Page 1
23 August 2023
ndia’s economic journey traces back
to the early years, post-independence,
when it adopted a mixed economy
model, combining socialist policies with
elements of a market economy. the focus was on
nation-building, industrialisation, and achieving
self-sufficiency through the establishment of public
sector enterprises and import substitution. While
these policies laid the foundation for industrial
growth, they also led to unintended consequences
such as bureaucratic inefficiencies, limited
competition, and stifled innovation.
the 1990s (some think it started early in the
eighties) marked a significant turning point for
india’s economy. t he country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s and early 1990s,
prompting the government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined deficits of the
central and state governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable current account
deficit triggered a balance of payments crisis. i n
response, india embarked on a path of economic
liberalisation and reforms.
I
the government implemented policies to
dismantle the license raj, encourage foreign
direct investment, and promote privatisation.
the exchange rate was made flexible, allowing
for depreciation as necessary to maintain
competitiveness. the rupee became fully
convertible on the current account and partially
convertible on the capital account. this shift
towards a market-oriented economy opened up
avenues for growth, fostered entrepreneurship, and
attracted global investments. t he real growth rates
increased from an average of 5.5 per cent in the
1980s to 6.3 per cent between FY1993 and FY2000.
external trade experienced a significant boost, with
the total goods and services trade-to-gDP ratio
rising from 17.2 per cent in 1990 to 30.6 per cent
in 2000.
the new millennium saw the continuation of
these reforms, albeit with intermittent progress.
Foreign direct investment was further liberalised
in the early 2000s. t he new telecom Policy of 1999
catalysed the it sector boom in i ndia, generating
widespread benefits for other sectors as well.
v anantHa nagEswaran The author is the Chief Economic Adviser, Government of India. Email: cea@nic.in
As nations progress and evolve, their economies play a crucial role
in shaping their trajectory. The journey of the Indian economy, as
it commemorates 75 years of independence, reflects the resilience,
challenges, and opportunities that define India’s youthful, dynamic, and
progressive nature. Over time, the Indian economy has experienced
various highs and lows, navigating through obstacles and capitalising on
opportunities to establish itself as the world’s fifth-largest economy.
IndIan eConomy
hIstorICaL perspe CtIve
and the way forward
FocuS
Page 2
23 August 2023
ndia’s economic journey traces back
to the early years, post-independence,
when it adopted a mixed economy
model, combining socialist policies with
elements of a market economy. the focus was on
nation-building, industrialisation, and achieving
self-sufficiency through the establishment of public
sector enterprises and import substitution. While
these policies laid the foundation for industrial
growth, they also led to unintended consequences
such as bureaucratic inefficiencies, limited
competition, and stifled innovation.
the 1990s (some think it started early in the
eighties) marked a significant turning point for
india’s economy. t he country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s and early 1990s,
prompting the government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined deficits of the
central and state governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable current account
deficit triggered a balance of payments crisis. i n
response, india embarked on a path of economic
liberalisation and reforms.
I
the government implemented policies to
dismantle the license raj, encourage foreign
direct investment, and promote privatisation.
the exchange rate was made flexible, allowing
for depreciation as necessary to maintain
competitiveness. the rupee became fully
convertible on the current account and partially
convertible on the capital account. this shift
towards a market-oriented economy opened up
avenues for growth, fostered entrepreneurship, and
attracted global investments. t he real growth rates
increased from an average of 5.5 per cent in the
1980s to 6.3 per cent between FY1993 and FY2000.
external trade experienced a significant boost, with
the total goods and services trade-to-gDP ratio
rising from 17.2 per cent in 1990 to 30.6 per cent
in 2000.
the new millennium saw the continuation of
these reforms, albeit with intermittent progress.
Foreign direct investment was further liberalised
in the early 2000s. t he new telecom Policy of 1999
catalysed the it sector boom in i ndia, generating
widespread benefits for other sectors as well.
v anantHa nagEswaran The author is the Chief Economic Adviser, Government of India. Email: cea@nic.in
As nations progress and evolve, their economies play a crucial role
in shaping their trajectory. The journey of the Indian economy, as
it commemorates 75 years of independence, reflects the resilience,
challenges, and opportunities that define India’s youthful, dynamic, and
progressive nature. Over time, the Indian economy has experienced
various highs and lows, navigating through obstacles and capitalising on
opportunities to establish itself as the world’s fifth-largest economy.
