The rate of natural increase or the growth rate of population refers to the difference between the birth rate and the death rate. When this difference is zero (or, in practice, very small) then we say that the population has ‘stabilised’, or has reached the ‘replacement level’, which is the rate of growth required for new generations to replace the older ones that are dying out.
The fertility rate refers to the number of live births per 1000 women in the child-bearing age group, usually taken to be 15 to 49 years. The total fertility rate refers to the total number of live births that a hypothetical woman would have if she lived through the reproductive age group and had the average number of babies in each segment of this age group as determined by the age-specific fertility rates for that area.
Another way of expressing this is that the total fertility rate is the average number of births to a cohort of women up to the end of the reproductive age period (estimated on the basis of the age-specific rates observed during a given period).
Q1: What do you understand by the term "zero population growth"?
Ans: When the size of the population remains unchanged or stabilizes, it is referred to as the stage of zero population growth.
Q2: How is the fertility rate defined?
Ans: The fertility rate refers to the number of live births per 1000 women in the child-bearing age group.
Mass media and communication channels are now bringing images of urban lifestyles and patterns of consumption into rural areas. Consequently, urban norms and standards are becoming well known even in remote villages, creating new desires and aspirations for consumption. Mass transit and mass communication are bridging the gap between rural and urban areas. Even in the past, rural areas were never really beyond the reach of market forces, and today they are being more closely integrated into the consumer market. Considered from an urban point of view, the rapid growth in urbanization shows that the town or city has been acting as a magnet for the rural population.
Q1: Why do urban areas attract the rural population?
Ans: Urban areas act as a magnet for the rural population because those who cannot find work (or sufficient work) in rural areas go to the city in search of employment, where opportunities are more abundant. Additionally, the lifestyle, standards, and norms of urban areas create different aspirations and desires for consumption among the rural population.
Q2: What is helping to bridge the gap between rural and urban areas?
Ans: Mass media and communication channels have brought images of urban lifestyles and consumption patterns to rural areas. Mass transit and mass communication are bridging the gap between rural and urban areas and integrating them into the consumer market.
Literacy varies considerably across gender, regions, and social groups. As can be seen from Table 4, the literacy rate for women is 16.3% less than the literacy rate for men. However, female literacy has been rising faster than male literacy, partly because it started from relatively low levels. Female literacy rose by about 10.4 percent between 2001 and 2011, compared to the rise in male literacy of 7.6 percent in the same period. Literacy increased by approximately 8% in total. Male literacy rose about 5%, whereas female literacy rose about 10%. Again, female literacy has been rising faster than male literacy. Literacy rates also vary by social group – historically disadvantaged communities like the Scheduled Castes and Scheduled Tribes have lower rates of literacy, and rates of female literacy within these groups are even lower. Regional variations are still very wide, with states like Kerala approaching universal literacy, while states like Bihar are lagging far behind.
The inequalities in the literacy rate are especially important because they tend to reproduce inequality across generations. Illiterate parents are at a severe disadvantage in ensuring that their children are well educated, thus perpetuating existing inequalities.
Q1: Why is literacy significant across generations?
Ans: Literacy is significant across generations for promoting equality and progress. Illiterate parents are at a disadvantage in ensuring that their children receive a good education, which perpetuates existing inequalities. As compared to educated parents, who can ensure their children attend schools, colleges, and universities, illiterate parents may fail to provide similar opportunities, leading to the reproduction of inequality across generations.
Q2: Name four states with low literacy levels.
Ans: Bihar, Jharkhand, Rajasthan, and Chhattisgarh.
Demographers and sociologists have offered several reasons for the decline in the sex ratio in India. The main health factor that affects women differently from men is childbearing. However, maternal mortality is supposed to decline with development, as levels of nutrition, general education and awareness, as well as the availability of medical and communication facilities, improve. Indeed, maternal mortality rates have been coming down in India even though they remain high by international standards. So, it is difficult to see how maternal mortality could have been responsible for the worsening of the sex ratio over time. Combined with the fact that the decline in the child sex ratio has been much steeper than the overall figure, social scientists believe that the cause has to be sought in the differential treatment of girl babies.
Q1: What are two reasons for the decline in the child sex ratio?
Ans: (i) Severe neglect of girl babies in infancy, leading to higher death rates.
(ii) Female infanticide (or the killing of girl babies due to religious or cultural beliefs).
Q2: What device is used to identify the sex of a fetus, and what has been its impact?
Ans: The sonogram, an X-ray-like diagnostic device based on ultrasound technology, is used to identify the sex of a fetus. Its impact has been the identification and selective abortion of female fetuses.
