Page 1
CHAPTER
08
“In the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.”
?Albert Einstein
The Indian economy encountered a “once in a century” crisis due to the COVID-19
pandemic that affected economic activities and consequently impacted the livelihood of
billions of people. The industrial sector, not an exception to this shock, experienced a
sharp decline during the period of the lockdown. The economic activity, however, started
recovering as the unlocking process began. The various subcomponents of Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) and eight-core index have experienced a V-shaped recovery
with consistent movement being seen towards the pre-crisis levels. The broad-based quick
revival of the industrial activity stemmed from remedial measures, reforms, and the sizable
stimulus package announced by the Government of India (GoI) under the Atmanirbhar
Bharat package. Based on the IIP, the industrial activity contracted by 1.9 per cent
in November-2020 recovering from the nadir of -57.3 per cent in April-2020. Further
improvement and firming up in industrial activities are foreseen with the Government
enhancing capital expenditure as highlighted in the fiscal policy chapter, the vaccination
drive and the resolute push forward on long pending reform measures. It is pertinent
to point out that the reforms undertaken in the country are probably one of the most
comprehensive among the major economies of the world.
Industry and Infrastructure
INTRODUCTION
8.1 The financial year 2020-21 (FY21) began amidst a global pandemic, the management of
which led to countries adopting unprecedented measures that brought the economy to a grinding
halt. The lockdown and the corresponding restrictions on local and global movement of people and
goods, except for essential goods and services, was an exogenous shock that posed considerable
challenges to the economy , created uncertainty , was responsible for extensive loss of livelihoods
and led to the displacement of people. The unlocking of the economy in a phased manner has
helped the economy to get back on its feet. The rebuilding of the Indian economy is hinged on
various reform measures aimed at addressing concerns of businesses and support to livelihoods.
India implemented policies aimed at reducing transaction costs, supporting Micro Small and
Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), enhancing competition, fostering employment creation and
securing sustenance through the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan. The performance of the industrial
sector is critical given its deep backward and forward linkages with the other sectors of the
economy . A strong industrial sector is a sine quo non for an Atmanirbhar Bharat. Any initiative
aimed at securing a rapid recovery needs to keep industry concerns at the core of its intervention.
Page 2
CHAPTER
08
“In the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.”
?Albert Einstein
The Indian economy encountered a “once in a century” crisis due to the COVID-19
pandemic that affected economic activities and consequently impacted the livelihood of
billions of people. The industrial sector, not an exception to this shock, experienced a
sharp decline during the period of the lockdown. The economic activity, however, started
recovering as the unlocking process began. The various subcomponents of Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) and eight-core index have experienced a V-shaped recovery
with consistent movement being seen towards the pre-crisis levels. The broad-based quick
revival of the industrial activity stemmed from remedial measures, reforms, and the sizable
stimulus package announced by the Government of India (GoI) under the Atmanirbhar
Bharat package. Based on the IIP, the industrial activity contracted by 1.9 per cent
in November-2020 recovering from the nadir of -57.3 per cent in April-2020. Further
improvement and firming up in industrial activities are foreseen with the Government
enhancing capital expenditure as highlighted in the fiscal policy chapter, the vaccination
drive and the resolute push forward on long pending reform measures. It is pertinent
to point out that the reforms undertaken in the country are probably one of the most
comprehensive among the major economies of the world.
Industry and Infrastructure
INTRODUCTION
8.1 The financial year 2020-21 (FY21) began amidst a global pandemic, the management of
which led to countries adopting unprecedented measures that brought the economy to a grinding
halt. The lockdown and the corresponding restrictions on local and global movement of people and
goods, except for essential goods and services, was an exogenous shock that posed considerable
challenges to the economy , created uncertainty , was responsible for extensive loss of livelihoods
and led to the displacement of people. The unlocking of the economy in a phased manner has
helped the economy to get back on its feet. The rebuilding of the Indian economy is hinged on
various reform measures aimed at addressing concerns of businesses and support to livelihoods.
India implemented policies aimed at reducing transaction costs, supporting Micro Small and
Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), enhancing competition, fostering employment creation and
securing sustenance through the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan. The performance of the industrial
sector is critical given its deep backward and forward linkages with the other sectors of the
economy . A strong industrial sector is a sine quo non for an Atmanirbhar Bharat. Any initiative
aimed at securing a rapid recovery needs to keep industry concerns at the core of its intervention.
262 Economic Survey 2020-21 V olume 2
8.2 A bouquet of measures equivalent to ` 29.87 lakh crores or 15 per cent of India’ s GDP
were introduced as a measure of relief and support to the economy . These were subsequently
backed by initiatives to further strengthen the economy . The details of the stimulus package
pertaining to industry and infrastructure sector is in Box-1.