IndIan eConomy
hIstorICaL perspe CtIve
and the way forward
FocuS
24 August 2023
the policy on disinvestment and privatisation
gained momentum during this period, with the
establishment of a dedicated Ministry to drive these
initiatives. structural policies were formulated to
address macroeconomic imbalances. the Fiscal
r esponsibility and Budget Management (FrBM) Act
was passed to address the government’s historically
high combined gross fiscal deficit. the banking
system, burdened by bad debts accumulated
during economic resurgence following the 1991
reforms, was supported through the deregulation
of interest rates and the enactment of the sArFAesi
Act 2002, and these years of structural reforms
strengthened the macro-economic foundation of
the indian economy to enable a high growth period
in the coming years. While global growth averaged
4.8 per cent in 2003-2008, the indian economy
achieved an average growth rate of over 8 per
cent. sustained momentum in domestic economic
activity, improved corporate performance, a healthy
investment climate, and favourable global liquidity
conditions and interest rates resulted in substantial
capital inflows to i ndia from 2004 to 2008. Domestic
credit growth, especially bank credit, doubled
as a share of gDP. chapter 2 of the government’s
economic survey for 2022-23 has more details on
this.
this unsustainable credit boom in the
millennium’s first decade increased banks’ non-
performing assets. As companies’ investments
turned sour, their ability to repay bank loans
declined. this triggered a prolonged period
of repairing financial and non-financial sector
balance sheets for which the government and the
rBi implemented several policy initiatives to assist
the financial sector in recovering from balance
sheet stress. Amendments to the sArFAesi Act
2002, the implementation of the insolvency and
Bankruptcy code (iBc), the introduction of the
‘Asset Quality r eview’ , the adoption of the prompt
corrective action framework, recapitalisation
of Public sector Banks (PsBs), and the merger
of PsBs were among the measures that helped
resolve the issues in banks’ and corporations’
balance sheets.
New-age reforms
the balance sheet repair in the millennium’s
second decade dampened india’s growth potential
and dynamism. consequently, the government’s
economic policy focus since 2014 has been to
restore india’s growth potential by easing business
conditions and significantly enhancing physical and
digital infrastructure. t hese efforts aim to improve
the overall business climate and strengthen the
competitiveness of india’s manufacturing sector.
Diverse economic reforms have been implemented
to facilitate ease of doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing governance systems
and processes.
simplification of regulatory frameworks through
reforms such as the insolvency and Bankruptcy
code (iBc) and the real estate (regulation and
Development) Act (rer A) has enhanced the ease
of doing business and thereby improved investor
sentiment. t he iBc has helped clean up companies’
The country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s
and early 1990s, prompting the
government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined
deficits of the central and state
governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable
current account deficit triggered
a balance of payments crisis. In
response, India embarked on a path of
economic liberalisation and reforms.
Page 3
23 August 2023
ndia’s economic journey traces back
to the early years, post-independence,
when it adopted a mixed economy
model, combining socialist policies with
elements of a market economy. the focus was on
nation-building, industrialisation, and achieving
self-sufficiency through the establishment of public
sector enterprises and import substitution. While
these policies laid the foundation for industrial
growth, they also led to unintended consequences
such as bureaucratic inefficiencies, limited
competition, and stifled innovation.
the 1990s (some think it started early in the
eighties) marked a significant turning point for
india’s economy. t he country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s and early 1990s,
prompting the government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined deficits of the
central and state governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable current account
deficit triggered a balance of payments crisis. i n
response, india embarked on a path of economic
liberalisation and reforms.
I
the government implemented policies to
dismantle the license raj, encourage foreign
direct investment, and promote privatisation.
the exchange rate was made flexible, allowing
for depreciation as necessary to maintain
competitiveness. the rupee became fully
convertible on the current account and partially
convertible on the capital account. this shift
towards a market-oriented economy opened up
avenues for growth, fostered entrepreneurship, and
attracted global investments. t he real growth rates
increased from an average of 5.5 per cent in the
1980s to 6.3 per cent between FY1993 and FY2000.
external trade experienced a significant boost, with
the total goods and services trade-to-gDP ratio
rising from 17.2 per cent in 1990 to 30.6 per cent
in 2000.
the new millennium saw the continuation of
these reforms, albeit with intermittent progress.
Foreign direct investment was further liberalised
in the early 2000s. t he new telecom Policy of 1999
catalysed the it sector boom in i ndia, generating
widespread benefits for other sectors as well.
v anantHa nagEswaran The author is the Chief Economic Adviser, Government of India. Email: cea@nic.in
As nations progress and evolve, their economies play a crucial role
in shaping their trajectory. The journey of the Indian economy, as
it commemorates 75 years of independence, reflects the resilience,
challenges, and opportunities that define India’s youthful, dynamic, and
progressive nature. Over time, the Indian economy has experienced
various highs and lows, navigating through obstacles and capitalising on
opportunities to establish itself as the world’s fifth-largest economy.
