(Q.1-Q.2) The number of cars arriving at ICICI bank drive-in window du...
Evaluate 1 – P(x = 0) – P(x = 1) – P(x = 2) – P(x = 3).
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(Q.1-Q.2) The number of cars arriving at ICICI bank drive-in window du...
Explanation:
To solve this problem, we need to find the probability of more than 3 cars arriving at the ICICI bank drive-in window during any 10-minute period. We are given that the number of cars arriving at the drive-in window follows a Poisson distribution with a mean (lambda) of 2.1.
Poisson Distribution:
The Poisson distribution is a discrete probability distribution that expresses the probability of a given number of events occurring in a fixed interval of time or space, given the average rate of occurrence.
The probability mass function (PMF) of a Poisson random variable is given by the formula:
P(X=k) = (e^-lambda * lambda^k) / k!
Where:
- X is the random variable representing the number of events (in this case, the number of cars arriving at the drive-in window)
- lambda is the average rate of occurrence of events (in this case, 2.1)
- k is the number of events we are interested in (in this case, more than 3 cars)
Calculating the Probability:
To find the probability of more than 3 cars arriving, we need to calculate the sum of the probabilities for k=4, k=5, k=6, and so on, up to infinity.
P(X > 3) = P(X=4) + P(X=5) + P(X=6) + ...
Using the Poisson PMF formula and substituting the value of lambda as 2.1, we can calculate the individual probabilities.
P(X=4) = (e^-2.1 * 2.1^4) / 4!
P(X=5) = (e^-2.1 * 2.1^5) / 5!
P(X=6) = (e^-2.1 * 2.1^6) / 6!
...
The probabilities for k=4, k=5, k=6, and so on, decrease rapidly as k increases. To find the sum of these probabilities, we can use a calculator or a software tool that provides the capability to calculate the sum of an infinite series.
Calculating the sum of these probabilities, we find that P(X > 3) is approximately 0.143.
Therefore, the correct answer is option 'B', 0.143.
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