Box-1: Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan
Atmanirbhar Bharat is the vision of the GoI of making India a self-reliant nation. The announcements
under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan were made in three tranches. The key measures pertaining to
industry and infrastructure are summarized below:
Atmanirbhar Bharat 1.0
I. Relief and credit support to MSMEs to fight against COVID-19.
1. ` 3 lakh crores Collateral-free Automatic Loans for Businesses, including MSMEs: The
Emer gency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) has been formulated as a relief measure
to the MSMEs by providing them additional funding of up to ` 3 lakh crores in the form of a
fully guaranteed emer gency credit line. The borrowers with up to ` 25 crores outstanding and
` 100 crores turnover are eligi ble. This scheme provides 100 per cent credit guarantee cover to
Banks and NBFCs on principal and interest. No guarantee fee, no fresh collateral is required.
2. ` 20,000 crores Subordinate Debt for Stressed MSMEs: Provision made for ` 20,000
crores subordinate debt for the MSMEs which are NP As or are stressed. Government to support
them with ` 4,000 crores to Credit Guarantee T rust for Micro and Small enterprises (CGTMSE).
Banks are expected to provide the subordinate-debt to promoters of such MSMEs equal to
15 per cent of the existing stake in the unit subject to a maximum of ` 75 lakhs.
3. ` 50,000 crores equity infusion through MSME Fund of Funds: Government to set up
a Fund of Funds with a corpus of ` 10,000 crores that will provide equity funding support
for the MSMEs. The Fund of Funds shall be operated through a mother and a few daughter
funds. It will provide equity funding for viable MSMEs. This scheme will help the MSMEs
to expand its size and capacity and will also encourage them to get listed on stock exchanges.
4. New definition of MSME: Low threshold in the MSME definition have created a fear
among the MSMEs of graduating out of the benefits. Hence, the government has revised the
definition of MSME by raising the investment limit. An additional criteria of turnover has
been introduced and distinction between manufacturing and service sector stands removed.
Revised MSME classification is discussed in T able 9.
5. Global tenders to be disallowed upto ` 200 crores: General Financial Rules (GFR) of the
Government amended to disallow global tender enquiries in government procurement of
goods and services of value of less than ` 200 crores. This is a step in support of the Make in
India initiative and will promote MSMEs to grow .
6. Other Measures for MSMEs: e-market linkage for MSMEs to act as a replacement for trade fairs
and exhibitions. The MSME receivables from the Government and the CPSEs to be released in
45 days. This would help the MSMEs to solve the problems of marketing and liquidity .
7. Income Tax Refund: Income tax refunds to nearly 8.2 lakh small businesses worth ` 5,204
crores has been issued with the objective to help the MSMEs to carry on their business
activities without pay cuts and layof fs in these challenging times.
Page 3
CHAPTER
08
“In the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.”
?Albert Einstein
The Indian economy encountered a “once in a century” crisis due to the COVID-19
pandemic that affected economic activities and consequently impacted the livelihood of
billions of people. The industrial sector, not an exception to this shock, experienced a
sharp decline during the period of the lockdown. The economic activity, however, started
recovering as the unlocking process began. The various subcomponents of Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) and eight-core index have experienced a V-shaped recovery
with consistent movement being seen towards the pre-crisis levels. The broad-based quick
revival of the industrial activity stemmed from remedial measures, reforms, and the sizable
stimulus package announced by the Government of India (GoI) under the Atmanirbhar
Bharat package. Based on the IIP, the industrial activity contracted by 1.9 per cent
in November-2020 recovering from the nadir of -57.3 per cent in April-2020. Further
improvement and firming up in industrial activities are foreseen with the Government
enhancing capital expenditure as highlighted in the fiscal policy chapter, the vaccination
drive and the resolute push forward on long pending reform measures. It is pertinent
to point out that the reforms undertaken in the country are probably one of the most
comprehensive among the major economies of the world.
Industry and Infrastructure
INTRODUCTION
8.1 The financial year 2020-21 (FY21) began amidst a global pandemic, the management of
which led to countries adopting unprecedented measures that brought the economy to a grinding
halt. The lockdown and the corresponding restrictions on local and global movement of people and
goods, except for essential goods and services, was an exogenous shock that posed considerable
challenges to the economy , created uncertainty , was responsible for extensive loss of livelihoods
and led to the displacement of people. The unlocking of the economy in a phased manner has
helped the economy to get back on its feet. The rebuilding of the Indian economy is hinged on
various reform measures aimed at addressing concerns of businesses and support to livelihoods.
India implemented policies aimed at reducing transaction costs, supporting Micro Small and
Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), enhancing competition, fostering employment creation and
securing sustenance through the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan. The performance of the industrial
sector is critical given its deep backward and forward linkages with the other sectors of the
economy . A strong industrial sector is a sine quo non for an Atmanirbhar Bharat. Any initiative
aimed at securing a rapid recovery needs to keep industry concerns at the core of its intervention.
262 Economic Survey 2020-21 V olume 2
8.2 A bouquet of measures equivalent to ` 29.87 lakh crores or 15 per cent of India’ s GDP
were introduced as a measure of relief and support to the economy . These were subsequently
backed by initiatives to further strengthen the economy . The details of the stimulus package
pertaining to industry and infrastructure sector is in Box-1.