IndIan eConomy
hIstorICaL perspe CtIve
and the way forward
FocuS
24 August 2023
the policy on disinvestment and privatisation
gained momentum during this period, with the
establishment of a dedicated Ministry to drive these
initiatives. structural policies were formulated to
address macroeconomic imbalances. the Fiscal
r esponsibility and Budget Management (FrBM) Act
was passed to address the government’s historically
high combined gross fiscal deficit. the banking
system, burdened by bad debts accumulated
during economic resurgence following the 1991
reforms, was supported through the deregulation
of interest rates and the enactment of the sArFAesi
Act 2002, and these years of structural reforms
strengthened the macro-economic foundation of
the indian economy to enable a high growth period
in the coming years. While global growth averaged
4.8 per cent in 2003-2008, the indian economy
achieved an average growth rate of over 8 per
cent. sustained momentum in domestic economic
activity, improved corporate performance, a healthy
investment climate, and favourable global liquidity
conditions and interest rates resulted in substantial
capital inflows to i ndia from 2004 to 2008. Domestic
credit growth, especially bank credit, doubled
as a share of gDP. chapter 2 of the government’s
economic survey for 2022-23 has more details on
this.
this unsustainable credit boom in the
millennium’s first decade increased banks’ non-
performing assets. As companies’ investments
turned sour, their ability to repay bank loans
declined. this triggered a prolonged period
of repairing financial and non-financial sector
balance sheets for which the government and the
rBi implemented several policy initiatives to assist
the financial sector in recovering from balance
sheet stress. Amendments to the sArFAesi Act
2002, the implementation of the insolvency and
Bankruptcy code (iBc), the introduction of the
‘Asset Quality r eview’ , the adoption of the prompt
corrective action framework, recapitalisation
of Public sector Banks (PsBs), and the merger
of PsBs were among the measures that helped
resolve the issues in banks’ and corporations’
balance sheets.
New-age reforms
the balance sheet repair in the millennium’s
second decade dampened india’s growth potential
and dynamism. consequently, the government’s
economic policy focus since 2014 has been to
restore india’s growth potential by easing business
conditions and significantly enhancing physical and
digital infrastructure. t hese efforts aim to improve
the overall business climate and strengthen the
competitiveness of india’s manufacturing sector.
Diverse economic reforms have been implemented
to facilitate ease of doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing governance systems
and processes.
simplification of regulatory frameworks through
reforms such as the insolvency and Bankruptcy
code (iBc) and the real estate (regulation and
Development) Act (rer A) has enhanced the ease
of doing business and thereby improved investor
sentiment. t he iBc has helped clean up companies’
The country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s
and early 1990s, prompting the
government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined
deficits of the central and state
governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable
current account deficit triggered
a balance of payments crisis. In
response, India embarked on a path of
economic liberalisation and reforms.
25 August 2023
finances. o ut-of-court settlements in cases of loan
default are increasing to avoid the procedures of
iBc. rer A has transformed the real estate sector by
making it more organised, resulting in increased
new launches and sales of houses.
Additionally, significant changes have been
made to the taxation ecosystem in india since
2014. tax policy reforms, including the adoption of
a unified g oods and services tax (gst ), reduction
in corporate and income tax rates, exemption
of sovereign wealth funds and pension funds
from taxes, removal of the Dividend Distribution
tax, and the abolishment of the retrospective
tax, have reduced the tax burden on individuals
and businesses. the implementation of gst has
broadened the tax base, reduced compliance
requirements, facilitated the free flow of goods
across state borders, and contributed to the
formalisation of the economy. t he gst system has
exhibited improved buoyancy compared to the pre-
gst regime, with average monthly gross collections
consistently rising from inr 0.9 lakh crore in FY18
to inr 1.5 lakh crore in FY23 and inr 1.7 lakh crore
in the first quarter of FY24. the number of gst
taxpayers has also significantly increased, with a
larger number of smaller businesses entering the
gst regime.
Large-scale public spending has also been
undertaken since 2014 to address the long-standing
infrastructure gaps and logistics bottlenecks.
the effective c apital expenditure by the union
government has risen from 2.8 per cent of gDP in
2013-14 to 3.8 per cent in 2022-23. t his investment
has aimed to improve connectivity and modernise
infrastructure in areas such as road connectivity
(Bharatmala), port infrastructure (sagarmala),
electrification, railways, and airports/air routes
(uDAn). t he national Logistics Policy 2022 supports
these initiatives by establishing an overarching
logistics ecosystem.
r ecognising the need for consistent and long-
term efforts to improve infrastructure in a country
as vast as india, the government has established the
national infrastructure Pipeline (niP). t his forward-
looking approach to infrastructure investments
projects around inr 111 lakh crore of investments
spread over five years until 2024-25. c urrently, more
than 9,000 niP projects, with a total investment of
over inr 108 lakh crore, are at various stages of
implementation across different sectors.
in addition, there have been many reforms
and governance initiatives over the past nine years
to improve the investment climate. Programmes
such as ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ and ‘Make in india’
The government's economic
policy focus since 2014 has been
to restore India's growth potential
by easing business conditions and
significantly enhancing physical
and digital infrastructure. These
efforts aim to improve the overall
business climate and strengthen
the competitiveness of India's
manufacturing sector. Diverse
economic reforms have been
implemented to facilitate ease of
doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing
governance systems and
processes.
