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There are two balls in an urn whose colours are not known (each ball can be either white or black). A white ball is put into the urn. A ball is drawn from the urn. The probability that it is white is
  • a)
    1/4
  • b)
    1/3
  • c)
    2/3
  • d)
    1/6
Correct answer is option 'C'. Can you explain this answer?
Most Upvoted Answer
There are two balls in an urn whose colours are not known (each ball c...
Probability of drawing a white ball from the urn
To find the probability of drawing a white ball from the urn, we need to consider the possible scenarios and calculate the probability for each scenario. Let's break down the problem step by step.

Step 1: Initial situation
- There are two balls in the urn, and their colors are not known.
- The possible combinations for the two balls are WW, WB, BW, and BB.

Step 2: A white ball is put into the urn
- Since a white ball is put into the urn, we can eliminate the possibility of both balls being black (BB).
- Now, the possible combinations for the two balls are WW, WB, and BW.

Step 3: Drawing a ball from the urn
- We want to find the probability of drawing a white ball from the urn.
- Let's calculate the probability for each possible combination.

Scenario 1: WW
- If both balls in the urn are white, the probability of drawing a white ball is 1.

Scenario 2: WB
- If one ball is white and the other is black, the probability of drawing a white ball is 1/2.
- This is because there is only one white ball out of two possible balls to be drawn.

Scenario 3: BW
- If one ball is black and the other is white, the probability of drawing a white ball is also 1/2.
- This is because there is only one white ball out of two possible balls to be drawn.

Step 4: Calculating the overall probability
- To find the overall probability, we need to consider the probabilities for each scenario and their likelihoods.
- The likelihood of each scenario is equal since we do not have any additional information about the colors of the balls.
- Therefore, the overall probability is the average of the probabilities for each scenario.

Overall probability = (1 + 1/2 + 1/2) / 3 = 2/3

Therefore, the probability of drawing a white ball from the urn is 2/3, which corresponds to option C.
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Community Answer
There are two balls in an urn whose colours are not known (each ball c...
Let E(0 < i < 2) denote the event that urn contains 'i' white and '(2 – i)' black balls.
Let A denote the event that a white ball is drawn from the urn.
We have P(Ei) = 1/3 for i = 0, 1, 2 
P (A|E1) = 1/3, P(A|E2) = 2/3, P(A|E3) = 1.
By the total probability rule,
P(A)= P(E1)P(A|E1) + P(E2)P(A|E2) + P(E3)P(A|E3)
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There are two balls in an urn whose colours are not known (each ball can be either white or black). A white ball is put into the urn. A ball is drawn from the urn. The probability that it is white isa)1/4b)1/3c)2/3d)1/6Correct answer is option 'C'. Can you explain this answer?
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