Box-1: Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan
Atmanirbhar Bharat is the vision of the GoI of making India a self-reliant nation. The announcements
under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan were made in three tranches. The key measures pertaining to
industry and infrastructure are summarized below:
Atmanirbhar Bharat 1.0
I. Relief and credit support to MSMEs to fight against COVID-19.
1. ` 3 lakh crores Collateral-free Automatic Loans for Businesses, including MSMEs: The
Emer gency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) has been formulated as a relief measure
to the MSMEs by providing them additional funding of up to ` 3 lakh crores in the form of a
fully guaranteed emer gency credit line. The borrowers with up to ` 25 crores outstanding and
` 100 crores turnover are eligi ble. This scheme provides 100 per cent credit guarantee cover to
Banks and NBFCs on principal and interest. No guarantee fee, no fresh collateral is required.
2. ` 20,000 crores Subordinate Debt for Stressed MSMEs: Provision made for ` 20,000
crores subordinate debt for the MSMEs which are NP As or are stressed. Government to support
them with ` 4,000 crores to Credit Guarantee T rust for Micro and Small enterprises (CGTMSE).
Banks are expected to provide the subordinate-debt to promoters of such MSMEs equal to
15 per cent of the existing stake in the unit subject to a maximum of ` 75 lakhs.
3. ` 50,000 crores equity infusion through MSME Fund of Funds: Government to set up
a Fund of Funds with a corpus of ` 10,000 crores that will provide equity funding support
for the MSMEs. The Fund of Funds shall be operated through a mother and a few daughter
funds. It will provide equity funding for viable MSMEs. This scheme will help the MSMEs
to expand its size and capacity and will also encourage them to get listed on stock exchanges.
4. New definition of MSME: Low threshold in the MSME definition have created a fear
among the MSMEs of graduating out of the benefits. Hence, the government has revised the
definition of MSME by raising the investment limit. An additional criteria of turnover has
been introduced and distinction between manufacturing and service sector stands removed.
Revised MSME classification is discussed in T able 9.
5. Global tenders to be disallowed upto ` 200 crores: General Financial Rules (GFR) of the
Government amended to disallow global tender enquiries in government procurement of
goods and services of value of less than ` 200 crores. This is a step in support of the Make in
India initiative and will promote MSMEs to grow .
6. Other Measures for MSMEs: e-market linkage for MSMEs to act as a replacement for trade fairs
and exhibitions. The MSME receivables from the Government and the CPSEs to be released in
45 days. This would help the MSMEs to solve the problems of marketing and liquidity .
7. Income Tax Refund: Income tax refunds to nearly 8.2 lakh small businesses worth ` 5,204
crores has been issued with the objective to help the MSMEs to carry on their business
activities without pay cuts and layof fs in these challenging times.
263 Industry and Infrastructure
8. Relief of ` 1500 crores to MUDRA- Shishu loans: GoI to provide interest subvention of
2 per cent to prompt payees for a period of 12 months. Small business under MUDRA to be
benefited.
9. Ease of doing business for business including MSMEs: The Government announced
further enhancement of ease of doing business through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy
Code (IBC) related measures which include (a) raising of the minimum threshold to initiate
insolvency proceedings to ` 1 crores from ` 1 lakhs (which lar gely insulates the MSMEs),
(b) special insolvency resolution framework for the MSMEs under Section 240A of the Code,
(c) suspension of fresh initia tion of insolvency proceedings for up to one year depending
upon the pandemic situation and (d) empowering the Central Government to exclude COVID
19 related debt from the definition of “default” under the Code for the purpose of triggering
insolvency proceedings.
II. Packages for Power Sector- ` 90,000 crores liquidity injection for DISCOMs
III. Real Estate: The extension of registration and completion date of real estate projects under Real
Estate (Regulation and Development) Act (RERA). Ministry of Housing and Urban Af fairs to advise
States/UT s and their regulatory authorities to the following ef fect:
1. T reat COVID-19 as an event of ‘Force Majeure’ under RERA.
2. Extend the registratio n and completion date suo-moto by 6 months for all registered projects
expiring on or after 25
th
March 2020 without need for individual applications.
3. Regulatory Authorities may extend this for another period of up to 3 months, if needed
4. Issue fresh ‘Project Registration Certificates’ automatically with revised timelines.
5. Extend timelines for various statuary compliances under RERA concurrently .
These measures will de-stress real estate developers and ensure completion of projects so that
homebuyers are able to get delivery of their booked houses within new timelines.
IV . Public Sector Enterprise Policy for a New, Self-reliant India
• Government to announce a new coherent policy—where all sectors are open to the private
sector while public sector enterprises (PSEs) will play an important role in defined areas
• List of strategic sectors requiring presence of PSEs in public interest will be notified
• In strate gic sectors, at least one enterprise will remain in the public sector but private sector
will also be allowed
• In other sectors, PSEs will be privatized (timing to be based on feasibility etc.)
• T o minimize wasteful admi nistrative costs, number of enterprises in strategic sectors will
ordinarily be only one to four; others will be privatized/ mer ged/ brought under holding companies.
