Page 1
CHAPTER 7
FIVE YEAR PLANS
7.1 Introduction : Indian planning is an open process. Much of the controversy and the
debates that accompany the preparation of the plans are public. The initial aggregate
calculations and assumptions are either explicitly stated or readily deducible, and the
makers of the plans are not only sensitive but responsive to criticism and suggestions
from a wide variety of national and international sources. From original formulation
through successive modifications to parliamentary presentation, plan making in India
has evolved as a responsive democratic political process and the culmination of the
same in the final document is an impressive manifestation of the workings of an open
society. But by its very nature it also generates many problems from the point of view of
mapping an optimal strategy for economic development.
7.2 History of Planning in India & Origin of Five Year Plans:
7.2.1 Though the planned economic development in India began in 1951 with the
inception of First Five Year Plan , theoretical efforts had begun much earlier , even prior
to the independence. Setting up of National Planning Committee by Indian National
Congress in 1938 , The Bombay Plan & Gandhian Plan in 1944, Peoples Plan in
1945 (by post war reconstruction Committee of Indian Trade Union), Sarvodaya Plan
in 1950 by Jaiprakash Narayan were steps in this direction.
7.2.2 Five-Year Plans (FYPs) are centralized and integrated national economic
programs. Joseph Stalin implemented the first FYP in the Soviet Union in the late
1920s. Most communist states and several capitalist countries subsequently have
adopted them. China and India both continue to use FYPs, although China renamed its
Eleventh FYP, from 2006 to 2010, a guideline (guihua), rather than a plan (jihua), to
signify the central government’s more hands-off approach to development.
7.2.3 After independence, India launched its First FYP in 1951, under socialist
influence of first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru. The process began with setting up of
Planning Commission in March 1950 in pursuance of declared objectives of the
Government to promote a rapid rise in the standard of living of the people by efficient
exploitation of the resources of the country, increasing production and offering
opportunities to all for employment in the service of the community. The Planning
Commission was charged with the responsibility of making assessment of all resources
of the country, augmenting deficient resources, formulating plans for the most effective
and balanced utilisation of resources and determining priorities.
7.2.4 The first Five-year Plan was launched in 1951 and two subsequent five-year plans
were formulated till 1965, when there was a break because of the Indo-Pakistan
Conflict. Two successive years of drought, devaluation of the currency, a general rise in
prices and erosion of resources disrupted the planning process and after three Annual
Plans between 1966 and 1969, the fourth Five-year plan was started in 1969.
7.2.5 The Eighth Plan could not take off in 1990 due to the fast changing political
situation at the Centre and the years 1990-91 and 1991-92 were treated as Annual
Plans. The Eighth Plan was finally launched in 1992 after the initiation of structural
adjustment policies.
7.2.6 For the first eight Plans the emphasis was on a growing public sector with
massive investments in basic and heavy industries, but since the launch of the Ninth
Plan in 1997, the emphasis on the public sector has become less pronounced and the
current thinking on planning in the country, in general, is that it should increasingly be of
an indicative nature.
Page 2
CHAPTER 7
FIVE YEAR PLANS
7.1 Introduction : Indian planning is an open process. Much of the controversy and the
debates that accompany the preparation of the plans are public. The initial aggregate
calculations and assumptions are either explicitly stated or readily deducible, and the
makers of the plans are not only sensitive but responsive to criticism and suggestions
from a wide variety of national and international sources. From original formulation
through successive modifications to parliamentary presentation, plan making in India
has evolved as a responsive democratic political process and the culmination of the
same in the final document is an impressive manifestation of the workings of an open
society. But by its very nature it also generates many problems from the point of view of
mapping an optimal strategy for economic development.
7.2 History of Planning in India & Origin of Five Year Plans:
7.2.1 Though the planned economic development in India began in 1951 with the
inception of First Five Year Plan , theoretical efforts had begun much earlier , even prior
to the independence. Setting up of National Planning Committee by Indian National
Congress in 1938 , The Bombay Plan & Gandhian Plan in 1944, Peoples Plan in
1945 (by post war reconstruction Committee of Indian Trade Union), Sarvodaya Plan
in 1950 by Jaiprakash Narayan were steps in this direction.
7.2.2 Five-Year Plans (FYPs) are centralized and integrated national economic
programs. Joseph Stalin implemented the first FYP in the Soviet Union in the late
1920s. Most communist states and several capitalist countries subsequently have
adopted them. China and India both continue to use FYPs, although China renamed its
Eleventh FYP, from 2006 to 2010, a guideline (guihua), rather than a plan (jihua), to
signify the central government’s more hands-off approach to development.
7.2.3 After independence, India launched its First FYP in 1951, under socialist
influence of first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru. The process began with setting up of
Planning Commission in March 1950 in pursuance of declared objectives of the
Government to promote a rapid rise in the standard of living of the people by efficient
exploitation of the resources of the country, increasing production and offering
opportunities to all for employment in the service of the community. The Planning
Commission was charged with the responsibility of making assessment of all resources
of the country, augmenting deficient resources, formulating plans for the most effective
and balanced utilisation of resources and determining priorities.
7.2.4 The first Five-year Plan was launched in 1951 and two subsequent five-year plans
were formulated till 1965, when there was a break because of the Indo-Pakistan
Conflict. Two successive years of drought, devaluation of the currency, a general rise in
prices and erosion of resources disrupted the planning process and after three Annual
Plans between 1966 and 1969, the fourth Five-year plan was started in 1969.