Page 4
23 August 2023
ndia’s economic journey traces back
to the early years, post-independence,
when it adopted a mixed economy
model, combining socialist policies with
elements of a market economy. the focus was on
nation-building, industrialisation, and achieving
self-sufficiency through the establishment of public
sector enterprises and import substitution. While
these policies laid the foundation for industrial
growth, they also led to unintended consequences
such as bureaucratic inefficiencies, limited
competition, and stifled innovation.
the 1990s (some think it started early in the
eighties) marked a significant turning point for
india’s economy. t he country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s and early 1990s,
prompting the government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined deficits of the
central and state governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable current account
deficit triggered a balance of payments crisis. i n
response, india embarked on a path of economic
liberalisation and reforms.
I
the government implemented policies to
dismantle the license raj, encourage foreign
direct investment, and promote privatisation.
the exchange rate was made flexible, allowing
for depreciation as necessary to maintain
competitiveness. the rupee became fully
convertible on the current account and partially
convertible on the capital account. this shift
towards a market-oriented economy opened up
avenues for growth, fostered entrepreneurship, and
attracted global investments. t he real growth rates
increased from an average of 5.5 per cent in the
1980s to 6.3 per cent between FY1993 and FY2000.
external trade experienced a significant boost, with
the total goods and services trade-to-gDP ratio
rising from 17.2 per cent in 1990 to 30.6 per cent
in 2000.
the new millennium saw the continuation of
these reforms, albeit with intermittent progress.
Foreign direct investment was further liberalised
in the early 2000s. t he new telecom Policy of 1999
catalysed the it sector boom in i ndia, generating
widespread benefits for other sectors as well.
v anantHa nagEswaran The author is the Chief Economic Adviser, Government of India. Email: cea@nic.in
As nations progress and evolve, their economies play a crucial role
in shaping their trajectory. The journey of the Indian economy, as
it commemorates 75 years of independence, reflects the resilience,
challenges, and opportunities that define India’s youthful, dynamic, and
progressive nature. Over time, the Indian economy has experienced
various highs and lows, navigating through obstacles and capitalising on
opportunities to establish itself as the world’s fifth-largest economy.
IndIan eConomy
hIstorICaL perspe CtIve
and the way forward
FocuS
24 August 2023
the policy on disinvestment and privatisation
gained momentum during this period, with the
establishment of a dedicated Ministry to drive these
initiatives. structural policies were formulated to
address macroeconomic imbalances. the Fiscal
r esponsibility and Budget Management (FrBM) Act
was passed to address the government’s historically
high combined gross fiscal deficit. the banking
system, burdened by bad debts accumulated
during economic resurgence following the 1991
reforms, was supported through the deregulation
of interest rates and the enactment of the sArFAesi
Act 2002, and these years of structural reforms
strengthened the macro-economic foundation of
the indian economy to enable a high growth period
in the coming years. While global growth averaged
4.8 per cent in 2003-2008, the indian economy
achieved an average growth rate of over 8 per
cent. sustained momentum in domestic economic
activity, improved corporate performance, a healthy
investment climate, and favourable global liquidity
conditions and interest rates resulted in substantial
capital inflows to i ndia from 2004 to 2008. Domestic
credit growth, especially bank credit, doubled
as a share of gDP. chapter 2 of the government’s
economic survey for 2022-23 has more details on
this.
this unsustainable credit boom in the
millennium’s first decade increased banks’ non-
performing assets. As companies’ investments
turned sour, their ability to repay bank loans
declined. this triggered a prolonged period
of repairing financial and non-financial sector
balance sheets for which the government and the
rBi implemented several policy initiatives to assist
the financial sector in recovering from balance
sheet stress. Amendments to the sArFAesi Act
2002, the implementation of the insolvency and
Bankruptcy code (iBc), the introduction of the
‘Asset Quality r eview’ , the adoption of the prompt
corrective action framework, recapitalisation
of Public sector Banks (PsBs), and the merger
of PsBs were among the measures that helped
resolve the issues in banks’ and corporations’
balance sheets.
New-age reforms
the balance sheet repair in the millennium’s
second decade dampened india’s growth potential
and dynamism. consequently, the government’s
economic policy focus since 2014 has been to
restore india’s growth potential by easing business
conditions and significantly enhancing physical and
digital infrastructure. t hese efforts aim to improve
the overall business climate and strengthen the
competitiveness of india’s manufacturing sector.
