economy is adversely affected if inflation is high in an economy. Given the importance of inflation in an economy it becomes imperative to have an understanding of the same. By the end of the chapter one will be in the position to understand the different concepts of inflation and unemployment. Although they appear to be simple as one comes across them in day to day activities however there are certain details which one needs to understand to appreciate the two. The chapter will start with giving the definition of inflation and unemployment. Thereafter it will explain different types of inflation and unemployment. Cause of inflation will make the reader understand difference between cost push and demand pull inflation. Once familiar with the idea one can easily apply it to the day to day activity to see what is the nature of inflation and what the tools to counter it are. Once the concept of inflation and unemployment is developed the chapter moves on to explain the relation of inflation with unemployment. The chapter is expected to develop certain understanding that helps the reader to appreciate the different policies pursued by the planners to counter the rising inflation in an economy. Whether there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment or not will be elaborated at the end of the chapter. Once the concept of tradeoff is clear it will be easy for one to understand the various efforts the government undertakes and its results. 3. Inflation Inflation is defined as the overall or average increase in price of a basket of commodities from a reference period. It should be clear that inflation is not an increase in price of one good. It is instead the increase in price of a basket of commodity. Thus inflation implies that an increase in general price level in the economy rather than an increase in price of one commodity. Similarly deflation refers to a general decline in overall prices in an economy. A controlled increase in prices is good for an economy. Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi It is also useful to distinguish between one time increase in prices and sustained increase in prices. One time increase in price implies that the price rises in a particular period and thereafter it stops rising. On the other hand sustained increase in prices means that increase in prices is maintained over a longer period of time rather than just one period. 3.1 Causes of Inflation Once the meaning of inflation is clear, it is time to move towards a deeper understanding of inflation. There are various explanations for inflation in an economy. 3.2 Demand Pull Inflation Demand pull inflation is caused by the increase in aggregate demand in the economy. Aggregate demand in the economy consists of household consumption expenditure on final goods, Firms investment expenditure, Government expenditure and Net Exports. Aggregate Expenditure = C +I +G +(X –M) Any factor other than prices which increases aggregate expenditure in the economy would result in demand pull inflation. Thus inflation which is caused due to increase in aggregate demand is known as demand pull inflation. Demand pull inflation can be caused by any factor that results in the rightward shift of the aggregate demand in the economy. Expansionary fiscal or expansionary monetary policy adopted by the government can result in demand pull inflation. Expansionary fiscal or monetary policy results in rightward shift of the demand curve. Expansionary fiscal policy is a situation where the government expenditure tends to grow at a faster pace than growth in the taxes or revenue of the government. This excess growth of expenditure in comparison to revenue results in government budget moving towards deficit. If the government was previously running surplus, expansionary fiscal policy would reduce that surplus. If the government was running a balance budget expansionary fiscal policy would result into deficit. If the government budget were already in deficits then those deficits would be on a rise with expansionary fiscal policy. Thus Expansionary fiscal policy would result in the right word shift of the aggregate demand curve and thus higher prices. Expansionary monetary policy or cheap money policy is the policy where the money supply in the economy is increased. The increase in money supply will reduces the rate of interest in the economy. The fall in the rate of interest spurs consumption demand as borrowing money becomes easier. As rate of interest falls buying consumer goods on credit becomes cheap as well as home loan rates take a dip which results in the rise in demand for new homes in an economy. Moreover the fall in the rate of interest induces firms to invest more as their profitability goes up with the fall in the cost of borrowing capital. Aggregate expenditure which is the sum of C +I +G +(X –M) in the economy goes up as consumption expenditure of the households and investment expenditure of the firms goes up. This shifts the aggregate demand curve upward or rightward resulting in the increase in prices in the economy. Page 5 Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Lesson: Inflation and Unemployment Lesson Developer: Abhishek Kumar College/Department: St. Stephan’s College, University of Delhi Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi Structure 1. Learning Outcomes 2. Introduction 3. Inflation 3.1 Causes of Inflation 3.2 Demand Pull Inflation 3.3 Supply Shock or Cost Push Inflation 3.4 Wage Push Inflation 3.5 Profit push inflation 3.6 Supply shock inflation 4 Unemployment 4.1Various types of unemployment 5 Phillip Curve 5.1 Aggregate Supply Curve 5.2 Phillip curve 5.3 Explanation for Phillip curve relation. 6. Long run Phillip curve Summary References Glossory Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi 1.Learning Outcomes • The idea of inflation would be clear • Different reasons for inflation will be clear • Unemployment definition and its type is discussed • Relation between inflation and unemployment is elaborated • The relation between price and supply will be clear( aggregate supply curve) • Long run relation between inflation and unemployment is discussed. 