7.2.5 The Eighth Plan could not take off in 1990 due to the fast changing political
situation at the Centre and the years 1990-91 and 1991-92 were treated as Annual
Plans. The Eighth Plan was finally launched in 1992 after the initiation of structural
adjustment policies.
7.2.6 For the first eight Plans the emphasis was on a growing public sector with
massive investments in basic and heavy industries, but since the launch of the Ninth
Plan in 1997, the emphasis on the public sector has become less pronounced and the
current thinking on planning in the country, in general, is that it should increasingly be of
an indicative nature.
7.3 Outline of Various Five year Plans:
Plan
First Plan
(1951 - 56)
Target Growth
: 2.1 %
Actual Growth
3.6 %
It was based on Harrod-Domar Model.
Influx of refugees, severe food shortage & mounting inflation
confronted the country at the onset of the first five year Plan.
The Plan Focussed on agriculture, price stability, power and
transport
It was a successful plan primarily because of good harvests in the
last two years of the plan. Objectives of rehabilitation of refugees,
food self sufficiency & control of prices were more or less achieved.
Second Plan
(1956 - 61)
Target Growth:
4.5% Actual
Growth: 4.3%
Simple aggregative Harrod Domar Growth Model was again used for
overall projections and the strategy of resource allocation to broad
sectors as agriculture & Industry was based on two & four sector
Model prepared by Prof. P C Mahalanobis. (Plan is also called
Mahalanobis Plan).
Second plan was conceived in an atmosphere of economic stability .
It was felt agriculture could be accorded lower priority.
The Plan Focussed on rapid industrialization- heavy & basic
industries . Advocated huge imports through foreign loans.
The Industrial Policy 1956 was based on establishment of a
socialistic pattern of society as the goal of economic policy.
Acute shortage of forex led to pruning of development targets , price
rise was also seen ( about 30%) vis a vis decline in the earlier Plan &
the 2
nd
FYP was only moderately successful.
Third Plan
(1961 - 66)
|Target
Growth: 5.6%
Actual Growth:
2.8%
At its conception, it was felt that Indian economy has entered a “take-
off stage”. Therefore, its aim was to make India a 'self-reliant' and
'self-generating' economy.
Based on the experience of first two plans (agricultural production
was seen as limiting factor in India’s economic development) ,
agriculture was given top priority to support the exports and industry.
The Plan was thorough failure in reaching the targets due to
unforeseen events - Chinese aggression (1962), Indo-Pak war
(1965), severe drought 1965-66. Due to conflicts the approach during
the later phase was shifted from development to defence &
development.
Three Annual
Plans (1966-
69)
euphemistically
described as
Plan holiday.
Failure of Third Plan that of the devaluation of rupee( to boost
exports) along with inflationary recession led to postponement of
Fourth FYP. Three Annual Plans were introduced instead. Prevailing
crisis in agriculture and serious food shortage necessitated the
emphasis on agriculture during the Annual Plans.
During these plans a whole new agricultural strategy was
implemented. It involving wide-spread distribution of high-yielding
varieties of seeds, extensive use of fertilizers, exploitation of irrigation
potential and soil conservation.
During the Annual Plans, the economy absorbed the shocks
generated during the Third Plan
It paved the path for the planned growth ahead.
Page 3
CHAPTER 7
FIVE YEAR PLANS
7.1 Introduction : Indian planning is an open process. Much of the controversy and the
debates that accompany the preparation of the plans are public. The initial aggregate
calculations and assumptions are either explicitly stated or readily deducible, and the
makers of the plans are not only sensitive but responsive to criticism and suggestions
from a wide variety of national and international sources. From original formulation
through successive modifications to parliamentary presentation, plan making in India
has evolved as a responsive democratic political process and the culmination of the
same in the final document is an impressive manifestation of the workings of an open
society. But by its very nature it also generates many problems from the point of view of
mapping an optimal strategy for economic development.
7.2 History of Planning in India & Origin of Five Year Plans:
7.2.1 Though the planned economic development in India began in 1951 with the
inception of First Five Year Plan , theoretical efforts had begun much earlier , even prior
to the independence. Setting up of National Planning Committee by Indian National
Congress in 1938 , The Bombay Plan & Gandhian Plan in 1944, Peoples Plan in
1945 (by post war reconstruction Committee of Indian Trade Union), Sarvodaya Plan
in 1950 by Jaiprakash Narayan were steps in this direction.
7.2.2 Five-Year Plans (FYPs) are centralized and integrated national economic
programs. Joseph Stalin implemented the first FYP in the Soviet Union in the late
1920s. Most communist states and several capitalist countries subsequently have
adopted them. China and India both continue to use FYPs, although China renamed its
Eleventh FYP, from 2006 to 2010, a guideline (guihua), rather than a plan (jihua), to
signify the central government’s more hands-off approach to development.
7.2.3 After independence, India launched its First FYP in 1951, under socialist
influence of first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru. The process began with setting up of
Planning Commission in March 1950 in pursuance of declared objectives of the
Government to promote a rapid rise in the standard of living of the people by efficient
exploitation of the resources of the country, increasing production and offering
opportunities to all for employment in the service of the community. The Planning
Commission was charged with the responsibility of making assessment of all resources
of the country, augmenting deficient resources, formulating plans for the most effective
and balanced utilisation of resources and determining priorities.