Diverse economic reforms have been implemented
to facilitate ease of doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing governance systems
and processes.
simplification of regulatory frameworks through
reforms such as the insolvency and Bankruptcy
code (iBc) and the real estate (regulation and
Development) Act (rer A) has enhanced the ease
of doing business and thereby improved investor
sentiment. t he iBc has helped clean up companies’
The country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s
and early 1990s, prompting the
government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined
deficits of the central and state
governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable
current account deficit triggered
a balance of payments crisis. In
response, India embarked on a path of
economic liberalisation and reforms.
25 August 2023
finances. o ut-of-court settlements in cases of loan
default are increasing to avoid the procedures of
iBc. rer A has transformed the real estate sector by
making it more organised, resulting in increased
new launches and sales of houses.
Additionally, significant changes have been
made to the taxation ecosystem in india since
2014. tax policy reforms, including the adoption of
a unified g oods and services tax (gst ), reduction
in corporate and income tax rates, exemption
of sovereign wealth funds and pension funds
from taxes, removal of the Dividend Distribution
tax, and the abolishment of the retrospective
tax, have reduced the tax burden on individuals
and businesses. the implementation of gst has
broadened the tax base, reduced compliance
requirements, facilitated the free flow of goods
across state borders, and contributed to the
formalisation of the economy. t he gst system has
exhibited improved buoyancy compared to the pre-
gst regime, with average monthly gross collections
consistently rising from inr 0.9 lakh crore in FY18
to inr 1.5 lakh crore in FY23 and inr 1.7 lakh crore
in the first quarter of FY24. the number of gst
taxpayers has also significantly increased, with a
larger number of smaller businesses entering the
gst regime.
Large-scale public spending has also been
undertaken since 2014 to address the long-standing
infrastructure gaps and logistics bottlenecks.
the effective c apital expenditure by the union
government has risen from 2.8 per cent of gDP in
2013-14 to 3.8 per cent in 2022-23. t his investment
has aimed to improve connectivity and modernise
infrastructure in areas such as road connectivity
(Bharatmala), port infrastructure (sagarmala),
electrification, railways, and airports/air routes
(uDAn). t he national Logistics Policy 2022 supports
these initiatives by establishing an overarching
logistics ecosystem.
r ecognising the need for consistent and long-
term efforts to improve infrastructure in a country
as vast as india, the government has established the
national infrastructure Pipeline (niP). t his forward-
looking approach to infrastructure investments
projects around inr 111 lakh crore of investments
spread over five years until 2024-25. c urrently, more
than 9,000 niP projects, with a total investment of
over inr 108 lakh crore, are at various stages of
implementation across different sectors.
in addition, there have been many reforms
and governance initiatives over the past nine years
to improve the investment climate. Programmes
such as ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ and ‘Make in india’
The government's economic
policy focus since 2014 has been
to restore India's growth potential
by easing business conditions and
significantly enhancing physical
and digital infrastructure. These
efforts aim to improve the overall
business climate and strengthen
the competitiveness of India's
manufacturing sector. Diverse
economic reforms have been
implemented to facilitate ease of
doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing
governance systems and
processes.
26 August 2023
have aimed to enhance india’s manufacturing
capabilities and promote exports across various
industries. Production Linked incentives (PLis)
have been introduced to attract domestic and
foreign investments, fostering the development
of global champions in the manufacturing sector.
strategic sectors, including defence, mining,
and space, have been opened up to enhance
business opportunities for the private sector. the
government has further liberalised the Foreign
Direct investment (FDi) policy, with most sectors
now open for 100% FDi under the automatic route.
Moreover, the new Public s ector enterprise Policy
has been implemented to limit the government’s
presence in public sector enterprises to only a few
strategic sectors.
significant reforms have also been undertaken
to reduce policy uncertainties. Decriminalising
minor economic offences under the c ompanies
Act of 2013 has greatly improved the ease of doing
business. As a result of this reform, over 1,400
default cases have been resolved without resorting
to court proceedings, and more than 400,000
companies have voluntarily rectified past defaults
to avoid penalties. Additionally, around 25,000
unnecessary compliances have been eliminated,
and over 1,400 archaic laws have been repealed in
the past nine years.
the emphasis of the reforms for the private
sector has been on more than just the large
businesses. sustained reforms have also supported
smaller businesses in recovering from the impact
of the pandemic and have facilitated their growth.
initiatives such as the emergency credit Line
guarantee s cheme (ecL gs), revision in the definition
of MsMes under the ambit of Atmanirbhar Bharat,
the introduction of tr eDs to address the delayed
payments for MsMes, the inclusion of r etail and
Wholesale trades as MsMes, and the extension of
non-tax benefits for three years in case of an upward
change in the status of MsMe, have all contributed
to the sector’s resilience.
integrating technology and digital platforms has
been a common theme throughout these reforms.
studies have shown that india’s core digital economy
has grown 2.4 times higher than the overall economic
growth between 2014 and 2019. this digitalisation
has had significant positive effects on the economy,
strengthening its potential for growth through
various channels such as higher financial inclusion,
greater formalisation and increased efficiencies.
