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Shankar IAS Summary: Climate Change- 2 | Famous Books for UPSC Exam (Summary & Tests) PDF Download

Introduction

Climate change pertains to enduring alterations in temperatures and weather patterns. While these changes can occur naturally, influenced by variations in the sun's activity or significant volcanic eruptionshuman activities have become the predominant force behind climate change since the 1800s. This is chiefly attributed to the combustion of fossil fuels such as coal, oil, and gas. 
Climate ChangeClimate Change

Climate Forcings

  • Climate "forcings" influence the climate system, either intensifying or lessening its impact.
  • Excess greenhouse gases, considered positive forcings, lead to Earth's warming.
  • Negative forcings, like aerosols from volcanic eruptions, result in cooling effects on the planet.
  • Types of Atmospheric Aerosols:
    • Volcanic dust
    • Soot from fossil fuel combustion
    • Particles from burning forests
    • Mineral dust
      Role of Atmospheric Aerosols
      Role of Atmospheric Aerosols
  • Dark carbon-rich particles, such as diesel engine soot:
    • Absorb sunlight
    • Contribute to atmospheric warming
  • Light aerosols, like those from high-sulfur coal or oil:
    • Reflect sunlight back to space
    • Induce a cooling effect
  • Natural aerosols from volcanic eruptions:
    • Contribute to atmospheric cooling
    • Large eruptions can lower temperatures until sulfate particles settle out.

Forcing

Changing the Energy Balance

  • The ability of a process to influence the climate is measured by its "radiative forcing," which represents the alteration in the Earth's energy balance caused by that process.
  • Climate forcings can be positive, contributing to global warming, or negative, leading to cooling. Some forcings, like those from increased CO2 concentrations, are well understood, while others, like those from aerosols, are more uncertain.
    Shankar IAS Summary: Climate Change- 2 | Famous Books for UPSC Exam (Summary & Tests)

Natural Forcings

  • Natural forcings involve variations in the Sun's emitted energy, slow changes in Earth's orbit, and volcanic eruptions.
  • Since the Industrial Revolution, the only significant natural forcing has been a slight increase in solar energy reaching Earth. However, this change alone cannot explain the current warming trend.

Human-Induced Forcings

  • Human activities can also cause climate forcing, including greenhouse gas and aerosol emissions from burning fossil fuels, as well as modifications to the land surface like deforestation.

Human-Generated Greenhouse Gases

  • Greenhouse gases act as a positive climate forcing, contributing to warming. Carbon dioxide from fossil fuel combustion is the largest single climate forcing agent, responsible for over half of the total positive forcing since 1750.
    Fossil Fuel Combustion
    Fossil Fuel Combustion

Human-Generated Aerosols

  • Burning fossil fuels releases aerosols into the atmosphere, comprising tiny particles such as water, ice, ash, mineral dust, or acidic droplets. Aerosols can reflect the Sun's energy and influence cloud formation and longevity. Aerosols act as a negative forcing, exerting a cooling effect.

Causes of Climate Change

  • Although natural forcings exist, they are insufficient to explain recent global warming. Human activities are highly likely to be responsible for the majority of the recent warming observed.

Receding Glaciers – A Symptom of Global Climate Change

A century and a half ago, Glacier National Park boasted 147 glaciers. However, the current scenario reveals a stark decline, with only 37 glaciers remaining, and scientists project their potential disappearance by 2030. This pattern of retreat and vanishing glaciers extends to the Himalayas and Alps, where a similar trend is observed annually. In Polar Regions and high mountain environments, nearly 160,000 glaciers exist. Consequently, researchers are turning to satellite remote sensors as a more efficient means to regularly survey the world's glaciers, enabling comprehensive monitoring within a fraction of the time. 

Glacial RecessionGlacial Recession

Impact of glacial retreat

  • Glacial retreat in the Andes and Himalayas poses a potential threat to water supplies.
  • Climate change-induced variations in temperature and snowfall can alter the mass balance of glaciers.
  • The Himalayas and other Central Asian mountain chains:
    • Support large glaciated regions
    • Play a crucial role in supplying water to dry countries like Mongolia, western China, Pakistan, and Afghanistan.
  • The loss of these glaciers would significantly impact the ecosystem of the region
  • Leading scientists globally predict that Global warming poses a serious threat to the national and global economy and the environment, specifically affecting Poor and low-lying countries.

Chain of Events 

Shankar IAS Summary: Climate Change- 2 | Famous Books for UPSC Exam (Summary & Tests)


Climate Tipping

Climate Tipping Points (CTPs), abbreviated as CTPs, act as key indicators within the broader climate system. When surpassed, these points trigger self-sustaining warming, contributing to a cascading effect.

  • Due to a 1.1-degree Celsius global heating caused by human activities, there is a concern that five critical tipping points may have already been crossed, posing significant risks.
  • Among these scenarios:
    • Potential collapse of the Greenland ice cap, leading to a substantial rise in sea levels
    • Disruption of a crucial current in the North Atlantic, vital for providing rain to billions of people's food sources
    • Sudden thawing of permafrost rich in carbon.
      Greenland Ice Sheet
      Greenland Ice Sheet
  • At 15 degrees Celsius, five tipping points become possible, including alterations in extensive northern forests, potential loss of nearly all mountain glaciers, die-off of tropical coral reefs, and shifts in the West African monsoon.

  • Nine global tipping points are identified when temperatures rise beyond 2°C:

    1. Potential collapse of the Greenland, West Antarctic, and two parts of the East Antarctic ice sheets
    2. Partial and total collapse of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)
    3. Risk of Amazon dieback, permafrost collapse, and winter sea ice loss in the Arctic.
  • Ongoing research is exploring other potential tipping points, including the loss of ocean oxygen and significant changes in the Indian summer monsoon.

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