
| Item | Amount / Indicator |
|---|
| Non-debt receipts | ₹36.5 lakh crore |
| Total expenditure | ₹53.5 lakh crore |
| Centre's net tax receipts | ₹28.7 lakh crore |
| Gross market borrowings | ₹17.2 lakh crore |
| Fiscal deficit (BE 2026-27) | 4.3% of GDP |
| Debt-to-GDP ratio | 55.6% of GDP |
| Public capital expenditure | ₹12.2 lakh crore |
Major budget measures relevant to banking, finance and markets
New Income Tax Act, 2025 to come into effect from April 2026; simplified forms and compliance procedures for citizens.
Tax compliance & collections:
- Interest awarded by Motor Accident Claims Tribunal exempt from income tax.
- TCS on overseas tour packages reduced to 2% (from 2-20%).
- TCS for remittances under LRS for education and medical reduced to 2% (from 5%).
- Tax return filing timeline extended from 31 December to 31 March with nominal fees; staggered filing system introduced.
- 6-month foreign asset disclosure scheme for small taxpayers.
Penalty and prosecution rationalisation:
- Integration of IT assessment and penalty proceedings; taxpayers allowed to update returns even after reassessment by paying 10% additional tax; immunity for certain non-disclosures with payment of additional tax.
- Decriminalisation of select offences (non-production of books, certain TDS defaults) and immunity for non-disclosure of foreign assets below ₹20 lakh (retrospective from 1 Oct 2024).
Measures to attract global investment and digital data businesses:
- Tax holiday till 2047 for foreign cloud service companies using Indian data centres; 15% safe harbour for related-entity data centre services.
- Safe harbour threshold for transfer-pricing increased from ₹300 crore to ₹2,000 crore; 5-year continuation of safe harbour through automated processes; fast-tracked unilateral APA within 2 years.
Support for startups, manufacturing & infrastructure:
- Startup India Fund of Funds 2.0 (FoF 2.0) with a corpus of ₹10,000 crore to mobilise long-term domestic capital, prioritising deep-tech, innovative manufacturing and nationwide inclusion.
- Urban Challenge Fund (UCF) with ₹1 lakh crore central assistance to catalyse urban infrastructure investments; a Credit Repayment Guarantee Scheme of ₹5,000 crore for smaller and northeastern cities.
- Public capital expenditure increased to strengthen infrastructure finance and credit demand.
Financial-sector governance:
- High Level Committee on Banking for Viksit Bharat constituted to review the banking sector.
- Restructuring plans for Power Finance Corporation (PFC) and Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) announced.
- Municipal bond incentives: ₹100 crore for single issuances exceeding ₹1,000 crore.
Indirect tax changes (customs & duties) affecting trade finance and import-dependent sectors:
- Tariff simplifications across marine, leather and textile inputs; exemption extensions for critical electronics and battery manufacturing inputs; customs facilitation for drug imports and baggage clearance.
Reserve Bank of India - Monetary Policy, February 2026 (MPC)
Policy decision (59th MPC meeting, 4-6 February 2026 ; Chair: Governor Sanjay Malhotra)
- Repo rate: 5.25% (unchanged)
- Standing Deposit Facility (SDF): 5.00%
- Marginal Standing Facility (MSF): 5.50%
- Bank Rate: 5.50%
- Policy stance: Neutral - not committed to either rate hikes or cuts; will respond to incoming data on inflation, growth and global risks.
Rationale, projections and immediate impacts
- Growth projections:
- GDP growth for 2025-26: 7.4%.
- Q1 2026-27 projection: 6.9%; Q2 2026-27 projection: 7.0%.
- Inflation projections:
- 2025-26 CPI inflation: 2.1%.
- Q4 2025-26: 3.2%; Q1 2026-27: 4.0%; Q2 2026-27: 4.2%.
- Near-term impact for borrowers and depositors:
- With the repo rate unchanged, home loan EMIs and most lending rates are unlikely to rise immediately.
- Fixed deposit rates expected to remain broadly stable in the short term.
- Minutes publication and next meeting:
- MPC minutes scheduled for release: 20 February 2026.
- Next MPC meeting: 6-8 April 2026.
Banking & finance regulatory updates (RBI, SEBI, IRDAI, others)

RBI regulatory and supervisory actions
NBFCs and classification:
- Introduction of an "Unregistered Type I NBFC" category for entities with assets below ₹1,000 crore (applicable from 1 April 2026 in the new NBFC directions).
- Restoration of Default Loss Guarantees (DLGs) for NBFCs (capped at 5%).
External Commercial Borrowing (ECB) guidelines revised:
- ECB limit increased from $750 million to $1 billion with a minimum average maturity of 3 years for the permissible category.
Derivative and transaction reporting:
- Mandatory reporting of OTC forex derivatives to CCIL: phase-in targets (70% in 12 months, 80% in 18 months, 90% in 24 months).
- Unique Transaction Identifier (UTI) required for OTC derivatives from 1 January 2027 (up to 52 characters including LEI).