Digital infrastructure has facilitated the creation
of digital identities, improved access to finance and
markets, reduced transaction costs, and enhanced
tax collection. r ecent digital initiatives, such as the
open network for Digital c ommerce (onDc ) and the
Account Aggregator framework, hold the potential
to enhance economic growth further. the onDc
will provide greater market access for e-commerce
businesses, opening up new opportunities for
growth and expansion. the Account Aggregator
framework will also enable more accessible credit
for smaller businesses, promoting development
and overall economic growth.
Way Forward
t he new age reforms undertaken in the indian
economy form the foundation of its resilient growth
during Kartavya Kaal. the sound and healthy
financial sector developed over the previous few
years will ensure efficient credit provisioning,
contributing to robust economic growth in the
coming years through higher investments and
consumption. A restored credit cycle and enhanced
public sector capex will rejuvenate the indian
private sector capex cycle. the digitalisation
reforms and the resulting efficiency gains in terms
of greater formalisation, higher financial inclusion,
and more economic opportunities will be essential
drivers of india’s economic growth in the medium
term. A sustained pace in the expansion of digital
infrastructure, significant upscaling of r&D in
both the public and the private sector, and higher
availability of skilled workforce will be required
to ensure an overarching ecosystem for the rapid
growth of high-end manufacturing and high value-
added services in the medium term.
contextually relevant and appropriate
economic reforms, considering india’s demographic
profile and understanding of strategic challenges
– political and economic – that technological
developments such as advances in Artificial
intelligence and energy transition motivated
by climate change considerations pose for the
country, will pave the way for bright and steady
growth prospects for the country, leading up to
2047. through this approach, india can chart its
path towards sustainable and inclusive economic
development in the future. ?
Page 5
23 August 2023
ndia’s economic journey traces back
to the early years, post-independence,
when it adopted a mixed economy
model, combining socialist policies with
elements of a market economy. the focus was on
nation-building, industrialisation, and achieving
self-sufficiency through the establishment of public
sector enterprises and import substitution. While
these policies laid the foundation for industrial
growth, they also led to unintended consequences
such as bureaucratic inefficiencies, limited
competition, and stifled innovation.
the 1990s (some think it started early in the
eighties) marked a significant turning point for
india’s economy. t he country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s and early 1990s,
prompting the government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined deficits of the
central and state governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable current account
deficit triggered a balance of payments crisis. i n
response, india embarked on a path of economic
liberalisation and reforms.
I
the government implemented policies to
dismantle the license raj, encourage foreign
direct investment, and promote privatisation.
the exchange rate was made flexible, allowing
for depreciation as necessary to maintain
competitiveness. the rupee became fully
convertible on the current account and partially
convertible on the capital account. this shift
towards a market-oriented economy opened up
avenues for growth, fostered entrepreneurship, and
attracted global investments. t he real growth rates
increased from an average of 5.5 per cent in the
1980s to 6.3 per cent between FY1993 and FY2000.
external trade experienced a significant boost, with
the total goods and services trade-to-gDP ratio
rising from 17.2 per cent in 1990 to 30.6 per cent
in 2000.
the new millennium saw the continuation of
these reforms, albeit with intermittent progress.
Foreign direct investment was further liberalised
in the early 2000s. t he new telecom Policy of 1999
catalysed the it sector boom in i ndia, generating
widespread benefits for other sectors as well.
v anantHa nagEswaran The author is the Chief Economic Adviser, Government of India. Email: cea@nic.in
As nations progress and evolve, their economies play a crucial role
in shaping their trajectory. The journey of the Indian economy, as
it commemorates 75 years of independence, reflects the resilience,
challenges, and opportunities that define India’s youthful, dynamic, and
progressive nature. Over time, the Indian economy has experienced
various highs and lows, navigating through obstacles and capitalising on
opportunities to establish itself as the world’s fifth-largest economy.
IndIan eConomy
hIstorICaL perspe CtIve
and the way forward
FocuS
24 August 2023
the policy on disinvestment and privatisation
gained momentum during this period, with the
establishment of a dedicated Ministry to drive these
initiatives. structural policies were formulated to
address macroeconomic imbalances. the Fiscal
r esponsibility and Budget Management (FrBM) Act
was passed to address the government’s historically
high combined gross fiscal deficit. the banking
system, burdened by bad debts accumulated
during economic resurgence following the 1991
reforms, was supported through the deregulation
of interest rates and the enactment of the sArFAesi
Act 2002, and these years of structural reforms
strengthened the macro-economic foundation of
the indian economy to enable a high growth period
in the coming years. While global growth averaged
4.8 per cent in 2003-2008, the indian economy
achieved an average growth rate of over 8 per
cent. sustained momentum in domestic economic
activity, improved corporate performance, a healthy
investment climate, and favourable global liquidity
conditions and interest rates resulted in substantial
capital inflows to i ndia from 2004 to 2008. Domestic
credit growth, especially bank credit, doubled
as a share of gDP. chapter 2 of the government’s
economic survey for 2022-23 has more details on
this.