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Demography studies the trends and processes associated with population including – changes in population size; patterns of births, deaths, and migration; and the structure and composition of the population, such as the relative proportions of women, men and different age groups. There are different varieties of demography, including formal demography which is a largely quantitative field, and social demography which focuses on the social, economic or political aspects of populations. All demographic studies are based on processes of counting or enumeration – such as the census or the survey – which involve the systematic collection of data on the people residing within a specified territory.
Q1: What does demography study, and what are the key aspects it focuses on?
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Q2: What are the different varieties of demography mentioned in the passage?
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Q3: What are the fundamental methods used in demographic studies for data collection?
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Two different processes happened to take place at roughly the same time in Europe during the latter half of the eighteenth century – the formation of nation-states as the principal form of political organisation, and the beginnings of the modern science of statistics. The modern state had begun to expand its role and functions. It had, for instance, begun to take an active interest in the development of early forms of public health management, policing and maintenance of law and order, economic policies relating to agriculture and industry, taxation and revenue generation and the governance of cities.
Q1: What significant events occurred in Europe during the latter half of the eighteenth century, as mentioned in the passage?
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Q2: What were some of the expanding roles and functions of the modern state during this time?
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The practice of the collection of social statistics by the state is in itself much older, but it acquired its modern form towards the end of the eighteenth century. The American census of 1790 was probably the first modern census, and the practice was soon taken up in Europe as well in the early 1800s. In India, censuses began to be conducted by the British Indian government between 1867–72, and regular ten yearly (or decennial) censuses have been conducted since 1881. Independent India continued the practice, and seven decennial censuses have been conducted since 1951, the most recent being in 2011.
Q1: When did the practice of collecting social statistics by the state in its modern form begin, and what was the first modern census mentioned in the passage?
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Q2: When did the British Indian government commence conducting censuses, and has this practice continued in independent India?
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Emile Durkheim’s famous study explaining the variation in suicide rates across different countries was a good example of this. Durkheim argued that the rate of suicide (i.e., number of suicides per 100,000 population) had to be explained by social causes even though each particular instance of suicide may have involved reasons specific to that individual or her/his circumstances.
Q1: What did Emile Durkheim study regarding suicide rates, and what was his argument about the causes of suicide?
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Q2: What was the focus of Durkheim’s explanation regarding suicide rates, and how did he differentiate individual reasons from societal causes?
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Q3: Why did Durkheim assert that social causes were essential in understanding suicide rates, and how did he approach the concept of individual circumstances in his study?
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Malthus’s theory of population growth – outlined in his Essay on Population (1798) – was a rather pessimistic one. He argued that human populations tend to grow at a much faster rate than the rate at which the means of human subsistence (specially food, but also clothing and other agriculture-based products) can grow. Therefore humanity is condemned to live in poverty forever because the growth of agricultural production will always be overtaken by population growth. While population rises in geometric progression (i.e., like 2, 4, 8, 16, 32, etc.), agricultural production can only grow in arithmetic progression (i.e., like 2, 4, 6, 8, 10, etc.).
Q1: What was the main argument of Malthus’s theory of population growth as outlined in his Essay on Population (1798)?
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Q2: According to Malthus, why did he consider humanity to be condemned to poverty forever in the context of population growth?
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Q3: What were the key components of Malthus’s pessimistic view on population growth, and how did he explain the relationship between population growth and agricultural production?
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However, the most effective refutation of his theory was provided by the historical experience of European countries. The pattern of population growth began to change in the latter half of nineteenth century, and by the end of the first quarter of the twentieth century these changes were quite dramatic. Birth rates had declined, and outbreaks of epidemic diseases were being controlled. Malthus’s predictions were proved false because both food production and standards of living continued to rise despite the rapid growth of population.
Q1: How was Malthus’s theory of population growth refuted by the historical experience of European countries?
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Q2: What were the key developments in European countries that contradicted Malthus’s predictions about population growth and its impact on standards of living?
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Q3: How did the changing patterns in European countries challenge Malthus’s theory, specifically in terms of food production, population growth, and living standards?
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The third (and last) stage is also one of low growth in a developed society where both death rate and birth rate have been reduced considerably and the difference between them is again small. Between these two stages is a transitional stage of movement from a backward to an advanced stage, and this stage is characterised by very high rates of growth of population. This ‘population explosion’ happens because death rates are brought down relatively quickly through advanced methods of disease control, public health, and better nutrition.
Q1: Describe the third stage in the population growth model mentioned in the passage.
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Q2: What characterizes the transitional stage between the low growth stage and the advanced stage in the population growth model described in the passage?
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Q3: What factors contribute to the 'population explosion' in the transitional stage, according to the passage?
