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Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances | Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes) PDF Download

Tropical Cyclones

Tropical cyclones are violent storms that originate over oceans in tropical areas and move over to the coastal areas bringing about large-scale destruction due to violent winds (squalls), very heavy rainfall (torrential rainfall), and storm surge.
They are irregular wind movements involving the closed circulation of air around a low-pressure center. This closed air circulation (whirling motion) is a result of rapid upward movement of the hot air which is subjected to Coriolis force. The low pressure at the center is responsible for the wind speeds.
Squall – a sudden violent gust of wind or localized storm, especially one bringing rain, snow, or sleet.
Torrent – a strong and fast-moving stream of water or other liquid.

  • The cyclonic wind movements are anti-clockwise in the northern hemisphere and clockwise in the southern hemisphere (This is due to Coriolis force).
  • The cyclones are often characterized by the existence of an anticyclone between two cyclones.
  • Tropical cyclones occur around the equator at 5 ° – 30 °, but also have varying names depending upon where in the world they form. 
  • An average tropical cyclone can travel about 300 to 400 miles a day, or about 3,000 miles before it dies out.

Conditions Favorable for Tropical Cyclone Formation

  • Large sea surface with a temperature higher than 27° C,
  • Presence of the Coriolis force enough to create a cyclonic vortex,
  • Small variations in the vertical wind speed,
  • A pre-existing weak low-pressure area or low-level-cyclonic circulation,
  • Upper divergence above the sea level system,

Good Source of Latent Heat

  • Ocean waters having temperatures of 27° C or more is the source of moisture that feeds the storm. The condensation of moisture releases enough latent heat of condensation to drive the storm.
  • The depth of warm water (26-27°C) should extend for 60-70 m from the surface of the ocean/sea, so that deep convection currents within the water do not churn and mix the cooler water below with the warmer water near the surface.
  • The above condition occurs only in western tropical oceans because of warm ocean currents (easterly trade winds push ocean waters towards the west) that flow from the east towards the west forming a thick layer of water with temperatures greater than 27°C. This supplies enough moisture to the storm.
  • The cold currents lower the surface temperatures of the eastern parts of the tropical oceans making them unfit for the breeding of cyclonic storms.

Coriolis Force (f)

  • The Coriolis force is zero at the equator (no cyclones at the equator because of zero Coriolis Force) but it increases with latitude. Coriolis force at 5° latitude is significant enough to create a storm [cyclonic vortex].
  • About 65 percent of cyclonic activity occurs between 10° and 20° latitude.

Low-level Disturbances

  • Low-level disturbance (thunderstorms – they are the seeds of cyclones) in the form of easterly wave disturbances in the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) should pre-­exist.
  • Small local differences in the temperature of the water and of air produce various low-pressure centers of small size. A weak cyclonic circulation develops around these areas.
  • Then, because of the rising warm humid air, a true cyclonic vortex may develop very rapidly. However, only a few of these disturbances develop into cyclones.

[rising of humid air ⇒  adiabatic lapse rate ⇒ fall in temperature of air ⇒ condensation of moisture in air ⇒ latent heat of condensation released ⇒ air gets more hot and lighter ⇒ air is further uplifted ⇒ more air comes in to fill the gap ⇒ new moisture available for condensation ⇒ latent heat of condensation and the cycle repeats]

Temperature contrast between air masses

  • Trade winds from both hemispheres meet along the inter-tropical front. Temperature contrasts between these air masses must exist when the ITCZ is farthest, from the equator.
  • Thus, the convergence of these air masses of different temperatures and the resulting instability are the prerequisites for the origin and growth of violent tropical storms.

Upper Air Disturbance

  • The remains of an upper tropospheric cyclone from the Westerlies move deep into the tropical latitude regions. As divergence prevails on the eastern side of the troughs, a rising motion occurs; this leads to the development of thunderstorms.
  • Further, these old abandoned troughs (remnants of temperate cyclones) usually have cold cores, suggesting that the environmental lapse rate is steeper and unstable below these troughs. Such instability encourages thunderstorms (child cyclones).

