PPT- Business Cycles | SSC CGL Tier 2 - Study Material, Online Tests, Previous Year PDF Download

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Business Cycles
Page 2


Business Cycles
Business Cycle
?
Shows the periodic up and down movements in 
economic activities. 
?
Economic activities measured in terms of 
production, employment and income move in a 
cyclical manner over a period of time. 
?
Cyclical movement is characterized by 
alternative waves of expansion and contraction. 
?
Associated with alternate periods of prosperity 
and depression. 
Page 3


Business Cycles
Business Cycle
?
Shows the periodic up and down movements in 
economic activities. 
?
Economic activities measured in terms of 
production, employment and income move in a 
cyclical manner over a period of time. 
?
Cyclical movement is characterized by 
alternative waves of expansion and contraction. 
?
Associated with alternate periods of prosperity 
and depression. 
Characteristics of Business Cycles
?
Periodicity 
?
Wavelike movements in income and employment occur at 
intervals of 6 to 12 years. 
?
Gap between two cycles is not regular or predictable with 
certainty. 
?
Synchronism
?
Impact is all embracing, i.e. large sections of the economy 
experience the same phase. 
?
Happens because of interdependence of various sectors of the 
economy. 
?
Self Reinforcing
?
Due to interdependence in the economy, cyclical movements 
faced by one sector spread to other sectors in the economy; and 
from one economy to other economies. 
?
Thus the upward swing of the cycle is reinforced for further 
upward movement and vice versa.
Page 4


Business Cycles
Business Cycle
?
Shows the periodic up and down movements in 
economic activities. 
?
Economic activities measured in terms of 
production, employment and income move in a 
cyclical manner over a period of time. 
?
Cyclical movement is characterized by 
alternative waves of expansion and contraction. 
?
Associated with alternate periods of prosperity 
and depression. 
Characteristics of Business Cycles
?
Periodicity 
?
Wavelike movements in income and employment occur at 
intervals of 6 to 12 years. 
?
Gap between two cycles is not regular or predictable with 
certainty. 
?
Synchronism
?
Impact is all embracing, i.e. large sections of the economy 
experience the same phase. 
?
Happens because of interdependence of various sectors of the 
economy. 
?
Self Reinforcing
?
Due to interdependence in the economy, cyclical movements 
faced by one sector spread to other sectors in the economy; and 
from one economy to other economies. 
?
Thus the upward swing of the cycle is reinforced for further 
upward movement and vice versa.
Time Unit 
(years)
GNP 
(%)
Phases of Business Cycle
Four phases: 
?
Expansion, B to C 
and From F
?
Peak, (Boom) C to D
?
Contraction  D to E 
(recession), 
?
Trough (Slump/ 
depression) A to B and 
E to F
•
Time gap between two bouts of trough (from B to E) or peaks (from 
D to G) can vary between 6 to 12 years. 
•
For 3 to 5 years, the economy experiences growth, then for another 
3 to 5 years, it faces contraction or recession.
•
GG’ is the steady growth line, to show that the general trend is that 
of growth. 
Expansion
Contraction
Trough
A B
C D
E
F
Peak
Expansion
Contraction
Slump
G
G’
Page 5


Business Cycles
Business Cycle
?
Shows the periodic up and down movements in 
economic activities. 
?
Economic activities measured in terms of 
production, employment and income move in a 
cyclical manner over a period of time. 
?
Cyclical movement is characterized by 
alternative waves of expansion and contraction. 
?
Associated with alternate periods of prosperity 
and depression. 
Characteristics of Business Cycles
?
Periodicity 
?
Wavelike movements in income and employment occur at 
intervals of 6 to 12 years. 
?
Gap between two cycles is not regular or predictable with 
certainty. 
?
Synchronism
?
Impact is all embracing, i.e. large sections of the economy 
experience the same phase. 
?
Happens because of interdependence of various sectors of the 
economy. 
?
Self Reinforcing
?
Due to interdependence in the economy, cyclical movements 
faced by one sector spread to other sectors in the economy; and 
from one economy to other economies. 
?
Thus the upward swing of the cycle is reinforced for further 
upward movement and vice versa.
Time Unit 
(years)
GNP 
(%)
Phases of Business Cycle
Four phases: 
?
Expansion, B to C 
and From F
?
Peak, (Boom) C to D
?
Contraction  D to E 
(recession), 
?
Trough (Slump/ 
depression) A to B and 
E to F
•
Time gap between two bouts of trough (from B to E) or peaks (from 
D to G) can vary between 6 to 12 years. 
•
For 3 to 5 years, the economy experiences growth, then for another 
3 to 5 years, it faces contraction or recession.
•
GG’ is the steady growth line, to show that the general trend is that 
of growth. 
Expansion
Contraction
Trough
A B
C D
E
F
Peak
Expansion
Contraction
Slump
G
G’
Phases of Business Cycle
?
Expansion: when all macro economic variables like 
output, employment, income and consumption 
increase. 
?
Prices move up, money supply increases, self reinforcing 
feature of business cycle pushes the economy upward.
?
Peak: the highest point of growth; referred to as  boom. 
?
Stage beyond which no further expansion is possible, 
?
Sees the downward turning point.
?
Contraction/Recession: means the slowing down 
process of all economic activities. 
?
Trough or Slump: the lowest ebb of economic cycle. 
?
Followed by the next turning point in the cycle, when new 
growth process starts afresh. 
Contd.
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FAQs on PPT- Business Cycles - SSC CGL Tier 2 - Study Material, Online Tests, Previous Year

1. What are the phases of a business cycle?
Ans. The phases of a business cycle include expansion, peak, contraction, and trough. During the expansion phase, the economy grows, leading to increased employment and income. The peak marks the highest point of economic activity before it starts to decline during the contraction phase. The trough is the lowest point of economic activity before the cycle starts again with another expansion.
2. How do business cycles impact unemployment rates?
Ans. During the contraction phase of a business cycle, unemployment rates tend to rise as businesses cut back on production and lay off workers. Conversely, during the expansion phase, unemployment rates tend to decrease as businesses increase production and hire more workers to meet the growing demand.
3. What factors influence the duration of a business cycle?
Ans. The duration of a business cycle can be influenced by a variety of factors, including government policies, technological advancements, consumer confidence, and international trade. For example, expansionary fiscal and monetary policies can help prolong the expansion phase, while negative shocks such as a financial crisis can shorten the cycle.
4. How do business cycles impact the stock market?
Ans. Business cycles can have a significant impact on the stock market. During the expansion phase, stock prices tend to rise as companies generate higher profits. Conversely, during the contraction phase, stock prices may decline as companies face reduced demand and lower earnings. Investors often adjust their investment strategies based on where they believe the economy is in the business cycle.
5. Is it possible to predict when the next recession will occur based on business cycles?
Ans. While economists use historical data and economic indicators to analyze business cycles, predicting the exact timing of the next recession is challenging. Business cycles can be influenced by a wide range of factors, making it difficult to pinpoint when a contraction will occur. However, monitoring leading economic indicators and staying informed about current economic conditions can help individuals and businesses prepare for potential downturns.
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