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Page 1 Economic Survey 2019-20 Volume 2 Chapter 9 “Services Sector” Page 2 Economic Survey 2019-20 Volume 2 Chapter 9 “Services Sector” Introduction Service sector accounts for around 55% of the total economy and GVA growth, 2/3rds of total FDI inflows in India and 38% of total exports. The share of Services sector now exceeds 50% in more than 15 out of 33 states/UTs. Chandigarh and Delhi top the list(>80%), while Sikkim is last in this list. However data on GVA growth, high frequency indicators and sectoral trends suggest a moderation in service sector activity during 2019-20. Bank credit to services, rail freight traffic and air passenger traffic have witnessed a deceleration in 2019-20. RBI’s data with respect to bank credit reveals that deceleration in credit is driven by : Professional services, shipping, transport operators and wholesale trade. Though many of these indicators are now showing signs of recovery. For example Purchasing Managers’ Index has stabilised in the recent months above the threshold of 50. Page 3 Economic Survey 2019-20 Volume 2 Chapter 9 “Services Sector” Introduction Service sector accounts for around 55% of the total economy and GVA growth, 2/3rds of total FDI inflows in India and 38% of total exports. The share of Services sector now exceeds 50% in more than 15 out of 33 states/UTs. Chandigarh and Delhi top the list(>80%), while Sikkim is last in this list. However data on GVA growth, high frequency indicators and sectoral trends suggest a moderation in service sector activity during 2019-20. Bank credit to services, rail freight traffic and air passenger traffic have witnessed a deceleration in 2019-20. RBI’s data with respect to bank credit reveals that deceleration in credit is driven by : Professional services, shipping, transport operators and wholesale trade. Though many of these indicators are now showing signs of recovery. For example Purchasing Managers’ Index has stabilised in the recent months above the threshold of 50. Purchasing Managers’ Index It is an indicator of business activity both in manufacturing and services sector. It is a survey based measure that asks the respondents about changes in their perception of some key business variables from the month before. Those key business variables are : 1. New orders 2. Inventory levels 3. Production 4. Supplier Delivery 5. Employment Environment The score is between the range of 0-100, score of >50 means expansion, whereas score of <50 is contraction in business activity. It is published by MARKIT Ltd and NIKKEI INDIA. Page 4 Economic Survey 2019-20 Volume 2 Chapter 9 “Services Sector” Introduction Service sector accounts for around 55% of the total economy and GVA growth, 2/3rds of total FDI inflows in India and 38% of total exports. The share of Services sector now exceeds 50% in more than 15 out of 33 states/UTs. Chandigarh and Delhi top the list(>80%), while Sikkim is last in this list. However data on GVA growth, high frequency indicators and sectoral trends suggest a moderation in service sector activity during 2019-20. Bank credit to services, rail freight traffic and air passenger traffic have witnessed a deceleration in 2019-20. RBI’s data with respect to bank credit reveals that deceleration in credit is driven by : Professional services, shipping, transport operators and wholesale trade. Though many of these indicators are now showing signs of recovery. For example Purchasing Managers’ Index has stabilised in the recent months above the threshold of 50. Purchasing Managers’ Index It is an indicator of business activity both in manufacturing and services sector. It is a survey based measure that asks the respondents about changes in their perception of some key business variables from the month before. Those key business variables are : 1. New orders 2. Inventory levels 3. Production 4. Supplier Delivery 5. Employment Environment The score is between the range of 0-100, score of >50 means expansion, whereas score of <50 is contraction in business activity. It is published by MARKIT Ltd and NIKKEI INDIA. FDI Inflows in Services The data for FDI comes from Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade(Ministry of Commerce and Industry). The recent data shows that Gross FDI Equity inflows into services sector witnessed a strong recovery during April- September 2019 following a decline in 2018-19. The FDI equity inflows jumped by 33% during this period to reach USD 17.58 billion. FDI equity inflows in services accounted for 2/3rds of the total FDI equity inflows in India bring this period. This jump was driven by strong inflows into sub-sectors such as “Information & Broadcasting”, “Air Transport”, “Telecom”, “Consultancy Services” and “Hotel & Tourism”. Page 5 Economic Survey 2019-20 Volume 2 Chapter 9 “Services Sector” Introduction Service sector accounts for around 55% of the total economy and GVA growth, 2/3rds of total FDI inflows in India and 38% of total exports. The share of Services sector now exceeds 50% in more than 15 out of 33 states/UTs. Chandigarh and Delhi top the list(>80%), while Sikkim is last in this list. However data on GVA growth, high frequency indicators and sectoral trends suggest a moderation in service sector activity during 2019-20. Bank credit to services, rail freight traffic and air passenger traffic have witnessed a deceleration in 2019-20. RBI’s data with respect to bank credit reveals that deceleration in credit is driven by : Professional services, shipping, transport operators and wholesale trade. Though many of these indicators are now showing signs of recovery. For example Purchasing Managers’ Index has stabilised in the recent months above the threshold of 50. Purchasing Managers’ Index It is an indicator of business activity both in manufacturing and services sector. It is a survey based measure that asks the respondents about changes in their perception of some key business variables from the month before. Those key business variables are : 1. New orders 2. Inventory levels 3. Production 4. Supplier Delivery 5. Employment Environment The score is between the range of 0-100, score of >50 means expansion, whereas score of <50 is contraction in business activity. It is published by MARKIT Ltd and NIKKEI INDIA. FDI Inflows in Services The data for FDI comes from Department for Promotion of Industry and Internal Trade(Ministry of Commerce and Industry). The recent data shows that Gross FDI Equity inflows into services sector witnessed a strong recovery during April- September 2019 following a decline in 2018-19. The FDI equity inflows jumped by 33% during this period to reach USD 17.58 billion. FDI equity inflows in services accounted for 2/3rds of the total FDI equity inflows in India bring this period. This jump was driven by strong inflows into sub-sectors such as “Information & Broadcasting”, “Air Transport”, “Telecom”, “Consultancy Services” and “Hotel & Tourism”. Trade in Services RBI’s BOP data suggests that services exports during April- September 2019 maintained their momentum from 2018-19, with a growth of 6.4%. The jump in export growth of travel, software, business and financial services offset the contraction in export growth of insurance and other services. Business Services - Financial Services, Software Services, Professional Services, Telecom Services etc. The robust growth in business services was driven by higher receipts for R&D services, professional and management consultancy services, and technical and trade related services. Net exports of services has increased in 2019-20 in comparison to 2018-19. The services trade surplus, largely driven by surplus in software services, financed 48% of our Merchandise Trade Deficit.Read More
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