7.2.4 The first Five-year Plan was launched in 1951 and two subsequent five-year plans
were formulated till 1965, when there was a break because of the Indo-Pakistan
Conflict. Two successive years of drought, devaluation of the currency, a general rise in
prices and erosion of resources disrupted the planning process and after three Annual
Plans between 1966 and 1969, the fourth Five-year plan was started in 1969.
7.2.5 The Eighth Plan could not take off in 1990 due to the fast changing political
situation at the Centre and the years 1990-91 and 1991-92 were treated as Annual
Plans. The Eighth Plan was finally launched in 1992 after the initiation of structural
adjustment policies.
7.2.6 For the first eight Plans the emphasis was on a growing public sector with
massive investments in basic and heavy industries, but since the launch of the Ninth
Plan in 1997, the emphasis on the public sector has become less pronounced and the
current thinking on planning in the country, in general, is that it should increasingly be of
an indicative nature.
7.3 Outline of Various Five year Plans:
Plan
First Plan
(1951 - 56)
Target Growth
: 2.1 %
Actual Growth
3.6 %
It was based on Harrod-Domar Model.
Influx of refugees, severe food shortage & mounting inflation
confronted the country at the onset of the first five year Plan.
The Plan Focussed on agriculture, price stability, power and
transport
It was a successful plan primarily because of good harvests in the
last two years of the plan. Objectives of rehabilitation of refugees,
food self sufficiency & control of prices were more or less achieved.
Second Plan
(1956 - 61)
Target Growth:
4.5% Actual
Growth: 4.3%
Simple aggregative Harrod Domar Growth Model was again used for
overall projections and the strategy of resource allocation to broad
sectors as agriculture & Industry was based on two & four sector
Model prepared by Prof. P C Mahalanobis. (Plan is also called
Mahalanobis Plan).
Second plan was conceived in an atmosphere of economic stability .
It was felt agriculture could be accorded lower priority.
The Plan Focussed on rapid industrialization- heavy & basic
industries . Advocated huge imports through foreign loans.
The Industrial Policy 1956 was based on establishment of a
socialistic pattern of society as the goal of economic policy.
Acute shortage of forex led to pruning of development targets , price
rise was also seen ( about 30%) vis a vis decline in the earlier Plan &
the 2
nd
FYP was only moderately successful.
Third Plan
(1961 - 66)
|Target
Growth: 5.6%
Actual Growth:
2.8%
At its conception, it was felt that Indian economy has entered a “take-
off stage”. Therefore, its aim was to make India a 'self-reliant' and
'self-generating' economy.
Based on the experience of first two plans (agricultural production
was seen as limiting factor in India’s economic development) ,
agriculture was given top priority to support the exports and industry.
The Plan was thorough failure in reaching the targets due to
unforeseen events - Chinese aggression (1962), Indo-Pak war
(1965), severe drought 1965-66. Due to conflicts the approach during
the later phase was shifted from development to defence &
development.
Three Annual
Plans (1966-
69)
euphemistically
described as
Plan holiday.
Failure of Third Plan that of the devaluation of rupee( to boost
exports) along with inflationary recession led to postponement of
Fourth FYP. Three Annual Plans were introduced instead. Prevailing
crisis in agriculture and serious food shortage necessitated the
emphasis on agriculture during the Annual Plans.
During these plans a whole new agricultural strategy was
implemented. It involving wide-spread distribution of high-yielding
varieties of seeds, extensive use of fertilizers, exploitation of irrigation
potential and soil conservation.
During the Annual Plans, the economy absorbed the shocks
generated during the Third Plan
It paved the path for the planned growth ahead.
Fourth Plan
(1969 - 74)
Target Growth:
5.7% Actual
Growth: 3.3%
Refusal of supply of essential equipments and raw materials from the
allies during Indo Pak war resulted in twin objectives of “ growth with
stability “ and “progressive achievement of self reliance “ for the
Fourth Plan.
Main emphasis was on growth rate of agriculture to enable other
sectors to move forward . First two years of the plan saw record
production. The last three years did not measure up due to poor
monsoon. Implementation of Family Planning Programmes were
amongst major targets of the Plan.
Influx of Bangladeshi refugees before and after 1971 Indo-Pak war
was an important issue along with price situation deteriorating to
crisis proportions and the plan is considered as big failure.
Fifth Plan
(1974-79)
Target Growth:
4.4% Actual
Growth: 4.8%
The final Draft of fifth plan was prepared and launched by D.P. Dhar
in the backdrop of economic crisis arising out of run-away inflation
fuelled by hike in oil prices and failure of the Govt. takeover of the
wholesale trade in wheat.
It proposed to achieve two main objectives: 'removal of poverty'
(Garibi Hatao) and 'attainment of self reliance'
Promotion of high rate of growth, better distribution of income and
significant growth in the domestic rate of savings were seen as key
instruments
Due to high inflation, cost calculations for the Plan proved to be
completely wrong and the original public sector outlay had to be
revised upwards. After promulgation of emergency in 1975, the
emphasis shifted to the implementation of Prime Ministers 20 Point
Programme. FYP was relegated to the background and when Janta
Party came to power in 1978, the Plan was terminated.