this unsustainable credit boom in the
millennium’s first decade increased banks’ non-
performing assets. As companies’ investments
turned sour, their ability to repay bank loans
declined. this triggered a prolonged period
of repairing financial and non-financial sector
balance sheets for which the government and the
rBi implemented several policy initiatives to assist
the financial sector in recovering from balance
sheet stress. Amendments to the sArFAesi Act
2002, the implementation of the insolvency and
Bankruptcy code (iBc), the introduction of the
‘Asset Quality r eview’ , the adoption of the prompt
corrective action framework, recapitalisation
of Public sector Banks (PsBs), and the merger
of PsBs were among the measures that helped
resolve the issues in banks’ and corporations’
balance sheets.
New-age reforms
the balance sheet repair in the millennium’s
second decade dampened india’s growth potential
and dynamism. consequently, the government’s
economic policy focus since 2014 has been to
restore india’s growth potential by easing business
conditions and significantly enhancing physical and
digital infrastructure. t hese efforts aim to improve
the overall business climate and strengthen the
competitiveness of india’s manufacturing sector.
Diverse economic reforms have been implemented
to facilitate ease of doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing governance systems
and processes.
simplification of regulatory frameworks through
reforms such as the insolvency and Bankruptcy
code (iBc) and the real estate (regulation and
Development) Act (rer A) has enhanced the ease
of doing business and thereby improved investor
sentiment. t he iBc has helped clean up companies’
The country faced macroeconomic
imbalances during the late 1980s
and early 1990s, prompting the
government to introduce structural
reforms in 1991. High combined
deficits of the central and state
governments, elevated inflationary
pressures, and an unsustainable
current account deficit triggered
a balance of payments crisis. In
response, India embarked on a path of
economic liberalisation and reforms.
25 August 2023
finances. o ut-of-court settlements in cases of loan
default are increasing to avoid the procedures of
iBc. rer A has transformed the real estate sector by
making it more organised, resulting in increased
new launches and sales of houses.
Additionally, significant changes have been
made to the taxation ecosystem in india since
2014. tax policy reforms, including the adoption of
a unified g oods and services tax (gst ), reduction
in corporate and income tax rates, exemption
of sovereign wealth funds and pension funds
from taxes, removal of the Dividend Distribution
tax, and the abolishment of the retrospective
tax, have reduced the tax burden on individuals
and businesses. the implementation of gst has
broadened the tax base, reduced compliance
requirements, facilitated the free flow of goods
across state borders, and contributed to the
formalisation of the economy. t he gst system has
exhibited improved buoyancy compared to the pre-
gst regime, with average monthly gross collections
consistently rising from inr 0.9 lakh crore in FY18
to inr 1.5 lakh crore in FY23 and inr 1.7 lakh crore
in the first quarter of FY24. the number of gst
taxpayers has also significantly increased, with a
larger number of smaller businesses entering the
gst regime.
Large-scale public spending has also been
undertaken since 2014 to address the long-standing
infrastructure gaps and logistics bottlenecks.
the effective c apital expenditure by the union
government has risen from 2.8 per cent of gDP in
2013-14 to 3.8 per cent in 2022-23. t his investment
has aimed to improve connectivity and modernise
infrastructure in areas such as road connectivity
(Bharatmala), port infrastructure (sagarmala),
electrification, railways, and airports/air routes
(uDAn). t he national Logistics Policy 2022 supports
these initiatives by establishing an overarching
logistics ecosystem.
r ecognising the need for consistent and long-
term efforts to improve infrastructure in a country
as vast as india, the government has established the
national infrastructure Pipeline (niP). t his forward-
looking approach to infrastructure investments
projects around inr 111 lakh crore of investments
spread over five years until 2024-25. c urrently, more
than 9,000 niP projects, with a total investment of
over inr 108 lakh crore, are at various stages of
implementation across different sectors.
in addition, there have been many reforms
and governance initiatives over the past nine years
to improve the investment climate. Programmes
such as ‘Atmanirbhar Bharat’ and ‘Make in india’
The government's economic
policy focus since 2014 has been
to restore India's growth potential
by easing business conditions and
significantly enhancing physical
and digital infrastructure. These
efforts aim to improve the overall
business climate and strengthen
the competitiveness of India's
manufacturing sector. Diverse
economic reforms have been
implemented to facilitate ease of
doing business and improve the
quality of life while enhancing
governance systems and
processes.
26 August 2023
have aimed to enhance india’s manufacturing
capabilities and promote exports across various
industries. Production Linked incentives (PLis)
have been introduced to attract domestic and
foreign investments, fostering the development
of global champions in the manufacturing sector.
strategic sectors, including defence, mining,
and space, have been opened up to enhance
business opportunities for the private sector. the
government has further liberalised the Foreign
Direct investment (FDi) policy, with most sectors
now open for 100% FDi under the automatic route.
