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Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET PDF Download

A. We first review the general definition of a hypothesis test. 
A hypothesis test is like a lawsuit:
H0 : the defendant is innocent  versus
Ha : the defendant is guilty 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

The significance level and the power of the test. 
 
α = P(Type I error) = P(Reject H0|H0) ← signiicance level  
β = P(Type II error) = P(Fail to reject H0 |Ha

Power = 1- β = P(Reject H0|Ha

B. Now we derive the likelihood ratio test for  the usual two sided hypotheses for a population mean.  (It has a simple null hypothesis and a composite alternative hypothesis.) 

Example 1. Please derive the likelihood ratio test for H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σ2 is known.  
 Solution:  For a 2-sided test of H0: μ = μ0 versus Ha: μ ≠ μ0, when the population is normal and population variance σis known, we have: 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

The likelihoods are: 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

There is no free parameter inTests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

There is only one free parameter μ in   L(Ω) . Now we shall find the value of μ that maximizes the log likelihood 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

It is easy to verify that Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET indeed maximizes the loglikelihood, and thus the likelihood function. 
 
Therefore the likelihood ratio is:

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Therefore, the likelihood ratio test that will reject Hwhen *   is equivalent to the z-test that will reject H0 when cZ 0 , where c can be determined by the significance level α as /2 c z   . 
 

C.  MP Test, UMP Test, and the Neyman-Pearson Lemma 
 
Now considering some one-sided tests where we have : 
                         
Given the composite null hypothesis for the second one-sided 
test, we need to expand our definition of the significance level as  
follows: 
 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

 

Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests | Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

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FAQs on Tests of hypotheses: most powerful and uniformly most powerful tests, likelihood ratio tests - Mathematics for IIT JAM, GATE, CSIR NET, UGC NET

1. What is a most powerful test?
Ans. A most powerful test is a statistical test that has the highest probability of rejecting a null hypothesis when the alternative hypothesis is true. It is designed to maximize the ability to detect a true effect or relationship in the data.
2. How is the power of a statistical test determined?
Ans. The power of a statistical test is determined by various factors, such as the sample size, the significance level chosen, the effect size of the true relationship, and the variability of the data. Generally, increasing the sample size and choosing a higher significance level can increase the power of a test.
3. What is a uniformly most powerful test?
Ans. A uniformly most powerful test (UMP) is a type of most powerful test that remains the most powerful regardless of the specific values of the parameters in the alternative hypothesis. It means that UMP tests maintain their high power across a range of possible parameter values.
4. How does a likelihood ratio test work?
Ans. A likelihood ratio test is a statistical test that compares the likelihoods of two competing hypotheses. It involves calculating the likelihood ratio, which is the ratio of the likelihood of the data under the alternative hypothesis to the likelihood under the null hypothesis. The test statistic follows a specific distribution, allowing researchers to determine the statistical significance of the hypotheses.
5. What are some advantages of likelihood ratio tests?
Ans. Likelihood ratio tests have several advantages, including their ability to handle complex models and nested hypotheses, their asymptotic properties, and their ability to provide a direct measure of evidence against the null hypothesis. They are widely used in various fields, such as biology, economics, and medicine, due to their flexibility and robustness.
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