Directions: Read the passage carefully and answer the questions that follow.
The decline in migrant population to the workforce is raising concerns on ruralization as against urbanisation says a report by Systematix Institutional Equities.
The report says the decline in rural-urban migration has contributed to rising ruralization, with an increasing share of the population and workforce remaining in rural areas.
This shift has led to higher food demand, narrowing urban supplies, and persistent food inflation. The dependence on agriculture for employment has also grown, with 46.1 per cent of the workforce engaged in the sector in 2023-24, up from 42.5 per cent in 2017-18.
This trend underscores a rise in disguised unemployment and stagnation in rural wages, particularly among women, whose real wages declined by 2.3 per cent annually over the last five years.
The report challenges claims that improved rural infrastructure, such as electrification and housing under schemes like the PM Awas Yojana-Gramin, has reduced migration.
Historical data indicates that while rural electrification and housing construction have progressed, their pace has slowed significantly in recent years.
The cumulative addition of rural houses between FY14 and FY24 was 25 million, falling short of the potential 46.3 million if earlier growth trends had persisted.
The declining migration rate has implications for India's economic and social landscape. Lower urbanization reduces the potential for productivity gains and economic growth traditionally driven by urban agglomerations.
Additionally, the trend also raises concern about fiscal trade-offs, with the government potentially increasing revenue spending, cutting capital expenditures, or expanding GST coverage to compensate for slower tax revenue generation.
The Systematix report cites the figures of the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM), titled 400 Million Dreams!, which has revealed a significant decline in domestic migration within India. It shows a decrease of 53.7 million migrants in 2023, marking an 11.8 per cent drop from 2011 levels.
The EAC-PM findings indicate a reversal of the decades-long trend of rising urbanization, characterized by labour migration from rural areas to cities in search of better economic opportunities.
The migration rate, which includes all reasons for migration, fell from 37.6 per cent in 2011 to 28.9 per cent in 2023. Migration for economic purposes, such as employment or business, dropped by 5 million, at 40 million compared to 45 million in 2011.
This decline is part of a broader trend reflecting reduced economic incentives for rural workers to relocate to urban areas, coinciding with a slowdown in India's overall productivity and economic transformation.
Addressing these challenges requires a dual focus on rural and urban policies. Supporting rural incomes through fiscal incentives and employment programs is essential. At the same time, accelerating urban growth and creating economic opportunities in cities are critical to reversing the current trend.
[Excerpt from The Tribune "Decline in Rural to Urban Migration in India" Dated 06/01/25]
Q1: What is the primary finding of the study ‘400 Million Dreams!’ by the EAC-PM?
(a) Increase in rural-to-urban migration
(b) Decline in rural-to-urban migration by 5.4 million migrants
(c) Increase in urban wages due to labour shortage
(d) Rise in disguised unemployment in urban areas
Ans: (b)
Sol: The study highlights a decline of 5.4 million rural-to-urban migrants, which is a reduction of 11.8% compared to 2011.
Q2: What has been the migration rate in India in 2023 as per the study?
(a) 37.6%
(b) 28.9%
(c) 6.7%
(d) 11.8%
Ans: (b)
Sol: The migration rate in 2023 has dropped to 28.9%, as mentioned in the passage.
Q3: Which of the following factors is claimed to have contributed to the decline in migration?
(a) Increasing automation in urban industries
(b) Improved rural government services and infrastructure
(c) Higher urban wages and job opportunities
(d) Better public transport facilities
Ans: (b)
Sol: The passage attributes the decline to improved rural government services such as education, health, infrastructure, and connectivity.
Q4: What trend is observed in railway and bus travel data post-pandemic?
(a) A 16% increase in bus travel
(b) A 6.7% decline in railway passenger numbers during peak months
(c) Increased labour movement due to better transport options
(d) Higher rural-to-urban migration indicated by railway ticket sales
Ans: (b)
Sol: The passage notes a 6.7% decline in railway passenger numbers during peak months, and a 16% decline in bus travel since FY11.
Q5: What does a high SA/CA ratio in rural areas indicate?
(a) High economic activity
(b) Lower economic activity and outbound migration
(c) Stable rural wages and employment
(d) Increasing urban remittances
Ans: (b)
Sol: The passage explains that a high SA/CA ratio reflects lower economic activity and outbound migration in rural areas like Bihar.
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