Wind Shear

  • Wind Shear – differences between wind speeds at different heights.
  • Tropical cyclones develop when the wind is uniform.
  • Because of weak vertical wind shear, cyclone formation processes are limited to latitude equatorward of the subtropical jet stream.
  • In the temperate regions, wind shear is high due to westerlies and this inhibits convective cyclone formation.

Upper Tropospheric Divergence

  • A well – developed divergence in the upper layers of the atmosphere is necessary so that the rising air currents within the cyclone continue to be pumped out and a low pressure maintained at the center.

Humidity Factor High humidity (around 50 to 60 percent) is required in the mid-troposphere since the presence of moist air leads to the formation of cumulonimbus clouds.

  • Such conditions exist over the equatorial doldrums, especially in western margins of oceans (this is because of the east to west movement of ocean currents), which have great moisture, carrying capacity because the trade winds continuously replace the saturated air.

Origin and Development of Tropical Cyclones

  • The tropical cyclones have a thermal origin, and they develop over tropical seas during late summers (August to mid-November).
  • At these locations, the strong local convectional currents acquire a whirling motion because of the Coriolis force.
  • After developing, these cyclones advance till they find a weak spot in the trade wind belt.

Origin

Origin of Tropical CyclonesOrigin of Tropical Cyclones

  • Under favorable conditions, multiple thunderstorms originate over the oceans. These thunderstorms merge and create an intense low pressure system (wind is warm and lighter).

Early Stage

  • In the thunderstorm, the air is uplifted as it is warm and light. At a certain height, due to lapse rate and adiabatic lapse rate, the temperature of the air falls and moisture in the air undergoes condensation.
  • Condensation releases latent heat of condensation making the air warmer. It becomes much lighter and is further uplifted.
  • Space is filled with fresh moisture-laden air. Condensation occurs in this air and the cycle is repeated as long as the moisture is supplied.
  • Due to excess moisture over oceans, the thunderstorm intensifies and sucks in the air at a much faster rate. The air from surroundings rushes in and undergoes deflection due to Coriolis force creating a cyclonic vortex (spiraling air column. Similar to a tornado).
    Formation of Typhoons/Hurricanes
    Formation of Typhoons/Hurricanes
  • Due to centripetal acceleration (centripetal force pulling towards the center is countered by an opposing force called the centrifugal force), the air in the vortex is forced to form a region of calmness called an eye at the center of the cyclone. The inner surface of the vortex forms the eyewall, the most violent region of the cyclone.

[Eye is created due to tangential force acting on wind that is following a curvy path]

  • All the wind that is carried upwards loses its moisture and becomes cold and dense. It descends to the surface through the cylindrical eye region and at the edges of the cyclone.
  • Continuous supply of moisture from the sea is the major driving force behind every cyclone. On reaching the land the moisture supply is cut off and the storm dissipates.
  • If ocean can supply more moisture, the storm will reach a mature stage.

Mature stage

  • At this stage, the spiraling winds create multiple convective cells with successive calm and violent regions.
  • The regions with cumulonimbus cloud (rising limbs of the convective cell) formation are called rain bands below which intense rainfall occurs.
  • The ascending air will lose moisture at some point and descends (subsides) back to the surface through the calm regions (descending limbs of convection cell – subsiding air) that exist between two rain bands.
  • Cloud formation is dense at the center. The cloud size decreases from center to periphery.
  • Rain bands are mostly made up of cumulonimbus clouds. The ones at the periphery are made up of nimbostratus and cumulus clouds.
  • The dense overcast at the upper levels of the troposphere is due to cirrus clouds which are mostly made up of hexagonal ice crystals.
  • The dry air flowing along the central dense overcast descends at the periphery and the eye region.

Structure of a Tropical Cyclone
Eye

  • A mature tropical cyclone is characterized by the strong spirally circulating wind around the centre which is called the eye.
  • The “eye” is a roughly circular area of comparatively light winds, clear skies. and fair weather found at the center of a severe tropical cyclone.
  • There is little or no precipitation and sometimes blue sky or stars can be seen.
  • The eye is the region of lowest surface pressure and warmest temperatures aloft (in the upper levels) – the eye temperature may be 10°C warmer or more at an altitude of 12 km than the surrounding environment, but only 0-2°C warmer at the surface in the tropical cyclone.
  • Eyes range in size from 8 km to over 200 km across, but most are approximately 30-60 km in diameter.
    Mature stage of Cyclone
    Mature stage of Cyclone