2. Introduction The word inflation rings bell in everybody’s mind, be it an economist or sociologist or related to ant other profession. The simple reason for it is that inflation is something which increases the overall prices in an economy and therefore affects every household in a society. Whenever there is news of increase in prices in an economy it generally covered by almost all the newspaper in an economy. An increase in prices for some period may bring political changes in an economy. The growth of an economy is adversely affected if inflation is high in an economy. Given the importance of inflation in an economy it becomes imperative to have an understanding of the same. By the end of the chapter one will be in the position to understand the different concepts of inflation and unemployment. Although they appear to be simple as one comes across them in day to day activities however there are certain details which one needs to understand to appreciate the two. The chapter will start with giving the definition of inflation and unemployment. Thereafter it will explain different types of inflation and unemployment. Cause of inflation will make the reader understand difference between cost push and demand pull inflation. Once familiar with the idea one can easily apply it to the day to day activity to see what is the nature of inflation and what the tools to counter it are. Once the concept of inflation and unemployment is developed the chapter moves on to explain the relation of inflation with unemployment. The chapter is expected to develop certain understanding that helps the reader to appreciate the different policies pursued by the planners to counter the rising inflation in an economy. Whether there is a tradeoff between inflation and unemployment or not will be elaborated at the end of the chapter. Once the concept of tradeoff is clear it will be easy for one to understand the various efforts the government undertakes and its results. 3. Inflation Inflation is defined as the overall or average increase in price of a basket of commodities from a reference period. It should be clear that inflation is not an increase in price of one good. It is instead the increase in price of a basket of commodity. Thus inflation implies that an increase in general price level in the economy rather than an increase in price of one commodity. Similarly deflation refers to a general decline in overall prices in an economy. A controlled increase in prices is good for an economy. Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi It is also useful to distinguish between one time increase in prices and sustained increase in prices. One time increase in price implies that the price rises in a particular period and thereafter it stops rising. On the other hand sustained increase in prices means that increase in prices is maintained over a longer period of time rather than just one period. 3.1 Causes of Inflation Once the meaning of inflation is clear, it is time to move towards a deeper understanding of inflation. There are various explanations for inflation in an economy. 3.2 Demand Pull Inflation Demand pull inflation is caused by the increase in aggregate demand in the economy. Aggregate demand in the economy consists of household consumption expenditure on final goods, Firms investment expenditure, Government expenditure and Net Exports. Aggregate Expenditure = C +I +G +(X –M) Any factor other than prices which increases aggregate expenditure in the economy would result in demand pull inflation. Thus inflation which is caused due to increase in aggregate demand is known as demand pull inflation. Demand pull inflation can be caused by any factor that results in the rightward shift of the aggregate demand in the economy. Expansionary fiscal or expansionary monetary policy adopted by the government can result in demand pull inflation. Expansionary fiscal or monetary policy results in rightward shift of the demand curve. Expansionary fiscal policy is a situation where the government expenditure tends to grow at a faster pace than growth in the taxes or revenue of the government. This excess growth of expenditure in comparison to revenue results in government budget moving towards deficit. If the government was previously running surplus, expansionary fiscal policy would reduce that surplus. If the government was running a balance budget expansionary fiscal policy would result into deficit. If the government budget were already in deficits then those deficits would be on a rise with expansionary fiscal policy. Thus Expansionary fiscal policy would result in the right word shift of the aggregate demand curve and thus higher prices. Expansionary monetary policy or cheap money policy is the policy where the money supply in the economy is increased. The increase in money supply will reduces the rate of interest in the economy. The fall in the rate of interest spurs consumption demand as borrowing money becomes easier. As rate of interest falls buying consumer goods on credit becomes cheap as well as home loan rates take a dip which results in the rise in demand for new homes in an economy. Moreover the fall in the rate of interest induces firms to invest more as their profitability goes up with the fall in the cost of borrowing capital. Aggregate expenditure which is the sum of C +I +G +(X –M) in the economy goes up as consumption expenditure of the households and investment expenditure of the firms goes up. This shifts the aggregate demand curve upward or rightward resulting in the increase in prices in the economy. Inflation and Unemployment Institute of Lifelong Learning, University of Delhi In the above diagram the vertical line represents long run aggregate supply curve whereas SRAS is the short run aggregate supply curve.AD and AD 1 curve represents the aggregate demand curve. The intersection of aggregate demand and aggregate supply curve determines the economy’s output as well as prices. Initially the economy is at equilibrium where the short run aggregate supply curve intersects the aggregate demand curve AD. The equilibrium output is Y and equilibrium price is P. Expansionary fiscal or expansionary monetary policy would shift the aggregate demand curve towards the right. The rightward shift of aggregate demand curve affects both the output as well as price in the economy.The increase in price that results from rightward shift of aggregate demand is called as demand pull inflation. Supply Shock or Cost Push Inflation. Supply shock or cost push inflation is the result of fall or upward shift of short run aggregate supply curve.Read More
1. What is inflation and how does it affect the economy? |
2. What are the main causes of inflation? |
3. How is inflation measured and monitored? |
4. What is the relationship between inflation and unemployment? |
5. How does the government try to control inflation and unemployment? |
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