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The probability that a student knows the correct answer to a multiple choice question is 2/3 . If the student does not know the answer, then the student guesses the answer. The probability of the guessed answer being correct is 1/4. Given that the student has answered the question correctly, the conditional probability that the student known the correct answer is
  • a)
    2/3
  • b)
    3/4
  • c)
    5/6
  • d)
    8/9
Correct answer is option 'D'. Can you explain this answer?
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Given:
The probability that a student knows the correct answer to a multiple-choice question is 2/3.
If the student does not know the answer, then the student guesses the answer.
The probability of the guessed answer being correct is 1/4.

To find:
Given that the student has answered the question correctly, the conditional probability that the student knows the correct answer.

Solution:
Let's denote the events as follows:
A: The student knows the correct answer.
B: The student answers the question correctly.

We are given that the probability of A is 2/3. Therefore, the probability of not A (i.e., the student does not know the answer) is 1 - 2/3 = 1/3.

We are also given that if the student does not know the answer, the probability of guessing it correctly is 1/4. Therefore, the probability of B given not A is 1/4.

Using Bayes' theorem, we can find the conditional probability of A given B:

P(A|B) = (P(B|A) * P(A)) / P(B)

Calculating P(B):
P(B) = P(B|A) * P(A) + P(B|not A) * P(not A)
= (1 * 2/3) + (1/4 * 1/3)
= 2/3 + 1/12
= 8/12 + 1/12
= 9/12
= 3/4

Calculating P(A|B):
P(A|B) = (P(B|A) * P(A)) / P(B)
= (1 * 2/3) / (3/4)
= 2/3 * 4/3
= 8/9

Thus, the conditional probability that the student knows the correct answer, given that the student has answered the question correctly, is 8/9.

Therefore, the correct answer is option D) 8/9.
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The probability that a student knows the correct answer to a multiple choicequestion is2/3. If the student does not know the answer, then the studentguesses the answer. The probability of the guessed answer being correct is1/4. Given that the student has answered the question correctly, the conditionalprobability that the student known the correct answer isa)2/3b)3/4c)5/6d)8/9Correct answer is option 'D'. Can you explain this answer?
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