Rolling Plan
(1978 - 80)
There were 2 Sixth Plans. Janta Govt. put forward a plan for 1978-
1983 emphasising on employment, in contrast to Nehru Model
which the Govt criticised for concentration of power, widening
inequality & for mounting poverty . However, the government lasted
for only 2 years. Congress Govt. returned to power in 1980 and
launched a different plan aimed at directly attacking on the problem
of poverty by creating conditions of an expanding economy.
Sixth Plan
(1980 - 85)
Target Growth:
5.2% Actual
Growth: 5.7%
The Plan focussed on Increase in national income, modernization of
technology, ensuring continuous decrease in poverty and
unemployment through schemes for transferring skills(TRYSEM) and
seets(IRDP) and providing slack season employment (NREP),
controlling population explosion etc. Broadly , the sixth Plan could be
taken as a success as most of the target were realised even though
during the last year (1984-85) many parts of the country faced severe
famine conditions and agricultural output was less than the record
output of previous year.
Seventh Plan
(1985 - 90)
Target Growth:
5.0% Actual
Growth: 6.0%
The Plan aimed at accelerating food grain production, increasing
employment opportunities & raising productivity with focus on ‘food,
work & productivity’.
The plan was very successful as the economy recorded 6% growth
rate against the targeted 5% with the decade of 80’s struggling out of
the’ Hindu Rate of Growth’.
Eighth Plan
The eighth plan was postponed by two years because of political
uncertainty at the Centre
Page 4
CHAPTER 7
FIVE YEAR PLANS
7.1 Introduction : Indian planning is an open process. Much of the controversy and the
debates that accompany the preparation of the plans are public. The initial aggregate
calculations and assumptions are either explicitly stated or readily deducible, and the
makers of the plans are not only sensitive but responsive to criticism and suggestions
from a wide variety of national and international sources. From original formulation
through successive modifications to parliamentary presentation, plan making in India
has evolved as a responsive democratic political process and the culmination of the
same in the final document is an impressive manifestation of the workings of an open
society. But by its very nature it also generates many problems from the point of view of
mapping an optimal strategy for economic development.
7.2 History of Planning in India & Origin of Five Year Plans:
7.2.1 Though the planned economic development in India began in 1951 with the
inception of First Five Year Plan , theoretical efforts had begun much earlier , even prior
to the independence. Setting up of National Planning Committee by Indian National
Congress in 1938 , The Bombay Plan & Gandhian Plan in 1944, Peoples Plan in
1945 (by post war reconstruction Committee of Indian Trade Union), Sarvodaya Plan
in 1950 by Jaiprakash Narayan were steps in this direction.
7.2.2 Five-Year Plans (FYPs) are centralized and integrated national economic
programs. Joseph Stalin implemented the first FYP in the Soviet Union in the late
1920s. Most communist states and several capitalist countries subsequently have
adopted them. China and India both continue to use FYPs, although China renamed its
Eleventh FYP, from 2006 to 2010, a guideline (guihua), rather than a plan (jihua), to
signify the central government’s more hands-off approach to development.
7.2.3 After independence, India launched its First FYP in 1951, under socialist
influence of first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru. The process began with setting up of
Planning Commission in March 1950 in pursuance of declared objectives of the
Government to promote a rapid rise in the standard of living of the people by efficient
exploitation of the resources of the country, increasing production and offering
opportunities to all for employment in the service of the community. The Planning
Commission was charged with the responsibility of making assessment of all resources
of the country, augmenting deficient resources, formulating plans for the most effective
and balanced utilisation of resources and determining priorities.
7.2.4 The first Five-year Plan was launched in 1951 and two subsequent five-year plans
were formulated till 1965, when there was a break because of the Indo-Pakistan
Conflict. Two successive years of drought, devaluation of the currency, a general rise in
prices and erosion of resources disrupted the planning process and after three Annual
Plans between 1966 and 1969, the fourth Five-year plan was started in 1969.
7.2.5 The Eighth Plan could not take off in 1990 due to the fast changing political
situation at the Centre and the years 1990-91 and 1991-92 were treated as Annual
Plans. The Eighth Plan was finally launched in 1992 after the initiation of structural
adjustment policies.
7.2.6 For the first eight Plans the emphasis was on a growing public sector with
massive investments in basic and heavy industries, but since the launch of the Ninth
Plan in 1997, the emphasis on the public sector has become less pronounced and the
current thinking on planning in the country, in general, is that it should increasingly be of
an indicative nature.
7.3 Outline of Various Five year Plans:
Plan
First Plan
(1951 - 56)
Target Growth
: 2.1 %
Actual Growth
3.6 %
It was based on Harrod-Domar Model.
Influx of refugees, severe food shortage & mounting inflation
confronted the country at the onset of the first five year Plan.
The Plan Focussed on agriculture, price stability, power and
transport
It was a successful plan primarily because of good harvests in the
last two years of the plan. Objectives of rehabilitation of refugees,
food self sufficiency & control of prices were more or less achieved.
Second Plan
(1956 - 61)
Target Growth:
4.5% Actual
Growth: 4.3%
Simple aggregative Harrod Domar Growth Model was again used for
overall projections and the strategy of resource allocation to broad
sectors as agriculture & Industry was based on two & four sector
Model prepared by Prof. P C Mahalanobis. (Plan is also called
Mahalanobis Plan).
Second plan was conceived in an atmosphere of economic stability .
It was felt agriculture could be accorded lower priority.
The Plan Focussed on rapid industrialization- heavy & basic
industries . Advocated huge imports through foreign loans.
