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Introduction:


India and Australia are poised to enact the free trade agreement, endorsed by the Australian Parliament, with the formal implementation expected on an agreed-upon date. Both nations inked the accord in April of the current year. The announcement came via Twitter from Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, drawing a positive response from Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who emphasized that the initiation of the India-Australia ECTA would significantly benefit business communities and fortify the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership between the two countries. Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal hailed it as a substantial acknowledgment of India's growing global standing, foreseeing advantages for the Indian IT industry, students, and labor-intensive sectors.

Free Trade Agreements (FTAs):

  • While Economic theory suggests that FTAs are not always foolproof strategies, given their potential to both create and divert trade, it is crucial to design them in a way that enhances synergies among partners and overcomes regulatory barriers. 
  • Reports indicate that the FTA will be segmented into three distinct deals encompassing trade, investment, and geographical indications (GIs). 
  • The investment deal is perceived as a standalone agreement, while the one involving GIs may be integrated with the trade agreement. 
  • Coordinating all three negotiations simultaneously could be in India's interest. 
  • Following the unilateral termination of bilateral investment treaties (BIT), including those with EU member states, the EU expresses a keen interest in concluding an investment deal with Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) provisions.

Economic and trade relationship:

  • The economic ties between India and Australia have grown significantly, with India's rising economic profile being acknowledged by Australia at both federal and state levels. 
  • In 2016, India's exports to Australia were around US$ 4.6 billion (A$6.1 bn), while imports from Australia during the same period amounted to US$ 11 billion (A$14.6 bn). 
  • Notable exports from India to Australia include Passenger Motor Vehicles & machinery, Pearls, Gems and Jewellery, Medicaments, and Refined Petroleum, while major imports include Coal, Non-monetary Gold, Copper, Wool, Fertilizers, and Education-related services. 
  • The Joint Ministerial Commission (JMC), established in 1989, facilitates government and business-level interactions on various trade and investment-related matters. Both nations are presently negotiating a Comprehensive Economic Cooperation Agreement (CECA) to offer enhanced market access to goods and services exporters.

Strategic:


The Quad:

  • The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (QSD), an informal strategic initiative initiated by Japan's Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in 2007, aimed at responding to China's growing power and influence. 
  • Australia initially refrained from active participation but rejoined the dialogue in 2017, signaling renewed interest. 
  • The defense relations between India and Australia, both bordering the Indian Ocean, center on mutual interests in maintaining freedom of navigation and trade. 
  • Both nations commit to enhancing maritime cooperation, conducting joint naval exercises (AUSINDEX) since 2015 and joint military exercises (AUSTRA HIND) from 2016 to 2018.

Defence relation:

  • India–Australia both borders the Indian Ocean and has a shared interest in the maintenance of freedom of navigation and trade.
  • Australia recognizes India’s critical role in supporting security, stability and prosperity of the Indian Ocean region. Australia and India are committed to working together to enhance maritime cooperation and has a formal bilateral naval exercise (AUSINDEX) since 2015.
  • From 2016-18, the armies of the countries conducted a joint military exercise dubbed “AUSTRA HIND”.

Consular Cooperation

  • India and Australia signed The Mutual Legal Assistance Treaty (MLAT) and the Extradition Treaty in June 2008, coming into force in January 2011.

Possible intensive bilateral political and institutional engagements:

  • Possible intensive bilateral political and institutional engagements:

    The spectrum of emerging issues, from reforming international organizations to technological advancements (5G) and addressing climate change and disasters, provides avenues for robust bilateral political and institutional engagement. 

  • A strategic focus on the Eastern Indian Ocean can facilitate joint activities, including maritime domain awareness and marine scientific research.

Challenges:

  • The region grapples with traditional security challenges related to China's rise and a lack of faith in a rule-based order. 
  • Non-traditional challenges include terrorism, natural disasters, and pandemics. 
  • Unfavorable trade balance with Australia remains a challenge for India despite talks for a comprehensive economic cooperation agreement since 2011.

Way Forward:

  • Deepening India-Australia ties hinge on shared values, interests, geography, and objectives. 
  • A sustainable momentum across economic, geostrategic, and people-to-people aspects is pivotal to navigate the geopolitical imbalance in the Indo-Pacific. 
  • The future should be built around the three pillars of economic relationship, geostrategic congruence, and people-to-people ties.
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