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The rate of natural increase or the growth rate of population refers to the difference between the birth rate and the death rate. When this difference is zero (or, in practice, very small) then we say that the population has ‘stabilised’, or has reached the ‘replacement level’, which is the rate of growth required for new generations to replace the older ones that are dying out. Sometimes, societies can experience a negative growth rate – that is, their fertility levels are below the replacement rate. This is true of many countries and regions in the world today, such as Japan, Russia, Italy and Eastern Europe.
Q1: What does the rate of natural increase or population growth rate represent?
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Q2: What does it mean for a population to have 'stabilized' or reached the 'replacement level'?
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Q3: Can you provide examples of countries experiencing a negative growth rate, and what does this imply about their fertility levels?
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The infant mortality rate is the number of deaths of babies before the age of one year per 1000 live births. Likewise, the maternal mortality rate is the number of women who die in childbirth per 1,00,000 live births. High rates of infant and maternal mortality are an unambiguous indicator of backwardness and poverty; development is accompanied by sharp falls in these rates as medical facilities and levels of education, awareness and prosperity increase. One concept which is somewhat complicated is that of life expectancy. This refers to the estimated number of years that an average person is expected to survive. It is calculated on the basis of data on age-specific death rates in a given area over a period of time.
Q1: Define infant mortality rate and its significance in assessing societal development.
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Q2: Explain the concept of maternal mortality rate and its implications for societal development.
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Q3: Define life expectancy and how it is calculated. What factors contribute to changes in life expectancy?
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Historically, all over the world it has been found that there are slightly more females than males in most countries. This is despite the fact that, slightly more male babies are born than female ones; nature seems to produce roughly 943 to 952 female babies for every 1000 males. If despite this fact the sex ratio is somewhat in favour of females, this seems to be due to two reasons. First, girl babies appear to have an advantage over boy babies in terms of resistance to disease in infancy. At the other end of the life cycle, women have tended to outlive men in most societies, so that there are more older women than men. The combination of these two factors leads to a sex ratio of roughly 1050 females per 1000 males in most contexts.
Q1: Despite slightly more male babies being born, why is there a higher number of females than males in most countries?
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Q2: What is the typical sex ratio (females to males) in most contexts, and how is it influenced by factors like disease resistance and life expectancy?
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Q3: Explain the reasons behind the higher number of females in populations, considering both infancy and the later stages of life.
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The age structure of the population refers to the proportion of persons in different age groups relative to the total population. The age structure changes in response to changes in levels of development and the average life expectancy. Initially, poor medical facilities, prevalence of disease and other factors make for a relatively short life span. Moreover, high infant and maternal mortality rates also have an impact on the age structure. With development, quality of life improves and with it the life expectancy also improves.
Q1: What does the term "age structure of the population" refer to, and how does it change in response to development and average life expectancy?
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Q2: How do factors like poor medical facilities, disease prevalence, infant and maternal mortality rates impact the age structure of a population?
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Q3: How does development influence the age structure of a population, and what improvements in quality of life are associated with changes in life expectancy?
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The dependency ratio is equal to the population below 15 or above 64, divided by population in the 15-64 age group. This is usually expressed as a percentage. A rising dependency ratio is a cause for worry in countries that are facing an ageing population, since it becomes difficult for a relatively smaller proportion of working-age people to carry the burden of providing for a relatively larger proportion of dependents. On the other hand, a falling dependency ratio can be a source of economic growth and prosperity due to the larger proportion of workers relative to non-workers.
Q1: What does the dependency ratio measure, and how is it calculated?
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Q2: Why is a rising dependency ratio concerning for countries with an ageing population?
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Q3: How can a falling dependency ratio contribute to economic growth and prosperity?
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India is the second most populous country in the world after China, with a total population of 121 crores (or 1.21 billion) according to the Census of India 2011. As can be seen from Table 1, the growth rate of India’s population has not always been very high. Between 1901–1951 the average annual growth rate did not exceed 1.33%, a modest rate of growth. In fact between 1911 and 1921 there was a negative rate of growth of – 0.03%. This was because of the influenza epidemic during 1918–19 which killed about 12.5 million persons or 5% of the total population of the country (Visaria and Visaria 2003: 191). The growth rate of population substantially increased after independence from British rule going up to 2.2% during 1961-1981. Since then although the annual growth rate has decreased it remains one of the highest in the developing world.
Q1: What is India's position in terms of global population, and what was its total population according to the Census of India 2011?
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Q2: How has India's population growth rate changed over the years, and what were some significant periods of growth rate fluctuation?
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Q3: What factors contributed to the significant increase in India's population growth rate after gaining independence, and how has the growth rate changed since then?
