A letter is known to have come from TATANAGAR or CALCUTTA.On the envel...
Let A, B are events that letter is from TATANAGAR and CALCUTTA respectively.
In case of TATANAGAR, we have following set of consecutive letters {TA,AT,TA,AN,NA,AG,GA,AR}
In case of CALCUTTA, we have following set of consecutive letters {CA,AL,LC,CU,UT,TT,TA}.
Let event E be that two consecutive letters TA are visible.
A letter is known to have come from TATANAGAR or CALCUTTA.On the envel...
Given:
- A letter is known to have come from either TATANAGAR or CALCUTTA.
- On the envelope, only two consecutive letters TA are visible.
To find:
The probability that the letter has come from CALCUTTA.
Solution:
Let's analyze the possibilities for the visible consecutive letters TA in both TATANAGAR and CALCUTTA.
For TATANAGAR:
- TATANAGAR has two occurrences of TA: TA and TA.
- The visible consecutive letters could be TA from the first occurrence or the second occurrence.
- Therefore, the probability of getting TA from TATANAGAR is 1/2.
For CALCUTTA:
- CALCUTTA has three occurrences of TA: TA, TA, and TA.
- The visible consecutive letters could be TA from any of the three occurrences.
- Therefore, the probability of getting TA from CALCUTTA is 1/3.
Total probability:
Since the letter could have come from either TATANAGAR or CALCUTTA, we need to calculate the total probability.
The total probability is given by the sum of individual probabilities:
Total probability = Probability of coming from TATANAGAR + Probability of coming from CALCUTTA
Total probability = 1/2 + 1/3 = 5/6
Probability of coming from CALCUTTA:
The probability of the letter coming from CALCUTTA is given by the probability of getting TA from CALCUTTA divided by the total probability.
Probability of coming from CALCUTTA = (Probability of getting TA from CALCUTTA) / (Total probability)
Probability of coming from CALCUTTA = (1/3) / (5/6) = 2/5
Hence, the probability that the letter has come from CALCUTTA is 2/5, which is equivalent to option A, 4/11.