The Industrial Policy 1956 was based on establishment of a
socialistic pattern of society as the goal of economic policy.
Acute shortage of forex led to pruning of development targets , price
rise was also seen ( about 30%) vis a vis decline in the earlier Plan &
the 2
nd
FYP was only moderately successful.
Third Plan
(1961 - 66)
|Target
Growth: 5.6%
Actual Growth:
2.8%
At its conception, it was felt that Indian economy has entered a “take-
off stage”. Therefore, its aim was to make India a 'self-reliant' and
'self-generating' economy.
Based on the experience of first two plans (agricultural production
was seen as limiting factor in India’s economic development) ,
agriculture was given top priority to support the exports and industry.
The Plan was thorough failure in reaching the targets due to
unforeseen events - Chinese aggression (1962), Indo-Pak war
(1965), severe drought 1965-66. Due to conflicts the approach during
the later phase was shifted from development to defence &
development.
Three Annual
Plans (1966-
69)
euphemistically
described as
Plan holiday.
Failure of Third Plan that of the devaluation of rupee( to boost
exports) along with inflationary recession led to postponement of
Fourth FYP. Three Annual Plans were introduced instead. Prevailing
crisis in agriculture and serious food shortage necessitated the
emphasis on agriculture during the Annual Plans.
During these plans a whole new agricultural strategy was
implemented. It involving wide-spread distribution of high-yielding
varieties of seeds, extensive use of fertilizers, exploitation of irrigation
potential and soil conservation.
During the Annual Plans, the economy absorbed the shocks
generated during the Third Plan
It paved the path for the planned growth ahead.
Fourth Plan
(1969 - 74)
Target Growth:
5.7% Actual
Growth: 3.3%
Refusal of supply of essential equipments and raw materials from the
allies during Indo Pak war resulted in twin objectives of “ growth with
stability “ and “progressive achievement of self reliance “ for the
Fourth Plan.
Main emphasis was on growth rate of agriculture to enable other
sectors to move forward . First two years of the plan saw record
production. The last three years did not measure up due to poor
monsoon. Implementation of Family Planning Programmes were
amongst major targets of the Plan.
Influx of Bangladeshi refugees before and after 1971 Indo-Pak war
was an important issue along with price situation deteriorating to
crisis proportions and the plan is considered as big failure.
Fifth Plan
(1974-79)
Target Growth:
4.4% Actual
Growth: 4.8%
The final Draft of fifth plan was prepared and launched by D.P. Dhar
in the backdrop of economic crisis arising out of run-away inflation
fuelled by hike in oil prices and failure of the Govt. takeover of the
wholesale trade in wheat.
It proposed to achieve two main objectives: 'removal of poverty'
(Garibi Hatao) and 'attainment of self reliance'
Promotion of high rate of growth, better distribution of income and
significant growth in the domestic rate of savings were seen as key
instruments
Due to high inflation, cost calculations for the Plan proved to be
completely wrong and the original public sector outlay had to be
revised upwards. After promulgation of emergency in 1975, the
emphasis shifted to the implementation of Prime Ministers 20 Point
Programme. FYP was relegated to the background and when Janta
Party came to power in 1978, the Plan was terminated.
Rolling Plan
(1978 - 80)
There were 2 Sixth Plans. Janta Govt. put forward a plan for 1978-
1983 emphasising on employment, in contrast to Nehru Model
which the Govt criticised for concentration of power, widening
inequality & for mounting poverty . However, the government lasted
for only 2 years. Congress Govt. returned to power in 1980 and
launched a different plan aimed at directly attacking on the problem
of poverty by creating conditions of an expanding economy.
Sixth Plan
(1980 - 85)
Target Growth:
5.2% Actual
Growth: 5.7%
The Plan focussed on Increase in national income, modernization of
technology, ensuring continuous decrease in poverty and
unemployment through schemes for transferring skills(TRYSEM) and
seets(IRDP) and providing slack season employment (NREP),
controlling population explosion etc. Broadly , the sixth Plan could be
taken as a success as most of the target were realised even though
during the last year (1984-85) many parts of the country faced severe
famine conditions and agricultural output was less than the record
output of previous year.
Seventh Plan
(1985 - 90)
Target Growth:
5.0% Actual
Growth: 6.0%
The Plan aimed at accelerating food grain production, increasing
employment opportunities & raising productivity with focus on ‘food,
work & productivity’.
The plan was very successful as the economy recorded 6% growth
rate against the targeted 5% with the decade of 80’s struggling out of
the’ Hindu Rate of Growth’.
Eighth Plan
The eighth plan was postponed by two years because of political
uncertainty at the Centre
(1992 - 97)
Target Growth
5.6 %
Actual Growth
6.8%
Worsening Balance of Payment position, rising debt burden ,
widening budget deficits, recession in industry and inflation were the
key issues during the launch of the plan.
The plan undertook drastic policy measures to combat the bad
economic situation and to undertake an annual average growth of
5.6% through introduction of fiscal & economic reforms including
liberalisation under the Prime Minister ship of Shri P V Narasimha
Rao.
Some of the main economic outcomes during eighth plan period were
rapid economic growth (highest annual growth rate so far – 6.8 %),
high growth of agriculture and allied sector, and manufacturing
sector, growth in exports and imports, improvement in trade and
current account deficit. High growth rate was achieved even though
the share of public sector in total investment had declined
considerably to about 34 %.
