A. We first review the general definition of a hypothesis test.
A hypothesis test is like a lawsuit:
H0 : the defendant is innocent versus
Ha : the defendant is guilty
The significance level and the power of the test.
α = P(Type I error) = P(Reject H0|H0) ← signiicance level
β = P(Type II error) = P(Fail to reject H0 |Ha )
Power = 1- β = P(Reject H0|Ha) |
B. Now we derive the likelihood ratio test for the usual two sided hypotheses for a population mean. (It has a simple null hypothesis and a composite alternative hypothesis.)
Example 1. Please derive the likelihood ratio test for H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is known.
Solution: For a 2-sided test of H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is known, we have:
The likelihoods are:
There is no free parameter in
There is only one free parameter μ in L(Ω) . Now we shall find the value of μ that maximizes the log likelihood
It is easy to verify that indeed maximizes the loglikelihood, and thus the likelihood function.
Therefore the likelihood ratio is:
Therefore, the likelihood ratio test that will reject H0 when * is equivalent to the z-test that will reject H0 when cZ 0 , where c can be determined by the significance level α as /2 c z .
C. MP Test, UMP Test, and the Neyman-Pearson Lemma
Now considering some one-sided tests where we have :
Given the composite null hypothesis for the second one-sided
test, we need to expand our definition of the significance level as
follows:
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1. What is a most powerful test? |
2. How is the power of a statistical test determined? |
3. What is a uniformly most powerful test? |
4. How does a likelihood ratio test work? |
5. What are some advantages of likelihood ratio tests? |
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