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The probability of India winning a test match against West Indies is 1/2. Assuming independence from match to match, the probability that in a 5-match series, India's second win occurs in the third test, is
(Round off up to 2 decimal places)
    Correct answer is '0.25'. Can you explain this answer?
    Most Upvoted Answer
    The probability of India winning a test match against West Indies is ...
    Given: P(India wins) = p = 1/2
    ∴ P(India loses) = p' = 1/2
    Out of 5 matches, India's second win occurs in the third test.
    ⇒ India wins the third test and simultaneously it has won one match from the first two and lost the other.
    ∴ Required probability = P(LWW) + P(WLW)
    =
    = 0.25
    Free Test
    Community Answer
    The probability of India winning a test match against West Indies is ...
    The probability of India winning a test match against West Indies is given as 1/2. Assuming independence from match to match, we need to find the probability that India's second win occurs in the third test of a 5-match series.

    Let's break down the problem into smaller steps:

    Step 1: Probability of India winning a single match
    The probability of India winning a single test match against West Indies is given as 1/2. This means that in any given match, there is a 1/2 chance that India will win.

    Step 2: Probability of India losing a single match
    Since the probability of India winning a match is 1/2, the probability of India losing a match is also 1/2. This means that in any given match, there is a 1/2 chance that India will lose.

    Step 3: Probability of India winning a specific match in the series
    In a 5-match series, we want to find the probability that India's second win occurs in the third test. This means that India must win the first two matches and then win the third match.

    The probability of India winning the first match is 1/2.
    The probability of India winning the second match is also 1/2.
    The probability of India winning the third match is also 1/2.

    Since the matches are assumed to be independent, we can multiply the probabilities to find the probability of all three events happening:

    (1/2) * (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/8

    Step 4: Probability of India losing the remaining matches
    After India wins the first three matches, there are two matches remaining. Since we are looking for the probability of India's second win occurring in the third test, India must lose the fourth match. The probability of India losing the fourth match is 1/2.

    Step 5: Probability of India winning the fifth match
    In order for India's second win to occur in the third test, India must also win the fifth match. The probability of India winning the fifth match is 1/2.

    Step 6: Multiply the probabilities
    To find the probability of India's second win occurring in the third test, we multiply the probabilities of the individual events happening:

    (1/8) * (1/2) * (1/2) = 1/32 ≈ 0.03125

    Therefore, the probability that India's second win occurs in the third test of a 5-match series is approximately 0.03125, which rounded to two decimal places is 0.03 or 0.03.
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    The probability of India winning a test match against West Indies is 1/2. Assuming independence from match to match, the probability that in a 5-match series, India's second win occurs in the third test, is(Round off up to 2 decimal places)Correct answer is '0.25'. Can you explain this answer?
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