Moreover, the new Public s ector enterprise Policy
has been implemented to limit the government’s
presence in public sector enterprises to only a few
strategic sectors.
significant reforms have also been undertaken
to reduce policy uncertainties. Decriminalising
minor economic offences under the c ompanies
Act of 2013 has greatly improved the ease of doing
business. As a result of this reform, over 1,400
default cases have been resolved without resorting
to court proceedings, and more than 400,000
companies have voluntarily rectified past defaults
to avoid penalties. Additionally, around 25,000
unnecessary compliances have been eliminated,
and over 1,400 archaic laws have been repealed in
the past nine years.
the emphasis of the reforms for the private
sector has been on more than just the large
businesses. sustained reforms have also supported
smaller businesses in recovering from the impact
of the pandemic and have facilitated their growth.
initiatives such as the emergency credit Line
guarantee s cheme (ecL gs), revision in the definition
of MsMes under the ambit of Atmanirbhar Bharat,
the introduction of tr eDs to address the delayed
payments for MsMes, the inclusion of r etail and
Wholesale trades as MsMes, and the extension of
non-tax benefits for three years in case of an upward
change in the status of MsMe, have all contributed
to the sector’s resilience.
integrating technology and digital platforms has
been a common theme throughout these reforms.
studies have shown that india’s core digital economy
has grown 2.4 times higher than the overall economic
growth between 2014 and 2019. this digitalisation
has had significant positive effects on the economy,
strengthening its potential for growth through
various channels such as higher financial inclusion,
greater formalisation and increased efficiencies.
Digital infrastructure has facilitated the creation
of digital identities, improved access to finance and
markets, reduced transaction costs, and enhanced
tax collection. r ecent digital initiatives, such as the
open network for Digital c ommerce (onDc ) and the
Account Aggregator framework, hold the potential
to enhance economic growth further. the onDc
will provide greater market access for e-commerce
businesses, opening up new opportunities for
growth and expansion. the Account Aggregator
framework will also enable more accessible credit
for smaller businesses, promoting development
and overall economic growth.
Way Forward
t he new age reforms undertaken in the indian
economy form the foundation of its resilient growth
during Kartavya Kaal. the sound and healthy
financial sector developed over the previous few
years will ensure efficient credit provisioning,
contributing to robust economic growth in the
coming years through higher investments and
consumption. A restored credit cycle and enhanced
public sector capex will rejuvenate the indian
private sector capex cycle. the digitalisation
reforms and the resulting efficiency gains in terms
of greater formalisation, higher financial inclusion,
and more economic opportunities will be essential
drivers of india’s economic growth in the medium
term. A sustained pace in the expansion of digital
infrastructure, significant upscaling of r&D in
both the public and the private sector, and higher
availability of skilled workforce will be required
to ensure an overarching ecosystem for the rapid
growth of high-end manufacturing and high value-
added services in the medium term.
contextually relevant and appropriate
economic reforms, considering india’s demographic
profile and understanding of strategic challenges
– political and economic – that technological
developments such as advances in Artificial
intelligence and energy transition motivated
by climate change considerations pose for the
country, will pave the way for bright and steady
growth prospects for the country, leading up to
2047. through this approach, india can chart its
path towards sustainable and inclusive economic
development in the future. ?
29 August 2023
he road to 75 years has not been easy,
yet india has come a long way — from a
country that saw its wealth drained by its
colonial masters to a major player in the
global economy. As india enters the Kartavya Kaal,
it is time for the country to realise its potential and
emerge as a world leader in this post-covid new-
World order. More importantly, it is imperative to
T
foster sustainable and inclusive economic growth
while protecting people and the planet.
According to a Ficci-McKinsey report, by
2047, a growing india is expected to become
a high-income nation with six times its current
per capita income and to create 60 crore jobs to
gainfully employ its growing workforce. Achieving
ansHuman KHanna The author is the Assistant Secretary General at FICCI. Email: anshuman.khanna@ficci.com
Over the last decade, India has made significant progress in strengthening
the competitiveness of its domestic manufacturing, especially under the
Atmanirbhar Bharat and Make in India initiatives. Manufacturing has the
highest potential of all sectors to propel job growth, with the potential
to create 60-70 million jobs by 2030. The future of manufacturing is
sustainability. Through a number of initiatives, the Indian Government
is enticing businesses to adopt sustainable manufacturing, including
‘Zero Defect-Zero Effect’, ‘Digital India’, and many others. Over the past
seven years, India has made substantial improvements in its policy
and regulatory environment, making it much easier for enterprises to
establish themselves and flourish.
vIsIon for Industry 29 august 2023
Read More