Ninth Plan
(1997- 2002)
Target Growth:
6.5% Actual
Growth: 5.4%
The Plan prepared under United Front Government focussed on
“Growth With Social Justice & Equality “ Ninth Plan aimed to
depend predominantly on the private sector – Indian as well as
foreign (FDI) & State was envisaged to increasingly play the role of
facilitator & increasingly involve itself with social sector viz education
, health etc and infrastructure where private sector participation was
likely to be limited. It assigned priority to agriculture & rural
development with a view to generate adequate productive
employment and eradicate poverty
Tenth Plan
(2002 - 2007)
Target Growth
8 %
Actual Growth
7.6 %
Recognising that economic growth cant be the only objective of
national plan, Tenth Plan had set ‘monitorable targets’ for few key
indicators (11) of development besides 8 % growth target. The
targets included reduction in gender gaps in literacy and wage rate,
reduction in Infant & maternal mortality rates, improvement in
literacy, access to potable drinking water cleaning of major polluted
rivers, etc. Governance was considered as factor of development &
agriculture was declared as prime moving force of the economy.
States role in planning was to be increased with greater involvement
of Panchayati Raj Institutions. State wise break up of targets for
growth and social development sought to achieve balanced
development of all states.
Eleventh Plan
(2007 - 2012)
Target Growth
9 %
Actual Growth
8%
Eleventh Plan was aimed “Towards Faster & More Inclusive
Growth “after UPA rode back to power on the plank of helping Aam
Aadmi (common man).
India had emerged as one of the fastest growing economy by the
end of the Tenth Plan. The savings and investment rates had
increased , industrial sector had responded well to face competition
in the global economy and foreign investors were keen to invest in
India. But the growth was not perceived as sufficiently inclusive for
many groups , specially SCs , STs & minorities as borne out by data
on several dimensions like poverty, malnutrition, mortality, current
daily employment etc .
Page 5
CHAPTER 7
FIVE YEAR PLANS
7.1 Introduction : Indian planning is an open process. Much of the controversy and the
debates that accompany the preparation of the plans are public. The initial aggregate
calculations and assumptions are either explicitly stated or readily deducible, and the
makers of the plans are not only sensitive but responsive to criticism and suggestions
from a wide variety of national and international sources. From original formulation
through successive modifications to parliamentary presentation, plan making in India
has evolved as a responsive democratic political process and the culmination of the
same in the final document is an impressive manifestation of the workings of an open
society. But by its very nature it also generates many problems from the point of view of
mapping an optimal strategy for economic development.
7.2 History of Planning in India & Origin of Five Year Plans:
7.2.1 Though the planned economic development in India began in 1951 with the
inception of First Five Year Plan , theoretical efforts had begun much earlier , even prior
to the independence. Setting up of National Planning Committee by Indian National
Congress in 1938 , The Bombay Plan & Gandhian Plan in 1944, Peoples Plan in
1945 (by post war reconstruction Committee of Indian Trade Union), Sarvodaya Plan
in 1950 by Jaiprakash Narayan were steps in this direction.
7.2.2 Five-Year Plans (FYPs) are centralized and integrated national economic
programs. Joseph Stalin implemented the first FYP in the Soviet Union in the late
1920s. Most communist states and several capitalist countries subsequently have
adopted them. China and India both continue to use FYPs, although China renamed its
Eleventh FYP, from 2006 to 2010, a guideline (guihua), rather than a plan (jihua), to
signify the central government’s more hands-off approach to development.
7.2.3 After independence, India launched its First FYP in 1951, under socialist
influence of first Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru. The process began with setting up of
Planning Commission in March 1950 in pursuance of declared objectives of the
Government to promote a rapid rise in the standard of living of the people by efficient
exploitation of the resources of the country, increasing production and offering
opportunities to all for employment in the service of the community. The Planning
Commission was charged with the responsibility of making assessment of all resources
of the country, augmenting deficient resources, formulating plans for the most effective
and balanced utilisation of resources and determining priorities.
7.2.4 The first Five-year Plan was launched in 1951 and two subsequent five-year plans
were formulated till 1965, when there was a break because of the Indo-Pakistan
Conflict. Two successive years of drought, devaluation of the currency, a general rise in
prices and erosion of resources disrupted the planning process and after three Annual
Plans between 1966 and 1969, the fourth Five-year plan was started in 1969.
7.2.5 The Eighth Plan could not take off in 1990 due to the fast changing political
situation at the Centre and the years 1990-91 and 1991-92 were treated as Annual
Plans. The Eighth Plan was finally launched in 1992 after the initiation of structural
adjustment policies.
7.2.6 For the first eight Plans the emphasis was on a growing public sector with
massive investments in basic and heavy industries, but since the launch of the Ninth
Plan in 1997, the emphasis on the public sector has become less pronounced and the
current thinking on planning in the country, in general, is that it should increasingly be of
an indicative nature.
7.3 Outline of Various Five year Plans:
Plan
First Plan
(1951 - 56)
Target Growth
: 2.1 %
Actual Growth
3.6 %
It was based on Harrod-Domar Model.
Influx of refugees, severe food shortage & mounting inflation
confronted the country at the onset of the first five year Plan.
The Plan Focussed on agriculture, price stability, power and
transport
It was a successful plan primarily because of good harvests in the
last two years of the plan. Objectives of rehabilitation of refugees,
food self sufficiency & control of prices were more or less achieved.