Eye wall

  • The eye is surrounded by the “eyewall”, the roughly circular ring of deep convection, which is the area of highest surface winds in the tropical cyclone. The Eye Wall region also sees the maximum sustained winds i.e. fastest winds in a cyclone occur along the eyewall region.
  • The eye is composed of air that is slowly sinking and the eyewall has a net upward flow as a result of many moderate – occasionally strong
  • The eye’s warm temperatures are due to compressional warming (adiabatic) of the subsiding air.
  • Most soundings taken within the eye show a low-level layer, which is relatively moist, with an inversion above – suggesting that the sinking in the eye typically does not reach the ocean surface, but instead only gets to around 1-3 km of the surface.
  • The wind reaches maximum velocity in this region and torrential rain occurs here.
  • From the eyewall, rain bands may radiate and trains of cumulus and cumulonimbus clouds may drift into the outer region.

Spiral bands

  • Another feature of tropical cyclones that probably plays a role in forming and maintaining the eye is the eyewall convection.
  • Convection in tropical cyclones is organized into long, narrow rain bands which are oriented in the same direction as the horizontal wind.
  • Because these bands seem to spiral into the center of a tropical cyclone, they are called “spiral bands”.
  • Along with these bands, low-level convergence is a maximum, and therefore, upper-level divergence is most pronounced above.
  • A direct circulation develops in which warm, moist air converges at the surface, ascends through these bands, diverges aloft, and descends on both sides of the bands.
  • Subsidence is distributed over a wide area on the outside of the rain band but is concentrated in the small inside area.
  • As the air subsides, adiabatic warming takes place, and the air dries.
  • Because subsidence is concentrated on the inside of the band, the adiabatic warming is stronger inward from the band causing a sharp contrast in pressure to fall across the band since warm air is lighter than cold air.
  • Because the pressure falls on the inside, the tangential winds around the tropical cyclone increase due to the increased pressure gradient. Eventually, the band moves toward the center and encircles it, and the eye and eye wall form.
  • Thus, the cloud-free eye may be due to a combination of dynamically forced centrifuging of mass out of the eye into the eyewall and to a forced descent caused by the moist convection of the eyewall.

Vertical Structure of a Tropical Cyclone

There are three divisions in the vertical structure of tropical cyclones.

  • The lowest layer, extending up to 3 km and known as the inflow layer, is responsible for driving the storm.
  • The middle layer, extending from 3 km to 7 km, is where the main cyclonic storm takes place.
  • The outflow layer lies above 7 km. The maximum outflow is found at 12 km and above. The movement of air is anticyclonic in nature.

Categories of Tropical Cyclones
This is the tropical cyclone category system as used by the Bureau of Meteorology:

  • Category one (tropical cyclone): A category one cyclone’s strongest winds are GALES with typical gusts over open flat land of 90-125kph,
  • Category two (tropical cyclone): A category two cyclone’s strongest winds are DESTRUCTIVE winds with typical gusts over open flat land of 125-164kph,
  • Category three (severe tropical cyclone): A category three cyclone’s strongest winds are VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with typical gusts over open flat land of 165-224kph,
  • Category four (severe tropical cyclone): A category four cyclone’s strongest winds are VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with typical gusts over open flat land of 225-279kph,
  • Category five (severe tropical cyclone): A category five cyclone’s strongest winds are VERY DESTRUCTIVE winds with typical gusts over open flat land of more than 280kph.

Favourite Breeding Grounds for Tropical Cyclones

  • South-east Caribbean region where they are called hurricanes.
  • Philippines islands, eastern China, and Japan where they are called typhoons.
  • The Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea where they are called cyclones.
  • Around the south-east African coast and Madagascar-Mauritius islands.
  • North-west Australia.

Regional names for Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances | Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes)

Characteristics of Tropical Cyclones
The main features of tropical cyclones are as follows.

Size and Shape

  • Tropical cyclones have symmetrical elliptical shapes (2:3 ratio of length and breadth) with steep pressure gradients. They have a compact size—80 km near center, which may develop up to 300 km to 1500 km.