Supervisory and conduct measures:
- RBI proposed stricter norms for loan recovery agents - IIBF certification requirement, identification, permitted contact hours (8:00-19:00) - effective 1 July 2026.
- Responsible Business Conduct rules tightened for direct selling agents/distributors, with enhanced consumer protection and refund/compensation norms effective 1 July 2026.
Other banking sector measures:
- Banks permitted to finance SEBI-registered REITs (minimum 3 years operational history) with aggregate exposure cap of 49%.
- Aggregate acquisition financing exposure limit raised (from 10% to 20% of Tier-1 capital) and banks can finance up to 75% of acquisition value, subject to prudential safeguards.
- Kisan Credit Card (KCC) guidelines expanded: loan tenures and flexibility increased; loan tenure up to 6 years for crop and allied activities and provision for technology-driven agriculture credit.
Enforcement actions and penalties:
- RBI imposed monetary penalties totalling ₹1.35 crore across five institutions (CSB Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, DCB Bank, IIFL Finance, Navi Finserv) for supervisory contraventions.
Digital infrastructure:
- Launch of a Tier-IV secure data centre in Bhubaneswar; primary secure data centre already in Kharghar, Navi Mumbai.
- Airtel Money granted Certificate of Registration as Type II NBFC-ND (ICC) with restrictions on public deposits.
SEBI and capital markets
- Inclusion of deep-technology startups under the Startup India framework for 20 years, with regulatory facilitation for capital formation.
Approvals and market infrastructure:
- NSE authorised to launch Indian Natural Gas Futures with monthly contracts.
- NSE IX launched a Global Access platform enabling retail investors to trade US-listed securities directly from India.
- ASK Asset & Wealth Management approved as the 52nd mutual fund house; mutual fund AUM ~₹81 lakh crore (Jan 2026).
GIFT City and IFSC developments:
- GIFT City operational expansion: 35 IFSC banking units managing substantial international banking assets.
Post & financial inclusion:
- NSE and Department of Posts MoU to distribute mutual fund products through post offices to deepen financial inclusion.
Digital payments, fintech & payments infrastructure
- UPI internationalisation: UPI operational in eight countries (UAE, Singapore, Bhutan, Nepal, Sri Lanka, France, Mauritius, Qatar), expanding cross-border retail digital payments.
- Digital Payments Index (RBI-DPI) increased to 516.76 (September 2025) from 493.22 (March 2025), reflecting robust digital payments growth and higher UPI penetration (~80% share).
- RuPay-UPI incentive scheme: total outlay ₹8,276 crore (FY22-FY25) to support ecosystem growth and merchant onboarding; UPI QR codes increased dramatically across the country.
- Payment aggregator licensing and product innovations:
- RBI has granted full three-category payment aggregator authorisations (PA-O, PAP, PA-CB) to eligible entities.
- DBS piloted Visa Intelligent Commerce (VIC) for agentic AI-driven payments; Mastercard and other players piloted agentic commerce/AI-enabled payment experiences.
- Cross-border QR and NPCI International initiatives:
- NPCI International signed an agreement with PayNet Malaysia enabling QR-based merchant payments interoperability between UPI and DuitNow QR.
- Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) experiments:
- Pilot launch of a CBDC-based Public Distribution System (e₹ based PDS) in selected districts of Gujarat, indicating early use-cases for digital currency in welfare distribution.
Key banking sector initiatives, partnerships and products (February period)
- Axis Bank launched rooftop solar finance offering collateral-free loans up to ₹2 crore for MSMEs to adopt rooftop solar systems.
- IOCL and Akasa Air signed a Letter of Intent to explore Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) supply partnerships.
- NSE and Department of Posts MoU enables mutual fund distribution through post offices; expands retail access to market-linked savings.
- IDFC First Bank, Axis Bank and other banks rolled out co-branded and innovative retail card products (including FD-backed credit cards, airline co-branded cards).
Important schemes and financial-support measures impacting banking
- Startup India FoF 2.0 - Corpus ₹10,000 crore to mobilise domestic long-term capital for deep-tech and early-stage startups; will channel funds via AIFs, improving venture financing and bankable projects.
- Urban Challenge Fund (UCF) - ₹1 lakh crore central assistance to catalyse urban infrastructure investment through market financing (municipal bonds, PPPs), with a ₹5,000 crore credit-repayment guarantee facility for smaller cities.
- PM-SETU - Upgradation of 1,000 ITIs with industry linkages and allocation of ₹60,000 crore to improve skilling and employability, indirectly supporting credit demand in skill-intensive sectors.
- White Revolution 2.0 - Aimed at increasing milk procurement by 50% over five years; implications for agri-credit, cooperative finance and rural banking flows.
- Bharat-VISTAAR - An AI-driven agri tool integrating AgriStack and ICAR practices to support agricultural advisory and market linkages, with potential to reduce credit risk through better agronomic information.
16th Finance Commission: implications for banking & fiscal federalism

- States' share of the divisible tax pool retained at 41% for 2026-27 to 2030-31.
- Introduction of State GDP contribution as a new allocation parameter (10% weight) in horizontal devolution - rewards states contributing more to national growth.