Atmanirbhar Bharat 2.0 (second tranche of measures) provided ` 25,000 crores as additional
capital expenditure to the Ministry of Road T ransport and Ministry of Defence
Atmanirbhar Bharat 3.0 (third tranche of measures) initiatives that impact the industrial sector
include:
• ` 1.46 lakh crores boost for Atmanirbhar manufacturi ng production-linked incentives for
10 Champion Sectors (details in Box 4)
Page 4
CHAPTER
08
“In the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.”
?Albert Einstein
The Indian economy encountered a “once in a century” crisis due to the COVID-19
pandemic that affected economic activities and consequently impacted the livelihood of
billions of people. The industrial sector, not an exception to this shock, experienced a
sharp decline during the period of the lockdown. The economic activity, however, started
recovering as the unlocking process began. The various subcomponents of Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) and eight-core index have experienced a V-shaped recovery
with consistent movement being seen towards the pre-crisis levels. The broad-based quick
revival of the industrial activity stemmed from remedial measures, reforms, and the sizable
stimulus package announced by the Government of India (GoI) under the Atmanirbhar
Bharat package. Based on the IIP, the industrial activity contracted by 1.9 per cent
in November-2020 recovering from the nadir of -57.3 per cent in April-2020. Further
improvement and firming up in industrial activities are foreseen with the Government
enhancing capital expenditure as highlighted in the fiscal policy chapter, the vaccination
drive and the resolute push forward on long pending reform measures. It is pertinent
to point out that the reforms undertaken in the country are probably one of the most
comprehensive among the major economies of the world.
Industry and Infrastructure
INTRODUCTION
8.1 The financial year 2020-21 (FY21) began amidst a global pandemic, the management of
which led to countries adopting unprecedented measures that brought the economy to a grinding
halt. The lockdown and the corresponding restrictions on local and global movement of people and
goods, except for essential goods and services, was an exogenous shock that posed considerable
challenges to the economy , created uncertainty , was responsible for extensive loss of livelihoods
and led to the displacement of people. The unlocking of the economy in a phased manner has
helped the economy to get back on its feet. The rebuilding of the Indian economy is hinged on
various reform measures aimed at addressing concerns of businesses and support to livelihoods.
India implemented policies aimed at reducing transaction costs, supporting Micro Small and
Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), enhancing competition, fostering employment creation and
securing sustenance through the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan. The performance of the industrial
sector is critical given its deep backward and forward linkages with the other sectors of the
economy . A strong industrial sector is a sine quo non for an Atmanirbhar Bharat. Any initiative
aimed at securing a rapid recovery needs to keep industry concerns at the core of its intervention.
262 Economic Survey 2020-21 V olume 2
8.2 A bouquet of measures equivalent to ` 29.87 lakh crores or 15 per cent of India’ s GDP
were introduced as a measure of relief and support to the economy . These were subsequently
backed by initiatives to further strengthen the economy . The details of the stimulus package
pertaining to industry and infrastructure sector is in Box-1.
Box-1: Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan
Atmanirbhar Bharat is the vision of the GoI of making India a self-reliant nation. The announcements
under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan were made in three tranches. The key measures pertaining to
industry and infrastructure are summarized below:
Atmanirbhar Bharat 1.0
I. Relief and credit support to MSMEs to fight against COVID-19.
1. ` 3 lakh crores Collateral-free Automatic Loans for Businesses, including MSMEs: The
Emer gency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) has been formulated as a relief measure
to the MSMEs by providing them additional funding of up to ` 3 lakh crores in the form of a
fully guaranteed emer gency credit line. The borrowers with up to ` 25 crores outstanding and
` 100 crores turnover are eligi ble. This scheme provides 100 per cent credit guarantee cover to
Banks and NBFCs on principal and interest. No guarantee fee, no fresh collateral is required.
2. ` 20,000 crores Subordinate Debt for Stressed MSMEs: Provision made for ` 20,000
crores subordinate debt for the MSMEs which are NP As or are stressed. Government to support
them with ` 4,000 crores to Credit Guarantee T rust for Micro and Small enterprises (CGTMSE).
Banks are expected to provide the subordinate-debt to promoters of such MSMEs equal to
15 per cent of the existing stake in the unit subject to a maximum of ` 75 lakhs.
3. ` 50,000 crores equity infusion through MSME Fund of Funds: Government to set up
a Fund of Funds with a corpus of ` 10,000 crores that will provide equity funding support
for the MSMEs. The Fund of Funds shall be operated through a mother and a few daughter
funds. It will provide equity funding for viable MSMEs. This scheme will help the MSMEs
to expand its size and capacity and will also encourage them to get listed on stock exchanges.
4. New definition of MSME: Low threshold in the MSME definition have created a fear
among the MSMEs of graduating out of the benefits. Hence, the government has revised the
definition of MSME by raising the investment limit. An additional criteria of turnover has
been introduced and distinction between manufacturing and service sector stands removed.
Revised MSME classification is discussed in T able 9.
5. Global tenders to be disallowed upto ` 200 crores: General Financial Rules (GFR) of the
Government amended to disallow global tender enquiries in government procurement of
goods and services of value of less than ` 200 crores. This is a step in support of the Make in
India initiative and will promote MSMEs to grow .
