Google Self-Driving Cars Will Be the New Moon Landing Video Lecture | Shaping the Future: The New Western World - Personal Skills

what what do you think of self-driving
cars uh oh I is well you can tell him
waiting for you to ask me what i hiccup
self-training but what do you think its
self-driving I think they're fabulous I
think it's an incredibly cool you know
David Hilbert was asked one time you
know what's the important what's the
most important scientific problem in the
20th century said getting a man on the
moon Anderson David you're a math why is
that such a big deal isn't because the
number of problems that you'd have to
solve to do that encompasses so many
interesting things and I think to some
degree the self-driving car is a very
similar thing if you can figure out how
to do this detection how to do this
interpretation how to do sensors and
effectors plus the algorithms themselves
are terribly clever Kalman filtering 00
and newer algorithms than that I mean I
just am it's a dazzling shiny object to
me and I'm like go Google self-driving
car well I'm with you I mean and it's
also a good example of what happens with
forecasting part of what I do is I look
for inflection points I'm strictly
speaking the place on on a sigmoid curve
where it changes direction strictly
speaking is not the inflection point
what's called right and the DARPA
Robotics Challenge was a case in point
so the first one it was what may two
thousand four you know that it was a
hundred i was there 150 mile race to the
border and the vehicle got farthest only
got seven kilometers and died on the
side road and it was like monty python
mostly sex died to thank you there the
second race yeah that three cars
finished and 21 out of 22 competitors
got farther than sandstorm got in the
first race by coincidence is almost
exactly 18 months later then the third
darpa grand challenge the wrote the
urban grand challenge Air Force Base we
demonstrated that robots may be
primitive but they actually understand
the vehicle code better than Cal this is
something I'm very interested in is when
does something that looks very very hard
and has been very very hard for a very
long period of time suddenly there's
what I
guess you'd have to call a breakthrough
but I mean if we go back 10 years ago
and we had talked about self-driving
cars the one thing I dare say we would
have agreed upon is that it might be
possible it might not but it's in the
way in the far distant attached to me
did you have that really Olin and I'm on
record I did an economist debate that Oh
Bravo that's that you know this is
before 2020 there on the highway and by
the way when we do have robotic cars
we're not going to buy them release them
Oh they'd be you would subscribe to him
subscribe to the month yeah yeah it
doesn't make sense to have this vehicle
I mean some people like that you're
stepping out and telling car go park
yourself but it's happening fast enough
that you know as a Californian where you
know it was our birthright at 15 and a
half to get our learners are especially
as guys well I remember but here's just
home stick with me this is what's really
critical is what is the reetou passage
for teenage boys in California when the
cars drive themselves we're gonna have
to take an old Air Force Base in the
Mojave and get some 1950s cars out there
and just you know sir like in Papua New
Guinea when they send the boys out into
the Willows that this will be how we
take our teenagers and give them the
reetou massage as they have to drive an
old-fashioned car