Wind Velocity and Strength

  • Wind velocity, in a tropical cyclone, is more in poleward margins than at center and is moreover oceans than over landmasses, which are scattered with physical barriers. The wind velocity may range from nil to 1200 km per hour.

Path of Tropical Cyclones

  • These cyclones start with a westward movement but turn northwards around 20° latitude. They turn further north-eastwards around 25° latitude, and then eastwards around 30° latitude. They then lose energy and subside.
  • Tropical cyclones follow a parabolic path, their axis being parallel to the isobars.
  • Coriolis force or earth’s rotation, easterly and westerly winds influence the path of a tropical cyclone.
  • Tropical cyclones die at 30° latitude because of cool ocean waters and increasing wind shear due to westerlies.

Warning of Tropical Cyclones

  • Detection of any unusual phenomena in the weather leading to cyclones has three main parameters: fall in pressure, increase in wind velocity, and the direction and movement (track) of the storm.
  • There is a network of weather stations monitoring pressure fall and wind velocities in all countries of the world, including the Arctic and Antarctic regions.
  • The islands attain special significance in this as they facilitate monitoring of these developments.
  • In India, there are detection radars along both coasts.
  • Monitoring is also done by aircraft which carry a number of instruments including weather radar.
  • Cyclone monitoring by satellites is done through very high-resolution radiometers, working in the visual and infra-red regions (for night view) of the spectrum to obtain an image of the cloud cover and its structure.
  • Remote sensing by radars, aircraft, and satellites helps predict where exactly the cyclone is going to strike. It helps in taking advanced steps in the following areas:
    • closing of ports and harbors,
    • suspension of fishing activities,
    • evacuation of the population,
    • stocking of food and drinking water, and
    • provision of shelter with sanitation facilities (safety homes).
  • Today, it is possible to detect a cyclone right from its genesis in the high seas and follow its course, giving a warning at least 48 hours prior to a cyclone strike.
  • However, the predictions of a storm course made only 12 hours in advance do not have a very high rate of precision.

Major Differences between Temperate Cyclone and Tropical Cyclone

Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances | Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes)Tornado

A tornado is a violently rotating column of air that extends from a thunderstorm to the ground. It is a vortex of rapidly moving air. A tornado forms when changes in wind speed and direction create a horizontal spinning effect within a storm cell. This effect is then tipped vertically by rising air moving up through the thunderclouds.

  • Winds within the tornado funnel may exceed 500kmph.
  • High-velocity winds cause most of the damage associated with these weather events.
  • Tornadoes also cause damage through air pressure reductions.
  • The air pressure at the tornado centre is approximately 800 millibars (average sea-level pressure is 1013 millibars) and many human-made structures collapse outward when subject to pressure drops of this magnitude.

Origin of Tornado

  • Tornado formation typically needs four ingredients: shear, lift, instability, and moisture.
  • Wind shear is the most important factor that plays into the creation of tornadoes. When there is wind shear, sometimes these winds begin to roll into a horizontal column of air.
  • Once you get a strong updraft of air being transported from the ground to the atmosphere, that column of air becomes vertical. That is when a storm usually develops in this scenario.
  • As the storm develops, it turns into a supercell thunderstorm much of the time. These supercell thunderstorms are separate, discrete cells that are not part of a line of storms. Also, supercells are storms that rotate and spin. With both the vertical, rotating column of air and the supercell thunderstorm together, that may bring down a tornado from the storm cloud
  • Tornadoes are most common in spring and least common in winter. Spring and fall experience peaks of activity as those are the seasons when stronger winds, wind shear, and atmospheric instability are present. Tornado occurrence is highly dependent on the time of day, because of solar heating

Distribution of tornadoes

  • Rare in polar regions and infrequent at latitudes higher than 50° N and 50° S.
  • The temperate and tropical regions are the most prone to thunderstorms.
  • Tornadoes have been reported on all continents except Antarctica.
  • The United States has the most violent tornadoes.
  • Canada reports the second largest number of tornadoes.
  • In the Indian sub-continent, Bangladesh is the most prone country to tornadoes.
  • At any moment there are approximately 1,800 thunderstorms in progress throughout the world.