6. Other Measures for MSMEs: e-market linkage for MSMEs to act as a replacement for trade fairs
and exhibitions. The MSME receivables from the Government and the CPSEs to be released in
45 days. This would help the MSMEs to solve the problems of marketing and liquidity .
7. Income Tax Refund: Income tax refunds to nearly 8.2 lakh small businesses worth ` 5,204
crores has been issued with the objective to help the MSMEs to carry on their business
activities without pay cuts and layof fs in these challenging times.
263 Industry and Infrastructure
8. Relief of ` 1500 crores to MUDRA- Shishu loans: GoI to provide interest subvention of
2 per cent to prompt payees for a period of 12 months. Small business under MUDRA to be
benefited.
9. Ease of doing business for business including MSMEs: The Government announced
further enhancement of ease of doing business through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy
Code (IBC) related measures which include (a) raising of the minimum threshold to initiate
insolvency proceedings to ` 1 crores from ` 1 lakhs (which lar gely insulates the MSMEs),
(b) special insolvency resolution framework for the MSMEs under Section 240A of the Code,
(c) suspension of fresh initia tion of insolvency proceedings for up to one year depending
upon the pandemic situation and (d) empowering the Central Government to exclude COVID
19 related debt from the definition of “default” under the Code for the purpose of triggering
insolvency proceedings.
II. Packages for Power Sector- ` 90,000 crores liquidity injection for DISCOMs
III. Real Estate: The extension of registration and completion date of real estate projects under Real
Estate (Regulation and Development) Act (RERA). Ministry of Housing and Urban Af fairs to advise
States/UT s and their regulatory authorities to the following ef fect:
1. T reat COVID-19 as an event of ‘Force Majeure’ under RERA.
2. Extend the registratio n and completion date suo-moto by 6 months for all registered projects
expiring on or after 25
th
March 2020 without need for individual applications.
3. Regulatory Authorities may extend this for another period of up to 3 months, if needed
4. Issue fresh ‘Project Registration Certificates’ automatically with revised timelines.
5. Extend timelines for various statuary compliances under RERA concurrently .
These measures will de-stress real estate developers and ensure completion of projects so that
homebuyers are able to get delivery of their booked houses within new timelines.
IV . Public Sector Enterprise Policy for a New, Self-reliant India
• Government to announce a new coherent policy—where all sectors are open to the private
sector while public sector enterprises (PSEs) will play an important role in defined areas
• List of strategic sectors requiring presence of PSEs in public interest will be notified
• In strate gic sectors, at least one enterprise will remain in the public sector but private sector
will also be allowed
• In other sectors, PSEs will be privatized (timing to be based on feasibility etc.)
• T o minimize wasteful admi nistrative costs, number of enterprises in strategic sectors will
ordinarily be only one to four; others will be privatized/ mer ged/ brought under holding companies.
Atmanirbhar Bharat 2.0 (second tranche of measures) provided ` 25,000 crores as additional
capital expenditure to the Ministry of Road T ransport and Ministry of Defence
Atmanirbhar Bharat 3.0 (third tranche of measures) initiatives that impact the industrial sector
include:
• ` 1.46 lakh crores boost for Atmanirbhar manufacturi ng production-linked incentives for
10 Champion Sectors (details in Box 4)
264 Economic Survey 2020-21 V olume 2
• ` 18,000 crores additional outlay for PM A waas Y ojana (PMA Y) –Urban
• Support for construction & infrastructure – relaxation of Earnest Money Deposit (EMD) &
performance security on Government tenders
• ` 1.10 lakh crores platform for infra debt financing – ` 6000 crores equity infusion in National
Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF) Debt Platform, ` 10,200 crores additional budget
outlay will be provided towards capital and industrial expenditure for domestic defence
equipment, industrial incentives, industrial infrastructure, and green ener gy
8.3 As per the latest estim ates on Gross V alue Added (GV A), the industrial sector is expected
to record a growth of -9.6 per cent with an overall contribution in GV A of 25.8 per cent in
2020-21 (FY21). The contribution of the industrial sector has been constantly declining since
201 1-12 (Figure 1). The fall in share is across the board except in case of ‘Electricity , gas, water
supply & other utility services’ whose share in GV A has increased from 2.3 per cent in FY12 to
2.7 per cent in FY21. The performance of the various components of the industrial sector namely ,
manufacturing, mining and quarrying, electricity , and construction is presented in T able 1.
Figure 1: Share of Industry and its Components in GV A (Current Prices, Per cent)
3.2 3.1 2. 9 2. 7 2. 3 2. 3 2. 3 2. 3 2. 1
1. 7
17.4
17.1
16.5
16.3 17.1 16.7 16.4 16.1
15.1
14.5
2.3
2.3
2. 5
2. 5
2. 7
2. 5
2. 7
2. 7
2. 7
2. 7
9.6
9.2
8. 9
8. 5
7. 9
7. 7 7. 7
7. 8
7. 5
6. 9
32.5
31.8
30.8
30.0 30.0
29.3 29.2
28.9
27.5
25.8
0 .0
5 .0
1 0.0
1 5.0
2 0.0
2 5.0
3 0.0
3 5.0
F Y1 2 F Y1 3 F Y1 4 F Y1 5 F Y1 6 F Y1 7 F Y1 8 F Y1 9 F Y2 0 F Y2 1
M ining M an u f ac t u r i ng E le c tr ic ity * C ons t r uc t i o n I nd us t ry
*Electricity , gas, water supply & other utility services.
