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Using the exponential smoothing method of forecasting, what will be the forecast for the fourth week if the actual and forecasted demand for the third week is 480 and 500 respectively and α = 0.2?
  • a)
    400
  • b)
    496
  • c)
    500
  • d)
    504
Correct answer is option 'B'. Can you explain this answer?
Verified Answer
Using the exponential smoothing method of forecasting, what will be t...
F4 = αd3 + (1 − α)F3
F3 = (0.2)(480) + (0.8)500
= 96 + 400 = 496
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Most Upvoted Answer
Using the exponential smoothing method of forecasting, what will be t...
Exponential Smoothing Method:
Exponential smoothing is a popular method used for forecasting data. It gives more weight to recent data points while gradually decreasing the weight of older data points.

Calculation:
Given:
Actual demand for the third week = 480
Forecasted demand for the third week = 500
Smoothing constant (α) = 0.2
To calculate the forecast for the fourth week using exponential smoothing, we use the following formula:
Forecast for next period = α * Actual demand for current period + (1-α) * Forecast for current period
Plugging in the values:
Forecast for fourth week = 0.2 * 480 + 0.8 * 500
Forecast for fourth week = 96 + 400
Forecast for fourth week = 496
Therefore, the forecast for the fourth week using the exponential smoothing method with α = 0.2 is 496, which corresponds to option B.
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Using the exponential smoothing method of forecasting, what will be the forecast for the fourth week if the actual and forecasted demand for the third week is 480 and 500 respectively and α = 0.2?a) 400b) 496c) 500d) 504Correct answer is option 'B'. Can you explain this answer?
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