- Removal of Revenue Deficit Grants (RDGs) for the first time - emphasis on incentivising fiscal reform and self-reliance; this may influence state borrowing strategy and marketable borrowings.
- Earmarked transfers: ₹7.91 trillion for rural and urban local bodies over five years (60:40 rural-urban split) and specific allocations for disaster risk management (State Disaster Response Funds and national disaster funds), shifting emphasis to functional/purpose-linked grants.
Banking sector appointments, acquisitions and governance events
- Vinay Muralidhar Tonse appointed MD & CEO of YES Bank (RBI approval).
- R. Vijay Anandh appointed MD & CEO of City Union Bank (RBI approval).
- Rohit Rishi appointed Managing Director of IIFCL.
- Sanjay Agarwal reappointed MD & CEO of AU Small Finance Bank for three years from April 2026; AU SFB progressed towards universal bank transition.
- Bain Capital approved to acquire up to 41.66% stake in Manappuram Finance (subject to regulatory approvals).
- New India Co-operative Bank removed from Second Schedule of RBI Act following voluntary amalgamation with Saraswat Co-operative Bank.
Macro indicators and banking implications (selected)
- GDP performance: robust growth momentum with 2025-26 estimated at 7.4% - supports credit demand and asset quality if growth continues.
- Inflation: low CPI readings in late 2025 (0.7% in November; 1.3% in December) and RBI projections indicate inflationary headroom, informing neutral monetary stance.
- WPI inflation picked up to 1.81% in January 2026; monitor input-cost pressures for corporate borrowers.
- Unemployment (PLFS): 5% in January 2026 (urban 7%, rural 4.2%) - labour market dynamics remain mixed for consumption-led credit growth.
- Power and renewable capacity additions recorded a record 52,537 MW in 10 months of FY26, with non-fossil capacity surpassing fossil - important for project finance and renewable lending opportunities.
International financial cooperation and cross-border developments
- World Bank - annual financing framework for India of USD 8-10 billion over five years announced to support development priorities; opportunities for co-financing with banks and DFIs.
- India-USA Interim Trade Agreement - tariff reductions on select agricultural products and projected trade purchases of USD 500 billion over five years; trade growth affects export financing and trade-credit flows.
- ADB approved USD 182 million loan for Assam flood and erosion resilience - infrastructure financing opportunity for banks and NBFCs.
- NPCI International MoUs with multiple countries to export Digital Public Infrastructure models (UPI, Aadhaar-based services) - potential for cross-border fintech partnerships and correspondent banking arrangements.
Fintech, digital governance and AI: banking relevance

- India AI Impact Summit 2026 and the M.A.N.A.V AI governance framework emphasised ethical, accountable and inclusive AI - banks will need to align AI use-cases (credit scoring, fraud detection, customer-facing models) with governance norms (accountability, transparency, data sovereignty).
- Guinness record for responsible AI pledges (2,50,946 pledges) and a national push for responsible AI may accelerate regulated adoption of AI in regulated financial services.
- UIDAI, DigiLocker and other DPI expansions (including cross-border MoUs) support digital KYC, e-sign and transaction authentication, lowering onboarding costs and compliance friction for banks.
- Rise of AI-enabled products (agentic commerce pilots with Visa/Mastercard, bank pilots for AI-driven commerce) points to new fee and transaction streams for banks and payment service providers.
Key takeaways for banking professionals and competitive-exam aspirants
- Union Budget 2026-27 and the RBI MPC in February 2026 shaped the near-term policy and macro environment: fiscal support through higher public capital expenditure and a neutral monetary stance to balance inflation and growth.
- Regulatory reforms (NBFC directions, derivative reporting, UTI for transactions, enhanced safe harbours) are important for banks, NBFCs and corporates - exam questions may target limits, effective dates, and prudential thresholds.
- Digital payments and UPI internationalisation remain central to India's finance strategy; NPCI international tie-ups and RuPay-UPI incentives are systemic priorities.
- Startups, deep-tech funding (FoF 2.0) and urban infrastructure financing (UCF) create credit and investment opportunities for banks, non-bank financiers and capital markets.
- 16th Finance Commission changes (41% devolution retained; GDP contribution as allocation criterion; zero revenue deficit grants) have significant fiscal federalism implications that affect state borrowings and bank financing of municipal/urban projects.
Prepared notes - quick reference (figures & dates)
- Budget highlights: Public capital expenditure ₹12.2 lakh crore; fiscal deficit 4.3% of GDP; gross market borrowings ₹17.2 lakh crore.
- RBI policy rates (Feb 2026): Repo 5.25%; SDF 5.00%; MSF & Bank rate 5.50%; stance neutral.
- Startup India FoF 2.0 corpus: ₹10,000 crore. Urban Challenge Fund central assistance: ₹1 lakh crore.
- SEBI/market: NSE natural gas futures approved; NSE IX global platform launched; ASK approved as 52nd mutual fund house.
- UPI: operational in 8 countries; RBI-DPI: 516.76 (Sep 2025).