Source: Survey calculations based on MoSPI data.
Table 1: Rate of Growth of GV A in Industry and Its Components (Per cent)
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
Industry 3.3 3.8 7.0 9.6 7.7 6.3 4.9 0.9 -9.6
Mining 0.6 0.2 9.7 10.1 9.8 4.9 -5.8 3.1 -12.4
Manufacturing 5.5 5.0 7.9 13.1 7.9 6.6 5.7 0.0 -9.4
Electricity* 2.7 4.2 7.2 4.7 10.0 1 1.2 8.2 4.1 2.7
Construction 0.3 2.7 4.3 3.6 5.9 5.0 6.1 1.3 -12.6
*Electricity , gas, water supply & other utility services
Source: Survey calculations based on MoSPI Data.
Page 5
CHAPTER
08
“In the midst of every crisis, lies great opportunity.”
?Albert Einstein
The Indian economy encountered a “once in a century” crisis due to the COVID-19
pandemic that affected economic activities and consequently impacted the livelihood of
billions of people. The industrial sector, not an exception to this shock, experienced a
sharp decline during the period of the lockdown. The economic activity, however, started
recovering as the unlocking process began. The various subcomponents of Index of
Industrial Production (IIP) and eight-core index have experienced a V-shaped recovery
with consistent movement being seen towards the pre-crisis levels. The broad-based quick
revival of the industrial activity stemmed from remedial measures, reforms, and the sizable
stimulus package announced by the Government of India (GoI) under the Atmanirbhar
Bharat package. Based on the IIP, the industrial activity contracted by 1.9 per cent
in November-2020 recovering from the nadir of -57.3 per cent in April-2020. Further
improvement and firming up in industrial activities are foreseen with the Government
enhancing capital expenditure as highlighted in the fiscal policy chapter, the vaccination
drive and the resolute push forward on long pending reform measures. It is pertinent
to point out that the reforms undertaken in the country are probably one of the most
comprehensive among the major economies of the world.
Industry and Infrastructure
INTRODUCTION
8.1 The financial year 2020-21 (FY21) began amidst a global pandemic, the management of
which led to countries adopting unprecedented measures that brought the economy to a grinding
halt. The lockdown and the corresponding restrictions on local and global movement of people and
goods, except for essential goods and services, was an exogenous shock that posed considerable
challenges to the economy , created uncertainty , was responsible for extensive loss of livelihoods
and led to the displacement of people. The unlocking of the economy in a phased manner has
helped the economy to get back on its feet. The rebuilding of the Indian economy is hinged on
various reform measures aimed at addressing concerns of businesses and support to livelihoods.
India implemented policies aimed at reducing transaction costs, supporting Micro Small and
Medium Enterprises (MSMEs), enhancing competition, fostering employment creation and
securing sustenance through the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan. The performance of the industrial
sector is critical given its deep backward and forward linkages with the other sectors of the
economy . A strong industrial sector is a sine quo non for an Atmanirbhar Bharat. Any initiative
aimed at securing a rapid recovery needs to keep industry concerns at the core of its intervention.
262 Economic Survey 2020-21 V olume 2
8.2 A bouquet of measures equivalent to ` 29.87 lakh crores or 15 per cent of India’ s GDP
were introduced as a measure of relief and support to the economy . These were subsequently
backed by initiatives to further strengthen the economy . The details of the stimulus package
pertaining to industry and infrastructure sector is in Box-1.
Box-1: Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan
Atmanirbhar Bharat is the vision of the GoI of making India a self-reliant nation. The announcements
under the Atmanirbhar Bharat Abhiyan were made in three tranches. The key measures pertaining to
industry and infrastructure are summarized below:
Atmanirbhar Bharat 1.0
I. Relief and credit support to MSMEs to fight against COVID-19.
1. ` 3 lakh crores Collateral-free Automatic Loans for Businesses, including MSMEs: The
Emer gency Credit Line Guarantee Scheme (ECLGS) has been formulated as a relief measure
to the MSMEs by providing them additional funding of up to ` 3 lakh crores in the form of a
fully guaranteed emer gency credit line. The borrowers with up to ` 25 crores outstanding and
` 100 crores turnover are eligi ble. This scheme provides 100 per cent credit guarantee cover to
Banks and NBFCs on principal and interest. No guarantee fee, no fresh collateral is required.
2. ` 20,000 crores Subordinate Debt for Stressed MSMEs: Provision made for ` 20,000
crores subordinate debt for the MSMEs which are NP As or are stressed. Government to support
them with ` 4,000 crores to Credit Guarantee T rust for Micro and Small enterprises (CGTMSE).
Banks are expected to provide the subordinate-debt to promoters of such MSMEs equal to
15 per cent of the existing stake in the unit subject to a maximum of ` 75 lakhs.