Second Plan
(1956 - 61)
Target Growth:
4.5% Actual
Growth: 4.3%
Simple aggregative Harrod Domar Growth Model was again used for
overall projections and the strategy of resource allocation to broad
sectors as agriculture & Industry was based on two & four sector
Model prepared by Prof. P C Mahalanobis. (Plan is also called
Mahalanobis Plan).
Second plan was conceived in an atmosphere of economic stability .
It was felt agriculture could be accorded lower priority.
The Plan Focussed on rapid industrialization- heavy & basic
industries . Advocated huge imports through foreign loans.
The Industrial Policy 1956 was based on establishment of a
socialistic pattern of society as the goal of economic policy.
Acute shortage of forex led to pruning of development targets , price
rise was also seen ( about 30%) vis a vis decline in the earlier Plan &
the 2
nd
FYP was only moderately successful.
Third Plan
(1961 - 66)
|Target
Growth: 5.6%
Actual Growth:
2.8%
At its conception, it was felt that Indian economy has entered a “take-
off stage”. Therefore, its aim was to make India a 'self-reliant' and
'self-generating' economy.
Based on the experience of first two plans (agricultural production
was seen as limiting factor in India’s economic development) ,
agriculture was given top priority to support the exports and industry.
The Plan was thorough failure in reaching the targets due to
unforeseen events - Chinese aggression (1962), Indo-Pak war
(1965), severe drought 1965-66. Due to conflicts the approach during
the later phase was shifted from development to defence &
development.
Three Annual
Plans (1966-
69)
euphemistically
described as
Plan holiday.
Failure of Third Plan that of the devaluation of rupee( to boost
exports) along with inflationary recession led to postponement of
Fourth FYP. Three Annual Plans were introduced instead. Prevailing
crisis in agriculture and serious food shortage necessitated the
emphasis on agriculture during the Annual Plans.
During these plans a whole new agricultural strategy was
implemented. It involving wide-spread distribution of high-yielding
varieties of seeds, extensive use of fertilizers, exploitation of irrigation
potential and soil conservation.
During the Annual Plans, the economy absorbed the shocks
generated during the Third Plan
It paved the path for the planned growth ahead.
Fourth Plan
(1969 - 74)
Target Growth:
5.7% Actual
Growth: 3.3%
Refusal of supply of essential equipments and raw materials from the
allies during Indo Pak war resulted in twin objectives of “ growth with
stability “ and “progressive achievement of self reliance “ for the
Fourth Plan.
Main emphasis was on growth rate of agriculture to enable other
sectors to move forward . First two years of the plan saw record
production. The last three years did not measure up due to poor
monsoon. Implementation of Family Planning Programmes were
amongst major targets of the Plan.
Influx of Bangladeshi refugees before and after 1971 Indo-Pak war
was an important issue along with price situation deteriorating to
crisis proportions and the plan is considered as big failure.
Fifth Plan
(1974-79)
Target Growth:
4.4% Actual
Growth: 4.8%
The final Draft of fifth plan was prepared and launched by D.P. Dhar
in the backdrop of economic crisis arising out of run-away inflation
fuelled by hike in oil prices and failure of the Govt. takeover of the
wholesale trade in wheat.
It proposed to achieve two main objectives: 'removal of poverty'
(Garibi Hatao) and 'attainment of self reliance'
Promotion of high rate of growth, better distribution of income and
significant growth in the domestic rate of savings were seen as key
instruments
Due to high inflation, cost calculations for the Plan proved to be
completely wrong and the original public sector outlay had to be
revised upwards. After promulgation of emergency in 1975, the
emphasis shifted to the implementation of Prime Ministers 20 Point
Programme. FYP was relegated to the background and when Janta
Party came to power in 1978, the Plan was terminated.
Rolling Plan
(1978 - 80)
There were 2 Sixth Plans. Janta Govt. put forward a plan for 1978-
1983 emphasising on employment, in contrast to Nehru Model
which the Govt criticised for concentration of power, widening
inequality & for mounting poverty . However, the government lasted
for only 2 years. Congress Govt. returned to power in 1980 and
launched a different plan aimed at directly attacking on the problem
of poverty by creating conditions of an expanding economy.
Sixth Plan
(1980 - 85)
Target Growth:
5.2% Actual
Growth: 5.7%
The Plan focussed on Increase in national income, modernization of
technology, ensuring continuous decrease in poverty and
unemployment through schemes for transferring skills(TRYSEM) and
seets(IRDP) and providing slack season employment (NREP),
controlling population explosion etc. Broadly , the sixth Plan could be
taken as a success as most of the target were realised even though
during the last year (1984-85) many parts of the country faced severe
famine conditions and agricultural output was less than the record
output of previous year.
Seventh Plan
(1985 - 90)
Target Growth:
5.0% Actual
Growth: 6.0%
The Plan aimed at accelerating food grain production, increasing
employment opportunities & raising productivity with focus on ‘food,
work & productivity’.
The plan was very successful as the economy recorded 6% growth
rate against the targeted 5% with the decade of 80’s struggling out of
the’ Hindu Rate of Growth’.
Eighth Plan
The eighth plan was postponed by two years because of political
uncertainty at the Centre
(1992 - 97)
Target Growth
5.6 %
Actual Growth
6.8%
Worsening Balance of Payment position, rising debt burden ,
widening budget deficits, recession in industry and inflation were the
key issues during the launch of the plan.