Differences between Tornado and Cyclone

Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances | Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes)Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances | Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes)

Cyclones originate in the Bay of Bengal region as well as in the Arabian Sea region whereas Tornadoes of weak strength occur in the north-western and north-eastern region of the country causing significant damage to man and material.

Western Disturbances

  • Western Disturbances develop in the mid-latitude region (north of the Tropic of Cancer), not in the tropical region, therefore they are called as mid-latitude storms or extra-tropical storms.
    • Extra-Tropical Cyclones are also called as winter storms and blizzards.
  • It is a term coined by an Indian Meteorologist for the weather phenomenon which is propagated from the West.
  • The phrase Western Disturbance was first used in published literature in 1947. However, its precursor Winter Disturbance was coined earlier in 1931.
  • Western Disturbances are low-pressure systems, embedded in western winds (westerlies) that flow from west to the east.
  • The low pressure typically forms over the Mediterranean Sea and travels over Iran, Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan before entering India loaded with moisture.
  • These moisture-laden western disturbances eventually come up against the Himalayas and get blocked, as a consequence, the moisture gets trapped and precipitation is shared in the form of snow and rain over Northwest India and sometimes, other parts of North India.
  • An average of 4-5 western disturbances form during the winter season and the rainfall distribution and amount varies with every western disturbance.
  • The word ‘Western’ refers to the direction from which they originate with regard to India.
  • The word ‘disturbance’ is used because the air within the low-pressure systems tends to be unstable or disturbed.
  • Sometimes, when western disturbances become more intense in the Indian Region, they can extend even up to 15 degrees north, resulting in rainfall up to north Maharashtra, Gujarat, and the entire Madhya Pradesh to the south.

Formation of Western Disturbances

  • Western Disturbance has its origin in the Mediterranean Sea as extra-tropical cyclones.
  • A high-pressure is exhibited area over the areas like Ukraine and neighborhood countries causes the intrusion of cold air from Polar Regions towards an area of relatively warmer air with high moisture. This change in pressure from cold air to warm air generates favorable conditions for cyclogenesis in the upper layer of the atmosphere, which promotes the formation of an eastward-moving extratropical depression in the sea.
  • Then these gradually travel across the middle-east from Iran, Afghanistan, and Pakistan to finally enter the Indian sub-continent.

Impact

  • Western Disturbances are the cause of the most winter and pre-monsoon season rainfall across North-West India. This phenomenon is usually associated with a cloudy sky, higher night temperatures, and unusual rain. It is estimated that India gets close to 5-10% of its total annual rainfall from western disturbances.
  • In winter, western winds bring moderate to heavy rain in low lying areas and heavy snow to mountainous areas of the Indian subcontinent.
  • India is a rain-dependent country and while the southwest monsoon covers most of India, parts of North India don’t get much rain from it. These regions depend upon snow and rain from western disturbance during the winter season from November to March.
  • Precipitation during the winter season has great importance in agriculture particularly for rabi crops including wheat, which is one of the most important Indian crops.
  • They start declining after winter. During the summer months of April and May, they move across North India and at times help in the activation of monsoon in certain parts of northwest India.
  • During the monsoon season, western disturbances may occasionally cause dense clouding and heavy precipitation.
  • Weak western disturbances are associated with crop failure and water problems across north India.
  • Strong western disturbances can help residents, farmers and governments avoid many of the problems associated with water scarcity.

Casualties

  • Since western disturbances are not high-intensity weather systems, they are not usually associated with disasters but in the recent past, it is observed that this beneficial weather phenomenon is increasingly becoming disastrous during the summer and monsoon seasons.
  • The 2010 cloudburst in Leh, in which 71 towns and villages were damaged and 225 people died was caused due to the western disturbances.
  • In September 2014, the Kashmir region suffered disastrous floods across many of its districts killing over 200 people. This was also caused by the Western Disturbances.
  • Expert opinion on western disturbances is divided regarding the 2013 floods in Uttarakhand in which over 5000 people were killed, after three days of incessant rainfall. While many believe that Uttarakhand floods may have occurred due to interactions between western disturbances and the summer monsoon, many others believe that western disturbances and monsoon occur in completely different time frames.