3. ` 50,000 crores equity infusion through MSME Fund of Funds: Government to set up
a Fund of Funds with a corpus of ` 10,000 crores that will provide equity funding support
for the MSMEs. The Fund of Funds shall be operated through a mother and a few daughter
funds. It will provide equity funding for viable MSMEs. This scheme will help the MSMEs
to expand its size and capacity and will also encourage them to get listed on stock exchanges.
4. New definition of MSME: Low threshold in the MSME definition have created a fear
among the MSMEs of graduating out of the benefits. Hence, the government has revised the
definition of MSME by raising the investment limit. An additional criteria of turnover has
been introduced and distinction between manufacturing and service sector stands removed.
Revised MSME classification is discussed in T able 9.
5. Global tenders to be disallowed upto ` 200 crores: General Financial Rules (GFR) of the
Government amended to disallow global tender enquiries in government procurement of
goods and services of value of less than ` 200 crores. This is a step in support of the Make in
India initiative and will promote MSMEs to grow .
6. Other Measures for MSMEs: e-market linkage for MSMEs to act as a replacement for trade fairs
and exhibitions. The MSME receivables from the Government and the CPSEs to be released in
45 days. This would help the MSMEs to solve the problems of marketing and liquidity .
7. Income Tax Refund: Income tax refunds to nearly 8.2 lakh small businesses worth ` 5,204
crores has been issued with the objective to help the MSMEs to carry on their business
activities without pay cuts and layof fs in these challenging times.
263 Industry and Infrastructure
8. Relief of ` 1500 crores to MUDRA- Shishu loans: GoI to provide interest subvention of
2 per cent to prompt payees for a period of 12 months. Small business under MUDRA to be
benefited.
9. Ease of doing business for business including MSMEs: The Government announced
further enhancement of ease of doing business through the Insolvency and Bankruptcy
Code (IBC) related measures which include (a) raising of the minimum threshold to initiate
insolvency proceedings to ` 1 crores from ` 1 lakhs (which lar gely insulates the MSMEs),
(b) special insolvency resolution framework for the MSMEs under Section 240A of the Code,
(c) suspension of fresh initia tion of insolvency proceedings for up to one year depending
upon the pandemic situation and (d) empowering the Central Government to exclude COVID
19 related debt from the definition of “default” under the Code for the purpose of triggering
insolvency proceedings.
II. Packages for Power Sector- ` 90,000 crores liquidity injection for DISCOMs
III. Real Estate: The extension of registration and completion date of real estate projects under Real
Estate (Regulation and Development) Act (RERA). Ministry of Housing and Urban Af fairs to advise
States/UT s and their regulatory authorities to the following ef fect:
1. T reat COVID-19 as an event of ‘Force Majeure’ under RERA.
2. Extend the registratio n and completion date suo-moto by 6 months for all registered projects
expiring on or after 25
th
March 2020 without need for individual applications.
3. Regulatory Authorities may extend this for another period of up to 3 months, if needed
4. Issue fresh ‘Project Registration Certificates’ automatically with revised timelines.
5. Extend timelines for various statuary compliances under RERA concurrently .
These measures will de-stress real estate developers and ensure completion of projects so that
homebuyers are able to get delivery of their booked houses within new timelines.
IV . Public Sector Enterprise Policy for a New, Self-reliant India
• Government to announce a new coherent policy—where all sectors are open to the private
sector while public sector enterprises (PSEs) will play an important role in defined areas
• List of strategic sectors requiring presence of PSEs in public interest will be notified
• In strate gic sectors, at least one enterprise will remain in the public sector but private sector
will also be allowed
• In other sectors, PSEs will be privatized (timing to be based on feasibility etc.)
• T o minimize wasteful admi nistrative costs, number of enterprises in strategic sectors will
ordinarily be only one to four; others will be privatized/ mer ged/ brought under holding companies.
Atmanirbhar Bharat 2.0 (second tranche of measures) provided ` 25,000 crores as additional
capital expenditure to the Ministry of Road T ransport and Ministry of Defence
Atmanirbhar Bharat 3.0 (third tranche of measures) initiatives that impact the industrial sector
include:
• ` 1.46 lakh crores boost for Atmanirbhar manufacturi ng production-linked incentives for
10 Champion Sectors (details in Box 4)
264 Economic Survey 2020-21 V olume 2
• ` 18,000 crores additional outlay for PM A waas Y ojana (PMA Y) –Urban
• Support for construction & infrastructure – relaxation of Earnest Money Deposit (EMD) &
performance security on Government tenders
• ` 1.10 lakh crores platform for infra debt financing – ` 6000 crores equity infusion in National
Investment and Infrastructure Fund (NIIF) Debt Platform, ` 10,200 crores additional budget
outlay will be provided towards capital and industrial expenditure for domestic defence
equipment, industrial incentives, industrial infrastructure, and green ener gy
8.3 As per the latest estim ates on Gross V alue Added (GV A), the industrial sector is expected
to record a growth of -9.6 per cent with an overall contribution in GV A of 25.8 per cent in
2020-21 (FY21). The contribution of the industrial sector has been constantly declining since
201 1-12 (Figure 1). The fall in share is across the board except in case of ‘Electricity , gas, water
supply & other utility services’ whose share in GV A has increased from 2.3 per cent in FY12 to
2.7 per cent in FY21. The performance of the various components of the industrial sector namely ,
manufacturing, mining and quarrying, electricity , and construction is presented in T able 1.