The plan undertook drastic policy measures to combat the bad
economic situation and to undertake an annual average growth of
5.6% through introduction of fiscal & economic reforms including
liberalisation under the Prime Minister ship of Shri P V Narasimha
Rao.
Some of the main economic outcomes during eighth plan period were
rapid economic growth (highest annual growth rate so far – 6.8 %),
high growth of agriculture and allied sector, and manufacturing
sector, growth in exports and imports, improvement in trade and
current account deficit. High growth rate was achieved even though
the share of public sector in total investment had declined
considerably to about 34 %.
Ninth Plan
(1997- 2002)
Target Growth:
6.5% Actual
Growth: 5.4%
The Plan prepared under United Front Government focussed on
“Growth With Social Justice & Equality “ Ninth Plan aimed to
depend predominantly on the private sector – Indian as well as
foreign (FDI) & State was envisaged to increasingly play the role of
facilitator & increasingly involve itself with social sector viz education
, health etc and infrastructure where private sector participation was
likely to be limited. It assigned priority to agriculture & rural
development with a view to generate adequate productive
employment and eradicate poverty
Tenth Plan
(2002 - 2007)
Target Growth
8 %
Actual Growth
7.6 %
Recognising that economic growth cant be the only objective of
national plan, Tenth Plan had set ‘monitorable targets’ for few key
indicators (11) of development besides 8 % growth target. The
targets included reduction in gender gaps in literacy and wage rate,
reduction in Infant & maternal mortality rates, improvement in
literacy, access to potable drinking water cleaning of major polluted
rivers, etc. Governance was considered as factor of development &
agriculture was declared as prime moving force of the economy.
States role in planning was to be increased with greater involvement
of Panchayati Raj Institutions. State wise break up of targets for
growth and social development sought to achieve balanced
development of all states.
Eleventh Plan
(2007 - 2012)
Target Growth
9 %
Actual Growth
8%
Eleventh Plan was aimed “Towards Faster & More Inclusive
Growth “after UPA rode back to power on the plank of helping Aam
Aadmi (common man).
India had emerged as one of the fastest growing economy by the
end of the Tenth Plan. The savings and investment rates had
increased , industrial sector had responded well to face competition
in the global economy and foreign investors were keen to invest in
India. But the growth was not perceived as sufficiently inclusive for
many groups , specially SCs , STs & minorities as borne out by data
on several dimensions like poverty, malnutrition, mortality, current
daily employment etc .
The broad vision for 11
th
Plan included several inter related
components like rapid growth reducing poverty & creating
employment opportunities , access to essential services in health &
education, specially for the poor, extension if employment
opportunities using National Rural Employment Guarantee
Programme , environmental sustainability , reduction of gender
inequality etc. Accordingly various targets were laid down like
reduction in unemployment( to less than 5 % among educated youth
) & headcount ratio of poverty ( by 10 %), reduction in drop out rates
, gender gap in literacy , infant mortality , total fertility , malnutrition in
age group of 0-3 ( to half its present level), improvement in sex ratio,
forest & tree cover, air quality in major cities, , ensuring electricity
connection to all villages & BPL households (by 2009) & reliable
power by end of 11
th
Plan , all weather road connection to habitations
with population 1000& above (500 in hilly areas) by 2009, connecting
every village by telephone & providing broad band connectivity to all
villages by 2012
The Eleventh Plan started well with the first year achieving a growth
rate of 9.3 per cent, however the growth decelerated to 6.7 per cent
rate in 2008-09 following the global financial crisis. The economy
recovered substantially to register growth rates of 8.6 per cent and
9.3 per cent in 2009-10 and 2010-11 respectively. However, the
second bout of global slowdown in 2011 due to the sovereign debt
crisis in Europe coupled with domestic factors such as tight monetary
policy and supply side bottlenecks, resulted in deceleration of growth
to 6.2 per cent in 2011-12. Consequently, the average annual growth
rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) achieved during the Eleventh
Plan was 8 per cent, which was lower than the target but better than
the Tenth Plan achievement. Since the period saw two global crises -
one in 2008 and another in 2011 – the 8 per cent growth may be
termed as satisfactory. The realised GDP growth rate for the
agriculture, industry and services sector during the 11th Plan period
is estimated at 3.7 per cent, 7.2 per cent and 9.7 per cent against the
growth target of 4 per cent, 10-11 per cent and 9-11 per cent
respectively.
The Eleventh Plan set a target of 34.8 per cent for domestic savings
and 36.7 per cent for investment after experiencing a rising level of
domestic savings as well as investment and especially after
emergence of structural break during the Tenth Plan period.
However, the domestic savings and investment averaged 33.5 per
cent and 36.1 per cent of GDP at market prices respectively in the
Eleventh Plan which is below the target but not very far.
Based on the latest estimates of poverty released by the Planning
Commission, poverty in the country has declined by 1.5 percentage
points per year between 2004-05 and 2009-10.The rate of decline
during the period 2004-05 to 2009-10 is twice the rate of decline
witnessed during the period 1993-94 to 2004-05. Though the new
poverty count based on Tendulkar Formula has been subject of
controversy , it is believed by the Committee that whether we use the
old method or the new , the decline in percentage of population
below poverty line is almost same.
On the fiscal front , the expansionary measures taken by the
government to counter the effect fo global slowdown led to increase
in key indicators through 2009-10 with some moderation thereafter.
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