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Famines were also a major and recurring source of increased mortality. Famines were caused by high levels of continuing poverty and malnutrition in an agroclimatic environment that was very vulnerable to variations in rainfall. Lack of adequate means of transportation and communication as well as inadequate efforts on the part of the state were some of the factors responsible for famines. However, as scholars like Amartya Sen and others have shown, famines were not necessarily due to fall in foodgrains production; they were also caused by a ‘failure of entitlements’, or the inability of people to buy or otherwise obtain food.
Q1: What were the major causes of famines in historical contexts, as described in the passage?
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Q2: According to scholars like Amartya Sen, what was the underlying cause of famines besides a decline in foodgrains production?
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Q3: What were some of the factors, other than agricultural aspects, that contributed to the occurrence of famines, as mentioned in the passage?
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The bias towards younger age groups in the age structure is believed to be an advantage for India. Like the East Asian economies in the past decade and like Ireland today, India is supposed to be benefitting from a ‘demographic dividend’. This dividend arises from the fact that the current generation of working-age people is a relatively large one, and it has only a relatively small preceding generation of old people to support.
Q1: How does the bias towards younger age groups in India's age structure benefit the country?
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Q2: What is the concept of a 'demographic dividend,' and how does it relate to India's population structure?
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Q3: How does the concept of a 'demographic dividend' compare India to other economies like those in East Asia and Ireland?
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Demographers and sociologists have offered several reasons for the decline in the sex ratio in India. The main health factor that affects women differently from men is childbearing. It is relevant to ask if the fall in the sex ratio may be partly due to the increased risk of death in childbirth that only women face. However, maternal mortality is supposed to decline with development, as levels of nutrition, general education and awareness, as well as, the availability of medical and communication facilities improves. Indeed, maternal mortality rates have been coming down in India even though they remain high by international standards.
Q1: What factors do demographers and sociologists attribute to the decline in the sex ratio in India?
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Q2: How is maternal mortality linked to the decline in the sex ratio, and how is it expected to change with development?
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Q3: What has been the trend in maternal mortality rates in India, and how does it compare to international standards?
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Direction: Read the following Passage and Answer the Questions.
The regional pattern of low child sex ratios seems to support this argument. It is striking that the lowest child sex ratios are found in the most prosperous regions of India. According to the Economic Survey for a recent year, Maharashtra, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh and Delhi are having high per capita income and the child sex ratio of these states is still low. So the problem of selective abortions is not due to poverty or ignorance or lack of resources.
Q1: What does the regional pattern of low child sex ratios in India suggest, and how does it challenge common assumptions?
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Q2: Why is the prevalence of selective abortions particularly concerning in prosperous regions, and how does it dispel misconceptions about the reasons behind this issue?
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Q3: What does the regional data reveal about the connection between economic prosperity and child sex ratios, as highlighted in the Economic Survey?
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Literacy as a prerequisite to education is an instrument of empowerment. The more literate the population the greater the consciousness of career options, as well as participation in the knowledge economy. Further, literacy can lead to health awareness and fuller participation in the cultural and economic well being of the community. Literacy levels have improved considerably after independence, and almost two-thirds of our population is now literate. But improvements in the literacy rate have to struggle to keep up with the rate of growth of the Indian population, which is still quite high.
Q1: Why is literacy considered an instrument of empowerment, and how does it impact individuals and communities?
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Q2: How has literacy contributed to the socio-economic development of India, and what are its implications for the population's well-being?
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Q3: What challenges does India face in terms of literacy, despite improvements, and how does population growth impact literacy rates?
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Direction: Read the following Passage and Answer the Questions.
The Family Planning Programme suffered a setback during the years of the National Emergency (1975–76). Normal parliamentary and legal procedures were suspended during this time and special laws and ordinances issued directly by the government (without being passed by Parliament) were in force. During this time the government tried to intensify the effort to bring down the growth rate of population by introducing a coercive programme of mass sterilisation. Here sterilisation refers to medical procedures like vasectomy (for men) and tubectomy (for women) which prevent conception and childbirth. Vast numbers of mostly poor and powerless people were forcibly sterilised and there was massive pressure on lower level government officials (like school teachers or office workers) to bring people for sterilisation in the camps that were organised for this purpose.
Q1: How did the Family Planning Programme in India suffer a setback during the National Emergency (1975–76) period?
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Q2: What does sterilisation refer to in the context of the Family Planning Programme, and what methods were employed for men and women?
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Q3: How were individuals, particularly the poor and powerless, affected by the coercive mass sterilisation program during the National Emergency period?
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1. What is the demographic structure of Indian society? |
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