D. THE PROBABILITY THAT AN EVENT DOES NOT HAPPEN
If, in a possibility space of n equally likely occurrences, the number of times an event A occurs is r, there are n - r occasions when A does not happen. 'The event A does not happen’ is denoted by (and is read as ‘not A’)
This relationship is most useful in the ‘at least one’ type of problem, as is illustrated below.
Example : If four cards are drawn at random from a pack of fifty-two playing cards find the probability that at least one of them is an ace.
If A is a combination of four cards containing at least one ace. (i.e. either one ace, or two aces, or three aces or four aces) then is a combination of four cards containing no aces.
Now P ( ) =
Using P (A ) + P ( ) = 1 we have P(A) = 1 - P ( ) = 1 - 0.72 = 0.28
E. VENN DIAGRAMS
A diagram used to illustrate relationships between sets. Commonly, a rectangle represents the universal set and a circle within it represents a given set (all members of the given set are represented by points within the circle). A subset is represented by a circle within a circle and union and intersection are indicated by overlapping circles. Let S is the sample space of an experiment and A, B, C are three events corresponding to it
Example : Let us now conduct an experiment of tossing a pair of dice. Two events defined on the experiment are
A : getting a doublet {11, 22, 33, 44, 55, 66}
B : getting total score of 10 or more {64, 46, 55, 56, 65, 66}
F. ADDITION THEOREM
A ∪ B = A + B = A or B denotes occurrence of at least A or B.
For 2 events A & B : P (A ∪ B) = P (A) + P (B) - P (A ∩ B)
Note :
(a) P( A ∪ B) P(A + B) P(A or B) P (occurrence of atleast one A or B) | P(A) + P(B) – P( A ∩ B) (This is known as generalized addition theorem) P(A) + P(B ∩ ) = P(B) + P(A ∩ ) P(A ∩ B ) + P(A ∩ B) + P(B ∩ ) |
(b) P(A ∪ B) = P(A . ) + P( . B) + P(A . B) = 1-P( . ) | |
(c) Opposite of “atleast A or B” is neither A nor B i.e. |
Note that P(A + B) + P( ∩ ) = 1.
(d) If A & B are mutually exclusive then P( A ∪ B) = P( A ) + P(B) .
(e) For any two events A & B, P (exactly one of A, B occurs) =
(f) De Morgan’s Law : If A & B are two subsets of a universal set U, then
(i) (ii)
(g) A ∪ (B ∩ C) = (A ∪ B) ∩ (A ∪ C) & A ∩ (B ∪ C) = (A ∩ B) ∪ (A ∩ C)
Ex.10 A bag contains 6 white, 5 black and 4 red balls. Find the probability of getting either a white or a black ball in a single draw.
Sol. Let A = event that we get a white ball, B = event that we get a black ball So, the events are mutually exclusive So P( A + B) = P( A ) + P(B) =
Ex.11 Three numbers are chosen at random without replacement from 1, 2, 3, ......, 10. The probability that the minimum of the chosen numbers is 4 or their maximum is 8, is
Sol. The probability of 4 being the minimum number =
(because, after selecting 4 any two can be selected from 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10).
The probability of 8 being the maximum number =
The probability of 4 being the minimum number and 8 being the maximum number =
∴ the required probability = P( A ∪ B) = P( A ) + P(B) - P( A ∩ B) =
Ex.12 A pair of dice is rolled together till a sum of either 5 or 7 is obtained. Find the probability that 5 comes before 7.
Sol. Let E1 = the event of getting 5 in a roll of two dice = {(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)}
Let E2 = the event of getting either 5 or 7 = {(1,4), (2,3), (3,2),(4,1), (1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2), (6, 1)}
∴ the probability of getting neither 5 nor 7 =
The event of getting 5 before
∴ the probability of getting 5 before
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