Figure 1: Share of Industry and its Components in GV A (Current Prices, Per cent)
3.2 3.1 2. 9 2. 7 2. 3 2. 3 2. 3 2. 3 2. 1
1. 7
17.4
17.1
16.5
16.3 17.1 16.7 16.4 16.1
15.1
14.5
2.3
2.3
2. 5
2. 5
2. 7
2. 5
2. 7
2. 7
2. 7
2. 7
9.6
9.2
8. 9
8. 5
7. 9
7. 7 7. 7
7. 8
7. 5
6. 9
32.5
31.8
30.8
30.0 30.0
29.3 29.2
28.9
27.5
25.8
0 .0
5 .0
1 0.0
1 5.0
2 0.0
2 5.0
3 0.0
3 5.0
F Y1 2 F Y1 3 F Y1 4 F Y1 5 F Y1 6 F Y1 7 F Y1 8 F Y1 9 F Y2 0 F Y2 1
M ining M an u f ac t u r i ng E le c tr ic ity * C ons t r uc t i o n I nd us t ry
*Electricity , gas, water supply & other utility services.
Source: Survey calculations based on MoSPI data.
Table 1: Rate of Growth of GV A in Industry and Its Components (Per cent)
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21
Industry 3.3 3.8 7.0 9.6 7.7 6.3 4.9 0.9 -9.6
Mining 0.6 0.2 9.7 10.1 9.8 4.9 -5.8 3.1 -12.4
Manufacturing 5.5 5.0 7.9 13.1 7.9 6.6 5.7 0.0 -9.4
Electricity* 2.7 4.2 7.2 4.7 10.0 1 1.2 8.2 4.1 2.7
Construction 0.3 2.7 4.3 3.6 5.9 5.0 6.1 1.3 -12.6
*Electricity , gas, water supply & other utility services
Source: Survey calculations based on MoSPI Data.
265 Industry and Infrastructure
TRENDS IN INDUSTRIAL SECTOR
Index of Eight-Core Industries and Index of Industrial Production (IIP)
8.4 On 24 March 2020, when the 21-day nationa l lockdown was imposed to prevent the
proliferation of COVID-19, it was expected that the economic activities would freeze except
for some essential services. The IIP growth started contracting immediately after the lockdown
reaching its historical low in April-2020. The calibra ted and gradual unlocking process led to
the resumptio n of economic activities translating into positive growth in IIP for the first time in
September -2020 since the lockdown. The subsequent months have seen consistent improvement
and the sub-components of the IIP have gradually inched towards their pre-COVID levels, a
reflection of the beginning of the revival of the econom y . The improvement has been broad-based
in both the core and non-core components of the IIP with a few exceptions like the petroleum
products in the core group that are still below the normal level.
8.5 The eight-core industries that support infrastruc ture, such as coal, crude oil, natural gas,
refinery products, fertilizers, steel, cement, and electricity have a total weight of nearly 40
percent in the IIP . The eight-core index recorded its all-time low growth of (-) 37.9 due to
COVID -19 led nation-wide lockdown (April-2020). The fall in growth and index was expected
as was the recovery of the index too. The eight-core industries registered (-) 2.6 per cent
growth in November -2020 as compared to 0.7 per cent in November -2019 and (-) 0.9 per cent
in October -2020 (Figure 2). The cumulative growth of core industries during April-November
2020 was (-) 1 1.4 per cent as compared to 0.3 per cent during April-November 2019.
8.6 T racking the level of the index apart from the Y oY growth enables us to understand the
revival of economic activity better . The trajectory of the eight-core index has been improving
since May-2020 and further recovery/expansion is expected in remaining months of FY21. The
current level (November -2020) of the seasonally adjusted eight-core index is 6 per cent lower
than the pre-lockdown levels in February-2020 (Figure 3). The highlights of the performance of
eight-core industries in FY21 are presented in T able 2 and the trajectory of the respective index
is in Figure 4. All the sub-components of the eight-cor e index are inching up to the pre-COVID
levels (Figure 5).
Figure 2: IIP and Eight Core growth from Jan-19 to Nov-20 (Per cent)
-60.0
-50.0
-40.0
-30.0
-20.0
-10.0
0.0
10.0
Jan-19
Feb-19
Mar-19
Apr-19
May-19
Jun-19
Jul-19
Aug-19
Sep-19
Oct-19
Nov-19
Dec-19
Jan-20
Feb-20
Mar-20
Apr-20
May-20
Jun-20
Jul-20
Aug-20
Sep-20
Oct-20
Nov-20
Eight Core IIP
Source: Survey calculations based on MoSPI and Office of Economic Adviser ’ s data.
Read More