Importance of Western Disturbances

  • The western disturbances affect weather conditions during the winter season up to Patna (Bihar) and give occasional rainfall which is highly beneficial for the standing rabi crops, (wheat, barley, mustard, gram, lentil, etc.).

Cloudburst

  • A cloudburst is an intense torrential rainfall brought by a thunderstorm that lasts for a relatively short duration (few minutes to few hours).
  • Cloudburst leads to flash floods and causes a lot of damage to life and property.
  • Every intense rainfall is not a Cloudburst. Cloudburst specifically occurs when an air mass with high humidity is struck at a place due to various reasons. In 2010, the South-Western strip of Russia (Caucasus Region, Moscow, etc.) saw higher than normal temperatures (highest in the last 100 years) and there were numerous cloudbursts in Jammu and Kashmir.
  • A strong upper-atmospheric high was located over European Russia towards the beginning of summer.
  • It diverted the jet stream (meandering of Sub-Tropical Jet Stream) and its rain-giving train (trough) of summer storms farther north than usual, giving much of Southern European Russia drought conditions.
  • In addition, southern desert heat from central Asia, the Arabian Peninsula, and North Africa began to flow northward, which strengthened this ridge of STJ and tightened its hold over the region.
  • The stalled system prevented weather systems from being drawn across Russia and the obstacle acted as a barrier trapping hot air to the south and cold air to the north.
  • The consequence of this static mass of hot air was the heatwave that devastated Russia.
  • With the jet stream stalled the Sub-Tropical Jet was unable to transit across the Himalayas as it would do ordinarily, the monsoon cell to the south, fed by warmer waters in the Indian Ocean, had nowhere to go and as a consequence, it deposited vast amounts of rain over Pakistan, Himachal Pradesh and Jammu and Kashmir and this led to extensive flooding.
The document Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances | Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes) is a part of the UPSC Course Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes).
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FAQs on Tropical Cyclones & Western Disturbances - Geography Optional for UPSC (Notes)

1. What are tropical cyclones and how do they form?
Ans. Tropical cyclones are large, rotating storm systems characterized by strong winds and heavy rainfall. They form over warm ocean waters near the equator when the atmospheric conditions are favorable, including low wind shear and high humidity. As warm moist air rises from the ocean surface, it cools and condenses, releasing latent heat and fueling the cyclone's energy. The rotation is caused by the Earth's rotation and the Coriolis effect.
2. How are tropical cyclones classified and what is their impact?
Ans. Tropical cyclones are classified based on their maximum sustained wind speeds using different scales such as the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. They are categorized as tropical depressions, tropical storms, or hurricanes/typhoons. The impact of tropical cyclones can be devastating, causing strong winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall leading to flooding, landslides, and widespread destruction. They pose a significant threat to coastal areas and can result in loss of life and infrastructure damage.
3. What are Western Disturbances and how do they affect weather patterns?
Ans. Western Disturbances are extratropical storm systems that originate in the Mediterranean region and move eastwards towards South Asia, impacting the weather patterns in the region. They bring rain, snowfall, and strong winds to areas in their path. These disturbances are responsible for winter precipitation in the northern and northwestern parts of India, as well as other countries in South Asia. They can also trigger thunderstorms and hailstorms in some regions.
4. How do tropical cyclones and Western Disturbances differ in terms of formation and impact?
Ans. Tropical cyclones primarily form over warm ocean waters and are fueled by the release of latent heat from condensing moisture. They have a circular shape with a well-defined eye and can cause significant damage through strong winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall. On the other hand, Western Disturbances originate from the Mediterranean region and move eastwards. They affect weather patterns in South Asia, bringing precipitation and strong winds, particularly during winter. While tropical cyclones are associated with tropical regions, Western Disturbances impact areas farther from the equator.
5. How are tropical cyclones and Western Disturbances monitored and predicted?
Ans. Tropical cyclones and Western Disturbances are monitored using various meteorological tools and satellite observations. Weather agencies and meteorological departments collect data on atmospheric conditions, sea surface temperatures, wind patterns, and other relevant parameters. This data is used to track the movement and intensity of cyclones and disturbances, enabling the issuance of timely warnings and forecasts. Advanced numerical weather prediction models are also employed to simulate and predict the behavior of these weather systems, aiding in early preparedness and disaster management efforts.
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